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August 27, 2020 | Us Ten Year Treasury Yield

The US 10 and 30-Year Treasury yields continue to build a base.

August 21, 2020 | US Dollar Index

Daily and weekly Capitulations in the US Dollar at the end of July. Now a ‘Spring’ of that low with a nice intraday accumulation pattern.

August 11, 2020 | Silver 2020

Silver is rolling over from only our sixth Extreme Exhaustion reading since 1970. We have parameters for this correction and the ensuing bounce.

July 26, 2020 | Gold

A great run in gold to the July 24th target and $1888+ 2.618% Fibonacci measurement. COT tracking positively since June 12th buy signal.

July 22, 2020 | Gold

Having broken through the $1817 resistance, gold is moving nicely towards our targeted time window around July 24th for an interim high and a measured objective of $1888.

June 14, 2020 | Island Tops

Island tops in Dow, SPY, QQQ, NYSE Comp and Russell. A review of the last three decades provides clues as to what to watch for now.  

May 28, 2020 | Canadian Banks

Breakout from consolidation with expanding volume in Canadian banks.

May 17, 2020 | S&P 2020

Eleven of the last twelve presidential election years have experienced downward pressure in the markets from April through mid-summer. Resistance is generally at the upper Bollinger and Keltner Bands during that period.

May 11, 2020 | Gold and Crude Oil

Gold and oil bottoms. Overhead resistance in gold for three months within 1.5% of its high, after the six-week period surrounding oil’s low (05/19, 06/16, 12/11, 04/09, 7/03, 1/02, 4/94, 4/86, 12/80, 9/74 and 8/73).  Charts & Markets Special Offer for New Subscribers: 50% Off Annual Subscriptions through May 16th

May 6, 2020 | Gold and Crude Oil

Gold typically bottoms before crude oil, but has difficulty advancing further in the three months following the oil bottom.

April 16, 2020 | US Treasuries

US Treasuries up-ticked from minor oversold “Springboard” dip. Now at resistance and registering a Sequential 13 Sell. Likely to move into a trading range similar to July-Aug 2016.

April 12, 2020 | Gold

Continued bullish numbers in Gold’s COT data following 14% break in March. Details in this weekend’s report.

April 8, 2020 | S&P Futures

Be cautious. Any loss of upside momentum should retrace 62% of the rally from the March low. Our analysis of eleven similar Downside Capitulations in the last two decades shows a 55% chance of testing or taking out the March low.

April 6, 2020 | Gold

The RSI readings of the Commercials and Non-Commercials in gold futures are back into neutral territory. The 14% decline in price is close to the 15% – 18% breaks seen following the bearish divergences in 2008, ’09, ’14 and ’16.  

March 25, 2020 | Spy

38% retracement rallies to 20-day ema become important resistance after a Downside Capitulation

March 21, 2020 | Dow Industrials

Our Capitulation model works in all time frames (hourly, daily, weekly and monthly). We are always on the lookout for short-term, long and short opportunities, as seen on the bounces since February. But a long-term Capitulation and tested low is most likely months away.  

March 12, 2020 | S&P Futures – Charts

 

March 6, 2020 | T-Bonds

Treasuries approach the top of the forty-year channel with a quarterly RSI(9) at 70.  

February 21, 2020 | HAC Seasonal ETF

HAC Seasonal ETF at the top of long-term channel as it enters its own seasonal high.

February 4, 2020 | 1996 versus 2020

This election cycle is correlating well with 24 years ago. Oversold Springboard last Friday at the 50-day ema with a Sequential 9 Setup in VIX. Let’s see how this bounce reacts around the upper Bollinger Band.  

January 31, 2020 | VIX Exhaustion Alerts

Our VIX model, first upside Exhaustion Alerts since January 2018, Presidential/Decennial cycle analysis and DeMark Sequential’s timed the break nicely. The are numerous downside targets. We’ll wait for appropriate oversold signals.  

January 27, 2020 | Coronavirus, VIX and SMA

The Coronaviris may have been the catalyst, but our VIX model warned of imminent market vulnerability. Friday’s close below the 10-day sma was the trigger following the key date of January 8th in our presidential/decennial cycle analysis.  

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