- the source for market opinions


June 25, 2019 | The Forecast of 1997 Calling for the Inverse Relationship between Bonds & Shares Remains on Target

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I attended your WEC in London back in 1997 when the Euro Commission took the entire back row. I remember your forecast that we would begin a period of a dramatic shift in the bond-equity correlation I believe you said would last for at least 23 years. That is nearly due. You […]

June 24, 2019 | The Dollar Decline

The Fed meeting this week has triggered a turn in the dollar as US rates dipped on the 10-year to their lowest since Trump took office. As a result, the greenback is the weakest among the majors for the week thus far as we should expect for a decline near-term. Although there has been an […]

June 21, 2019 | Trump Clarifies Attack Not Appropriate Since No American Loss of Life

To the hatred of the neocons, including Bolton, Trump has explained that it was inappropriate to retaliate against Iran when 150 people would be killed for the downing of a drone. This not merely shows the nature of Trump, but clearly displays the efforts behind the curtain to get rid of him to wage another […]

June 20, 2019 | Manipulating the World Economy

I have finished an important book which is just going off to press now for printing. This is an important work on how the central banks are trapped and how the manipulations of the World Economy are collapsing in upon themselves. The major central banks are now shifting policy from protecting the people and the […]

June 19, 2019 | World War III – 2024-2027?

QUESTION: Besides the Bible, there are many clairvoyants who predict that there will be World War III. Your models predict the rise in war tensions. What is your “opinion” about the prospects for a third world war? JC ANSWER: There is no doubt that we are in the process of a rising war cycle. It […]

June 18, 2019 | Climate Emergency – The New Justification for New Taxes

Cities have begun using the term “climate emergency” to justify new taxation. This was the case in the Guelph City Council in Canada where they declared a climate emergency. They have admitted that they “already have an action plan. A very ambitious, robust and doable action plan. We don’t need to re-state that.” The spokesperson […]

June 17, 2019 | The Rise in Agriculture for the Next ECM

The Fall Army Worm (FAW; Spodoptera frugiperda) is a crop-eating pest that was first detected in China back in January 2019. It has now spread across China’s southern border and currently impacts about 8,500 hectares (127,000 mu) of grain production in Yunnan, Guangxi, Guangdong, Guizhou, Hunan, and Hainan provinces. Officially, Chinese authorities have employed an […]

June 15, 2019 | The Fed is Between a Rock & a Hard Place

QUESTION: Dear Mr Armstrong, Not sure if I am understanding it correctly. Is the FED currently between a rock and a hard place? The FED is not able to cut rates (implement QE) due to the current pending/ongoing crisis of the US pensions, and they cannot raise interest rates as it’s going to cause more […]

June 14, 2019 | Forced Loans People Ignore Until it’s TOO LATE

QUESTION: With the private vs public debt and interest rate discussion, nobody is mentioning things like government legislation to forcing people to buy government debt. For example 401’s, IRA’s… must have or be in government debt. Your thoughts? ANSWER: Governments have often resorted to forced loans. When Italy was in trouble, they took 90-day paper […]

June 13, 2019 | Public v Private Interest Rates & Sovereign Debt Crisis

QUESTION: Dear Martin I have a question for the blog. There has been forecasts for a sovereign debt crisis but recently you have discussed how various governments may manipulate govt bond interest rates down as has happened in Europe and Japan. If Europe and Japan are anything to go by then this could go on for […]

June 12, 2019 | Gold & The Hedge Against Government

QUESTION: Hi Martin, You have mentioned repeatedly that gold is a hedge against political uncertainty. For the past several years the price has hovered at the cost of production and exploration is virtually non-existent as capital has dried up. Nevertheless, the world is a political mess as far as the eye can see. So, it seems […]

June 11, 2019 | Calgary Vacancy Rate Still near Record Highs – Sorry, Calgary is closing

The environmentalists have really gutted Alberta which was an economy based upon commodities. With that industry under assault, the economy has been decline. According to the quarterly report released April 1st 2019, Calgary’s downtown vacancy rate is currently at 26.5%, the highest in Canada. Although it decreased slightly from its peak at 27.8% in the […]

June 10, 2019 | Is Trump Trying to Prevent China’s Rise with Tariffs?

