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May 4, 2022 | Is The US Dollar The Global Safe-Haven?

Global investors continue to pile into the US Dollar making it the primary safe-haven trade.  This may eventually trigger a broad and deep selloff in U.S. stocks. As the USD continues to strengthen, corporate profits for US multinationals will begin to disappear. The following chart by Finviz shows the percentage the USD has appreciated against […]

May 2, 2022 | Market Volatility – Traders Must Adapt Or Risk Losing Their Shirts

Market volatility remains elevated and may be setting the stage for spikes even higher than we have already experienced. Global money is continuing to flow into the US Dollar making it one of the primary safe-haven trades.  This may eventually trigger a broader and deeper selloff in U.S. stocks. As the USD continues to strengthen […]

April 27, 2022 | Using Comparison Analysis For An Edge

Multi timeframe, as well as comparison analysis, have many benefits. As traders, we tend to utilize the shorter-term time frames to enter our trades and place our stops. But the BIG money is made from gleaning information from the longer-term charts. We would classify long term as monthly or weekly while short term would be […]

April 25, 2022 | Combing Thru Data – Looking For Clues About Volatility, USD & Stocks

We are now seeing that major economies (US/UK/Japan) are not immune from global deleveraging and inflation. As investors seek safety in the US Dollar this may eventually trigger a broader and deeper selloff in U.S. stocks and market volatility will begin to pick up as the VIXY moves up. As the USD continues to strengthen […]

April 21, 2022 | Global Market Trends Continue To Push US Dollar & US Assets Higher

Every day seems filled with some new comment or data point that suggests the Global Market or the US Fed will aggressively attempt to burst the inflation bubble. Global central banks continue to warn that COVID, and other issues, persist. Traders seek some clarity and understanding of what’s going to happen next. Will The US […]

April 20, 2022 | Where Are Investors Putting Their Money – Now Vs. Then?

Investors have been processing high inflation reports, rising interest rates, surging energy, commodity, and real estate prices. So, what is the market saying about which markets investors have favored the last couple of years vs where are they putting their money right now? A way to determine this is to simply plot the indices and […]

April 18, 2022 | Trading Major Indicies With Multiple Time Frame Analysis

There are many benefits to utilizing multiple time frame analysis in your trading. Some of the standard time frames are monthly, daily, weekly, 4-hour, 1-hour, etc. Longer-term traders may also monitor quarterly and annual charts for clues in market price action. Some traders use this process to hedge their position using options or an inverse […]

April 14, 2022 | The Many Uses of Option Delta

In an option chain, the delta for a given option strike price can vary from -1 to +1. Call options have a positive delta for option buyers somewhere between 0 and +1. Calls increase in value when the underlying increases in value. Put options have a negative delta somewhere between 0 and -1 as Put […]

April 12, 2022 | Utilities Rising & Transporters Sinking – Sector Rotation Is Providing Clues

Historically, investors gravitate toward more defensive and commodity-focused sectors, such as precious metals, energy, commodities, and utilities, in late-cycle bull markets. Recently, the stock market is beginning to show us signs that the bull market may be coming to an end. Commodities such as energy, grains, and precious metals have all experienced nice rallies. Price […]

April 4, 2022 | Waiting For GLD To Make New Highs – Gold Rally Is Still Intact

The calm of the last 3-weeks has resulted in a risk-on environment. This, in turn, has led to a nice recovery rally in stocks. For the time being, volatility has subsided. However, we believe there are many underlying market risks that can still resurface without any warning. From late 2015 to August 2020, the price […]

March 30, 2022 | Can Tracking Global Money Flow Provide Clues To Stay In The Black?

According to The Bank of International Settlements, the global foreign currency exchange (FX) daily transactional turnover averages $6.6 trillion. At Technical Traders, we track a variety of markets, asset classes, and global money flow looking for clues that will help us in our quest for ETF returns. Interestingly when foreign exchange is charted as a […]

March 28, 2022 | Volatility Retreats As Stocks & Commodities Rally

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is a real-time index. It is derived from the prices of SPX index options with near-term expiration dates that are utilized to generate a 30-day forward projection of volatility. The VIX allows us to gauge market sentiment or the degree of fear among market participants. As the Volatility Index VIX […]

March 23, 2022 | What Will Be The Impact Of Rising Rates On Stocks & Commodities?

