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March 16, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday March 16th 2024

The Bottom Line Focus this week is on the Fed Fund Rate update released at 2:00 PM EDT on Wednesday. U.S. equity markets traded in a narrow range last week prior to the news. Consensus is that the FOMC will maintain the rate at 5.25%-5.50%. Comments following the 2:00 PM statement will be examined carefully […]

March 9, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday March 9th 2024

The Bottom Line Another mixed week for performance by North American equity markets! Signs of investor uncertainty increased: the VIX Index advanced 12%, Gold bullion ETN (GLD) gained 4.3%, Gold Equity ETF (GDX) advanced 8.4% and Bitcoin jumped 9.9%.

March 2, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday March 2nd 2024

The Bottom Line U.S. equity indices were mixed last week: S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ Composite Index  recorded small gains while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Dow Jones Transportation Average recorded small losses.

February 24, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday February 24th 2024

The Bottom Line Nvidia was the pleasant surprise last week: Its strength following release of “blow out” quarterly results powered the S&P 500 Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average to all-time highs. Nvidia extended its parabolic upside move following release of results on Wednesday.

February 17, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday 17th 2024

The Bottom Line Changes by key world equity indices were significant last week: U.S. equity indices moved lower following release of higher than consensus January CPI and PPI reports. Equity indices and related ETFs for India, Japan, China and Europe rose significantly. China iShares completed a double bottom pattern. EAFE iShares touched an all-time high. […]

February 10, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday February 10th 2024

The Bottom Line Headline reads “S&P 500 Index closes at an all-time high”. The “Magnificent Four” (Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Nvidia), recently narrowed down from the “Magnificent Seven”, continued to move higher. Their extraordinary overweight in the S&P 500 Index and the NASDAQ 100 Index was the main reason why all-time highs were reached on […]

February 3, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday February 3rd 2024

The Bottom Line Exceptional price gains on Friday by Meta Platform (Up 20.32%) and Amazon (Up 7.87%) after their release of better-than-consensus quarterly results significantly distorted performance of the S&P 500 Index relative to the Equal Weighted S&P 500 Index and its related ETF: RSP. Since December 28th the S&P 500 Index has gained 3.66%% […]

January 27, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday January 27th 2024

The Bottom Line Responses to fourth quarter results released last week by S&P 500 companies were mixed with important exceptions. Notable were responses to reports by key technology companies: Strongest positive responses were recorded by Microsoft, ASML, IBM, Netflix and Lam Research. Strongest negative responses were recorded by Texas Instruments, Tesla, Intel and Visa.

January 20, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday January 20th 2024

The Bottom Line Led by the technology sector, U.S. equity indices (notably S&P 500 Index above 4818.62 and NASDAQ 100 Index above 16,767.86) moved to all-time highs on Friday.

January 13, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday January 13th 2024

The Bottom Line Here come fourth quarter 2023 results by S&P 500 companies! Responses to results released to date have been mixed to slightly negative. Stocks that moved higher last week following release of results included Blackrock, Citigroup and Bank of New York Mellon. Stocks that moved lower included KB Homes, Delta Airlines, UnitedHealth Group, […]

January 6, 2024 | Tech Talk for Saturday January 6th 2024

The Bottom Line Time for a pause in performance by U.S. equity markets into mid-March, most notably by the tech heavy NASDAQ Index and related ETFs! Thereafter, look for strength to the end of 2024 supported by accelerating earnings gains and a history of rising U.S. indices during the fourth year of the U.S. Presidential […]

December 30, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday December 30th 2023

The Bottom Line For 2024, look for North American equity markets to follow the U.S. Presidential Election  cycle. The Dow Jones Industrial Average in the fourth year of the U.S. Presidential Election years since 1930 has a history of moving higher. Average return per period is 8.0%. However, “Mind the Gap”. The 8% gain also […]

December 23, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday December 23rd 2023

The Bottom Line  Encouraging U.S. economic news released on Friday added to the possibility of the proverbial Santa Claus yearend rally that normally lasts to the first two trading days in January. The November Core PCE Price Index on a year-over-year basis came in at 3.2%, nicely lower than consensus at 3.4%. Equity and bond […]

December 16, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday December 16th 2023

The Bottom Line North American equity indices are entering their strongest period of seasonal strength in the year. According to www.EquityClock.com “Santa Claus delivers a positive bias surrounding the end of  the year with the traditional rally period spanning from December 15th to January 6th. The average return of the S&P 500 during the approximately […]

December 9, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday December 9th 2023

The Bottom Line Focus this week is on U.S. economic news and its impact on interest rates: November CPI on Tuesday, November PPI on Wednesday, FOMC’s Fed Fund Rate on Wednesday and November Retail Sales on Thursday. If consensus holds, the stage is set for the proverbial Christmas Rally from December 15th to January 5th,

December 2, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday December 2nd 2023

The Bottom Line Momentum by North American equity markets remains strong during its current period of seasonal strength from late October to the first week in January. A word of caution! Strength frequently is damped temporarily by yearend transactions for tax purposes between now and December 15th. Thereafter, the Santa Claus rally ‘kicks in” until […]

November 25, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday November 25th 2023

The Bottom Line Seasonal strength from late October until yearend by most world equity indices was extended last week.

November 18, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday November 18th 2023

The Bottom Line The yearend rally from late October to the first week in January for North American  equity indices continues. Historically, as part of the yearend rally, North American equity markets have moved higher from just before U.S. Thanksgiving holiday (November 23rd this year) to the first trading day in December.

November 11, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday November 11th 2023

The Bottom Line The year-end rally by North American equity indices continued last week. Historically, the best period to own U.S. and Canadian equity indices is from the last week in October to the first week in January.

November 4, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday November 4th 2023

The Bottom Line The strongest period of seasonal strength in the year for North American equity indices from October 27th to January 5th “started with a bang” last week. The S&P 500 Index jumped % and the TSX Composite Index advanced %. Trigger for the advance was news that the Federal Reserve held the Fed […]

October 28, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday October 28th 2023

The Bottom Line According to www.EquityClock.com “October 27th marks the average start to the best six months of the year for stocks.  Over the past five decades, the S&P 500 Index has gained an average of 8.12% between October 27th and May 5th.” In addition, the strongest nine day period in the year for the […]

October 21, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday October 21st 2023

The Bottom Line Brutal equity markets around the world last week! Equity markets responded primarily to rising U.S. long term interest rates. Not surprising, the CNN Fear/Greed Index dropped to 26, a level that borders on the Extreme Fear level. See https://www.cnn.com/markets/fear-and-greed

October 14, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday October 14th 2023

The Bottom Line Third quarter report season is “off to a good start”. Reports released to date generally have recorded higher than consensus results (notably by the U.S. money center banks). Analysts were prompted to raise estimates. Revenue and earnings gains on a year-over-year basis are projected to accelerate in the fourth quarter. The stage […]

October 7, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday October 7th 2023

The Bottom Line Don Vialoux was a guest on “Wolf on Bay Street” to be released at 7:00 PM EDT on Saturday on Corus Radio 640. The show was taped at noon on Thursday. Following are notes developed prior to the interview:

September 30, 2023 | Tech Talk for Saturday 30th 2023

The Bottom Line North American equity markets continue to track their seasonal pattern that calls for weakness into the last week in September and the first week in October followed by start of the traditional fourth quarter rally. Lots of “noise” continues to negatively influence equity prices including the auto worker strike and a likely […]

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