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September 21, 2021 | Did The Global Markets Rollover In April/May 2021? What Next? Part II

In the first part of this research article, I highlighted a number of factors and technical charts that suggest the true peak in the US/Global markets happened in April/May 2021. Although the US markets continued to trend higher after that peak, the global markets, as well as a number of key indicators, suggested the bullish […]

September 17, 2021 | Did The Global Markets Rollover In April/May 2021? What Next? Part I

This research article is designed to answer a few questions related to the current market contraction and the news related to the potential US Fed tightening of monetary policy while it appears China may be experiencing a credit/debt crisis in the early stages. Many traders/investors are contacting us asking our opinions of the current market […]

September 14, 2021 | After Moderate Selling US Stock Markets Rebound Higher – How Long Will This Trend Continue?

The recent bout of selling in the US markets prompted traders/investors to rethink their longer-term strategies.  But our interpretation of this rotation was consistent with moderate price rotation that we’ve seen nearly every 20 to 30 days, on average, for almost the past year or longer.  The markets need to really break away from this […]

September 9, 2021 | Gold Inverted Head-n-Shoulders Suggests $2000+ Is Next Upside Target

After a moderately strong rebound from the $1675 lows in early August, Gold has clearly started to set up the Right Shoulder of what appears to be an Inverted Head-and-Shoulders pattern. The recent weakness in the US Dollar suggests any breakdown in the US Dollar below $91.70 will likely prompt a new bullish price advance […]

September 2, 2021 | S&P 500 Rallies To New All-Time Highs – Are The Market About To Break Higher Ending Q3:2021?

The S&P 500 rallied to new highs early in September after the US Federal Reserve statements indicating continued support of the US economy and easy money policies.  It appears the markets have fallen back into bullish trending mode which may continue throughout September and into the end of 2021 through the Christmas Rally phase. Q3:2021 […]

August 30, 2021 | Fed Statements Drive New Rally Momentum In The Stock Markets

Last week, the US Federal Reserve reiterated statements in support of continued easy money policies and support for a recovering US economy.  Additionally, Jerome Powell made a statement suggesting tightening too early could be much more damaging than waiting until sufficient headwinds are behind us.  I interpret this as stating the current inflationary concerns are […]

August 25, 2021 | IWM Sets Up Dual Pennant/Flag Formation – Suggesting Very Volatile Apex Event

Recently, we’ve seen an extended sideways price trend in the Russell 2000 sector that started in February/March of 2021.  The peak price level on the IWM, the Ishares Russell 2000 ETF, reached $234.29 and has consolidated in a sideways price range for more than five months now.  In mid-July, IWM broke lower and established a […]

August 24, 2021 | Rally On – Price Range Continues To Narrow As Reflation Trade Flags Out

After a week of moderate volatility, while Consumer Sentiment and other economic data surprised traders/investors, the US markets entered a strong rally phase early in trading on Monday, August 23, 2021.  This suggests traders continue to buy the dips in expectation of a never-ending rally trend. Bucking Consumer Sentiment Trends While the US markets continue […]

August 23, 2021 | Surprising Consumer Activity May Suggest A Deeper Shift In The Markets, Part IV

This final portion of our research article into the shifting US/global consumer spending/economic activities will help to set up forward expectations related to how assets and the stock market may react over the next 12+ months.  In our opinion, the reflation trade/rally is complete, and consumers have already run the course with regards to stimulus […]

August 18, 2021 | Surprising Consumer Activity May Suggest a Deeper Shift in the Markets, Part III

As I dive deeper into the shifting economic trends, driven by both the post-COVID-19 recovery event and the US and global economic actions and policies, we are going to focus on two key aspects of the recent market recovery in this third installment of our research article.  Ideally, we are going to focus on price […]

August 17, 2021 | Surprising Consumer Activity May Suggest A Deeper Shift In The Markets, Part II

Continuing our research into shifting Consumer Sentiment and other economic data recently posted. Part II of our research article will focus on the components of US GDP and how shifting consumer sentiment and activities may result in lower GDP data for a period of time. GDP is one of the biggest measures of total economic […]

August 16, 2021 | Surprising Consumer Activity May Suggest A Deeper Shift In The Markets

Recent economic data suggests that US consumers are starting to pull away from the types of buying/spending activities we saw after the COVID virus event that shifted the US economy away from travel/office and towards work-from-home solutions.  The deep decline in the US and global economic indicators, as a result of the COVID-19 shutdown, prompted […]

August 13, 2021 | Diminishing Volume Suggests US Stock Market Momentum Is Weakening – Possibly Setting Up A Liquidity Trap