Investors and traders alike are concerned about what investments they should make on behalf of their portfolios and retirement accounts. We, at TheTechnicalTraders.com, continue to monitor stocks and commodities closely due to the Russia-Ukraine War, market volatility, surging inflation, and rising interest rates. Several of our subscribers have asked if changes in monitor policy may […]

March 21, 2022 | Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Stock Tops $500,000

A subscriber asked us recently where he should be putting his money and how to limit losses in his retirement portfolio. He expressed frustration as he watched Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway stock going up, but at the same time, the stock indices going lower and many of his previously favored stocks experiencing substantial losses! This conversation […]

March 17, 2022 | China Stocks Selling Pressure Could Be Over, Now What?

THE SHANGHAI COMPOSITE INDEX HAS DROPPED MORE THAN 40% FROM ITS PEAK IN JUST 2 ½ MONTHS! China Stocks: This morning bottom pickers around the globe are snatching up what they believe to be “bargain basement priced stocks” as the Hang Seng Index gained 9.1% during today’s March 16, 2022 trading session. It was the […]

March 14, 2022 | Are Current Market Cycles Similar To The GFC Of 2007–2009?

Soaring real estate, rising volatility, surging commodities and slumping stocks – Sound Familiar? This past week marked the 13th anniversary of the bottom of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2007-2009. The March 6, 2009 stock market low for the S&P 500 marked a staggering overall value loss of 51.9%. The GFC of 2007-09 resulted […]

March 9, 2022 | How You Can Minimize Trading Risk & Grow Capital During A Global Crisis

To minimize trading risk and grow capital during a global crisis is somewhat hinged on the answers to speculative questions. How long will the Russia – Ukraine war last? How high is the price of oil and gas going to go? How quickly will central banks raise interest rates to counter high inflation? What assets […]

March 7, 2022 | Is It Too Late To Begin Adapting To Higher Volatility In The Market?

Now is the time for traders to adapt to higher volatility and rapidly changing market conditions. One of the best ways to do this is to monitor different asset classes and track which investments are gaining and losing money flow. Knowing what the Best Asset Now is (BAN) is critical for consistent growth no matter […]

March 3, 2022 | S&P 500 At Tipping Point To Start A Bear Market And What You Need To See

Is a bear market on the way? My research suggests the downward sloping trend line (LIGHT ORANGE in the Daily/Weekly SPY chart below) may continue to act as solid resistance – possibly prompting a further breakdown in the markets for US major indexes. As we’ve seen recently, news and other unexpected events prompt very large […]

March 2, 2022 | The Put / Call Ratio – A Technique Used To Gauge Market Extremes

Perhaps you’ve heard of the “Put / Call Ratio” (PCR) and been unsure of exactly what it is or when and how to use it. First, a quick review of what Calls and Puts are. Calls are option contracts that increase in value from a RISE in the price of the underlying stock or index. […]

February 24, 2022 | Will War Change How We Spend Or Invest Our Money?

I discussed the potential for the invasion into Ukraine with a friend over the past few days and how this new war may change the global economy. We ended up discussing the Invasion of Kuwait that took place in August 1990. At that time, as soon as the Invasion of Kuwait started, consumers almost immediately […]

February 16, 2022 | Mid & Small Cap Indexes May Surge Higher

As the global markets move away from recent concerns of war and Fed rate hikes, I believe both Small and Mid Cap indexes are uniquely positioned to potentially surge 7% to 11%, or more, from recent lows. My analysis suggests both the Small and Mid Cap Indexes may have moved excessively lower over the past […]

February 15, 2022 | Stocks Fall as Gold and Oil Jumps Amid Tension Over Ukraine – FED

The FED has made it very clear that it will raise its benchmark interest rate, the federal funds rate. This could have severe consequences and even lead to a financial crisis. They are too far behind the curve and will be labeled a major policy error in the future, most likely. They have put themselves […]

February 11, 2022 | Bonds Not Reflecting Risks Like They Usually Do – Where’s The Beef?

I’ve been paying close attention to Bonds as the global markets react to rising inflation and global central bank moves recently. The US Federal Reserve has yet to take any actions to raise rates, but we all know it will come at some point. Longer-term bonds are acting as if these risks are much more […]

January 28, 2022 | Fed Comments Help To Settle Global Market Expectations

The recent Fed comments should have helped settle the global market expectations related to if and when the Fed will start raising rates and/or taking further steps to curb inflation trends. Additionally, the Fed has been telegraphing its intentions very clearly over the past few months, providing ample time for traders and investors to alter […]

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