QUESTION: Martin, You said that China will become the financial capital of the world by 2032. Why do you think that what Trump is doing to China with tariffs and the trade war will not be able to stop China becoming the financial capital of the world? RM ANSWER: Trump’s tariffs are not intended to […]

June 9, 2019 | The Future – Which Door to Enter

QUESTION: Good day Mr. Armstrong, I have been a student of yours since 2001 and am always amazed at your work. I am not one that can afford to go to your seminars, but would love to know all that you discuss there. Could you write a book about what all is discussed there? My […]

June 8, 2019 | The Next Cycle in the ECM Beginning January 2020

QUESTION: Martin, I am a huge fan of yours and have followed your blog for probably 8 years now, I watched your many predictions using the AI models and have been amazed by their accuracy. I am a very concerned small investor and with this big shift coming in the ECM in January 2020 am […]

June 7, 2019 | Trump v Federal Reserve – Why?

QUESTION: Good afternoon Martin, Do you gander that President Trump is aware that a higher dollar will cream the economy and is doing all he can to fight that trend? Maybe he is reading AE but like other politicians still thinks he can manipulate the economy? Trump is battling the Fed over interest rates. What does […]

June 6, 2019 | The International Unit of Account

QUESTION: I only recently learned of your material and am still digesting it. I appreciate that you encourage critical thinking. I hope you find my questions of the same spirit. In your recent article “Are Two-Tier Monetary Systems a Possible Tool?”, you illustrated how South Africa’s experience could provide an example for nations wanting to […]

June 5, 2019 | BIS – The Central Bank of Central Banks

  QUESTION: Could you please tell us more about the bank of the national banks (BIS) located in Swiss? Many thanks for your information. I love to read your blog first thing in the morning!!! JS ANSWER: The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was originally established to handle the reparation payments of Germany. It was also supposed to […]

June 4, 2019 | When Will Interest Rates Rise?

QUESTION: In the recent past you have spoken about rising interest rates in the USA being imminent. Just wondering where we stand on that front as rates have been in a downtrend since peaking last fall? Thanks, Pete ANSWER: The rise in interest rates comes with the turn in the ECM in January. However, what you […]

June 3, 2019 | Global Warming – Just Follow the Money

I just returned from New York City, the armpit of the world since I never saw an apple tree there yet, and I had a very interesting meeting behind the curtain. I thought I would share this subject which they agreed I could go public on without names of course. Besides the fact that there […]

June 2, 2019 | Al Gore to Hold Australian Climate Change Event to Discourage Australians From Mining Coal

Al Gore is still at it. At the expense to Australian taxpayers of $142,000, Gore will lead a three-day climate change lecture in Queensland. Gore will push his global warming theory, speaking at the Minister’s Climate Change event in Brisbane from June 5 to 7, 2019. The three-day climate change conference was supposed to include Labour […]

May 31, 2019 | Cycle of War & Religion

QUESTION: Hello Martin, on Sept 12th 2013 you wrote about the ‘Return of the crusades’. Now, 6 years later, with the massive migrant crisis still ongoing, a lot of people consider leaving Western Europe bc Sharia law is looming everywhere. Mohammed takes the first place for baby names in many countries, sharia law spreads, kindergartens […]

May 30, 2019 | Polarization of the World in Trade & Taxes is Destroying Western Economies

  While there is a grave danger many speak of with trade wars creating protectionism, that is merely a reaction to the economic decline in the West. It is not merely trade wars; it is appearing also in tax wars. Germany bribing Swiss bankers to get names of Germans with accounts in Germany illustrates that […]

May 29, 2019 | World Trade

COMMENT: Hi Marty I agree with Trump. Assembling in the U S is not sufficient. We need the supply chain parts (eg manufacturing ) in the US. What do we do when we get in a war with say China – do we submit an order to china for parts to assemble a ship? Does […]

May 28, 2019 | World View v Domestic & Why It Has Been Always Wrong

COMMENT: Mr Armstrong, I want to thank you for I listened to the forecasts of analysts who said Europe and Emerging Markets were the best places to invest because the US was overpriced and would crash. I was introduced to you by a friend. I listened. I cut my losses and switched to the domestic […]

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