Weakening volume after an extended rally phase is fairly common.  It represents a complacency in the markets where traders/investors are unwilling to chase an extended rally phase at higher prices.  Often traders are waiting for some type of market correction or rotation to happen – which will allow them to deploy capital back into the […]

August 11, 2021 | Global Markets Start The Week Very Volatile – Metals & Oil Collapse, Part II

In this, the second part of our Market Volatility research article, we’ll take a look at how Precious Metals, the US Dollar, and the US major markets have moved into a sideways price trend which supports a pending future volatility event.  The big “mini flash-crash” in precious metals on Monday, August 9, may have been […]

August 9, 2021 | A Volatile Start To The Week For Global Markets – Metals & Oil Collapse, Part I

Overnight, on Sunday and early Monday, Precious Metals and Oil started a fairly big collapse which quickly bottomed and recovered – at least in the Precious Metals markets.  Crude Oil is still moving lower in early trading on Monday, August 9, 2021.  Can we learn anything from the pre-COVID market trends and extrapolate any real-world […]

August 5, 2021 | When The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) Reenters Price Flag Range – What’s Next For The US Markets?

Early 2021 surprised investors with a very strong bullish price rally in the US major indexes and the Russell 2000. Then, in March, the Russell 2000 peaked near $234.53 and entered a sideways Pennant/Flag formation/rotation. In June and July 2021, a moderate breakout/breakdown of that Pennant/Flat formation took place – resulting in price reentering the […]

August 3, 2021 | US Markets Statll Near End of July as Global Markets Retreat – Are We Ready for an August Surprise?

One thing that seems to be certain in the markets right now is the past hyper-bullish trending which appears to have weakened since early 2021. As a result, the longer-term Custom Indexes we use to help gauge and understand market trends are showing a very clear weakening of trends. In this article, we are going […]

August 2, 2021 | Revisiting The Excess Phase Peak Pattern

The setup of the Excess Phase peak pattern consists of an exuberant rally to a peak (Phase #1), followed by a moderate price correction that sets up into a sideways flagging pattern (Phase #2).  If the INDU and TRAN continue to move in a sideways flagging formation after recently moving moderately lower, we may start […]

July 29, 2021 | The Inadvertent Debt/Inflation Trap – Is It Time To Face The Music?

What happens to a global economy after 10+ years of global central bank efforts to support a recovery attempt after a massive credit/debt collapse originates from a prior credit/debt housing bubble?  What happens to global economies when they become addicted to easy money policies and central bank activities that support greater and greater risk-taking? What is […]

July 26, 2021 | Gold And Silver – Which Will Have An Explosive Price Rally And Which Will Have A Sustained One?

Our followers and readers have been emailing us asking for more research into Precious Metals and updated Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) Price Modeling charts (our proprietary price/technical mapping system capable of predicting future trends, setups, and price levels). This special Gold and Silver research article will help you learn what to expect over the next […]

July 20, 2021 | Bitcoin Enters Stage #4 Excess Phase Peak Breakdown – Where To Next?

Over the past few months, I’ve been interviewed in podcasts and on Kitco where I’ve discussed the US and global market setups and trends based on my unique understanding of Technical Analysis and price patterns.  Even though I’ve heard/read some comments from viewers sharing their own opinions which may not always agree with my interpretation […]

July 19, 2021 | Emotional Traders React To Recent Market Rotation – Are You Ready For What’s Next?

Most traders don’t really have a solid strategy in place to protect assets and assist them in knowing when to pull risk capital away from market trends.  If you are trading on MEME stock content, variable technical strategies or flying by the seat of your pants when making trading decisions, you are probably very concerned […]

July 18, 2021 | Post-Covid Stimulus Payouts & The US Fed Push Global Investors Deeper Into US Value Bubble – Part II

In this second part of our research into how capital is being deployed across the globe and why traders/investors continue to pour capital into the US equities markets, we’ll explore how the US major indexes have reacted to the continued investments by the US and foreign investors compared to foreign market trends. Using methods like […]

July 16, 2021 | The US Continues To Dominate The World Stock Exchanges – Can This Last Forever? Part I

Since the COVID-19 lows, the global markets have shifted how capital is deployed into various global stock market exchanges.  Not only has the capitalization of global market exchanges changed, but the attitudes of traders/investors have changed as well. As the reflation/recovery trade setup and as global central banks continued to make efforts to support the […]

July 15, 2021 | What Does The Fed Mean By “Transitory Inflation” And Why Is It Important To Understand?

As the markets react to the somewhat shocking CPI and Inflation data while Q2:2021 earnings continue to roll across the news wires, we wanted to take a minute to explore the recent Fed comments related to “Transitory Inflation” and what that really means. For those of you not familiar with the word ‘transitory’ (in conjunction […]

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