- the source for market opinions


July 31, 2022 | Are We in a Recession?

They will never learn. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell apologized for calling inflation “transitory” when all data pointed to it rising. The White House conveniently changed the definition of a recession days before the GDP data was released and declared that two consecutive quarters of decline no longer qualified as a recession. Now, Treasury Secretary […]

July 31, 2022 | A Weird Recession

Professional economists, perhaps tired of being asked, years ago formed a committee to officially mark the beginning and end of recessions, the NBER (Nation Bureau of Economic Research) committee considers a variety of data, but its final decision is subjective. Many of those who pay attention prefer a more objective rule, such as “two consecutive […]

July 31, 2022 | Trading Desk Notes For July 30, 2022

Markets assume “Peak Fed Tightening” has come and gone – stocks, bonds, commodities and gold rally, the US Dollar weakens The Fed raised s/t rates by 75bps Wednesday. The initial market reaction was muted, but during Powell’s press conference, markets decided the Fed would be less aggressive than previously thought – stocks and bonds rallied hard, […]

July 31, 2022 | How Bad News Trapped Bears

Last week’s price action served to remind us that big rallies and even entire bull markets are driven mainly by short covering. This doesn’t happen by accident; Wall Street’s quasi-criminal masterminds set short squeezes in motion using news as a catalyst. The booby traps they employ are more or less predictable, but they succeed anyway […]

July 30, 2022 | Argentina’s Economy Collapses

Argentina’s economy has collapsed. Around 57% of adults in the nation are currently unemployed. The Socialist nation has programs in place to compensate, costing the country around $6 million daily. However, socialism no longer works when you run out of other people’s money. July’s inflation report showed an uptick over 60%. Harry Lorenzo, chief finance officer […]

July 30, 2022 | This Week in Money

July 29, 2022 | Persistent and Large Rate Hikes by the Fed Signal the End of an Era

This week’s large rate hike by the Federal Reserve means that the era of the Greenspan Put is over. The Fed increased its base rate by 75 basis points this week and hinted that more increases are coming, in spite of widespread worries about a weak stock market and an economy that might be already […]

July 29, 2022 | Bears are a Series of Ladders and Snakes

The S&P 500 closes July in its fourth and largest counter-trend rally since beginning the 2022 bear market (green highlights below from my partner Cory Venable)–now just -14% from its January 4th high. Other recessionary bears have included a series of similar rebounds (six in 2000-2003 and five in 2007-09) that all broke to lower […]

July 29, 2022 | The Fed Ushers in Its 19th Recession

Germany cancels EV subsidies

July 29, 2022 | American Manganese CTO Zarko Meseldzija Discusses Recent Company Events

UBS Conference Call and Presentation. Watch Zarko Meseldzija, CTO and Director, UBS Conference Call & Presentation from July 21, 2022. Read Ford Authority Article – “Ford EV Battery Supplier SK Group To Spend $22 Billion In U.S.“. Read Market Watch Article – “Tesla and EV Demand Is Rising. An Analyst Upgrades Lithium Stock Albemarle“. See AMY […]

July 28, 2022 | Killing The Planet, Real Estate Crash

Resigning World Leaders, Food Shortages

July 28, 2022 | US Recession, Interest Rates, Inflation, Gold, Silver

Energy, Cryptos, Russia, China. Special Offer! Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code2022HALFOFF.

July 28, 2022 | US Officially in Recession, But is It?

Could Gold and Silver have bottomed?

July 28, 2022 | Will US Recession Drive Gasoline Prices Down?

Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Coal, Nuclear

July 27, 2022 | The Drought Cycle & Climate Change

QUESTION: Hello Martin and Team, My question is related to a gentleman I watched on Greg Hunters Watchdog News that Martin goes on with from time to time. Greg interviewed —- —–. The discussion was around chemtrails and the gov’t messing with the rain patterns, also lake Mead and the Las Vegas drain plug which I […]

July 27, 2022 | Interest Rate Hikes Will Not Save Us from Inflation

Rather than making money harder to get, the U.S. government needs to focus on the other side of the demand vs. supply equation. In prescribing cures for inflation, economists rely on the diagnosis of Nobel laureate Milton Friedman: inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon—too much money chasing too few goods. But that equation […]

July 26, 2022 | Chinese on US Real Estate Spending Spree

The Chinese are keen on investing in tangible assets, namely real estate. Canada implemented restrictions on foreign buyers after accusing them of the real estate shortage and sky-high prices. Chinese buyers are now targeting the American housing market. In fact, Chinese buyers outnumbered buyers from any other foreign country and spent over $6 billion on US real […]

July 26, 2022 | The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America, July Update: Whittling Down the Crazy Price Spikes

Signs are now everywhere that the crazy housing market is turning the corner. Earlier today the Census Bureau reported some chilling data on new house sales and prices, which plunged in June, as inventory surged to the highest since 2008. The National Association of Realtors reported last week that existing home sales in June also […]

July 25, 2022 | Historic Correction Underway

Another month, another record inflation print. Canada’s CPI inflation printed 8.1%, the highest level since January 1983. The silver lining is this was actually lower than market expectations of 8.4%, sending bond yields lower on the premise that inflation is likely peaking and a recession is becoming nearly inevitable if we aren’t in one already. […]

July 25, 2022 | Worldwide Inflation in June 2022

There is a common misconception that the United States has the highest rate of inflation in the world. I see it questioned in numerous emails The United States does have a major problem when it comes to inflation, but its currency has not depreciated to the point where it is weak. Let us compare data […]

July 25, 2022 | It’s Not Safe Or Effective

Christian Szell: Is it safe? Babe: I don’t know what you mean. I can’t tell you something’s safe or not, unless I know specifically what you’re talking about. Christian Szell: Is it safe? Babe: Tell me what the “it” refers to. Christian Szell: Is it safe? Babe: Yes, it’s safe, it’s very safe, it’s so […]

July 24, 2022 | The Solution to this Insanity

QUESTION: Hi Martin, thank you as always for your incisive explanations of what’s going on in the ever-roving mind’s eye of SOCRATES. In your July 24 interview with Greg Hunter of USAWatchdog, you started to explain that a form of “Great Reset” is necessary–because taxpayers’ $ has been spent hog-wild and wilder for 90 years, […]

July 24, 2022 | Why Liberals Dump Their Oldest Friends

[With stocks in a boring, stage-managed bear rally, we go well off the beaten path in this week’s commentary with a discussion of the amygdala. Let me explain. Since 2020, I’ve lost four close friends over political differences. I’d known all of them for at least 30 years and one for 65 years.  All had […]

July 24, 2022 | Trading Desk Notes For July 23, 2022

Is anything going right in Europe? Germany reported a monthly trade deficit in May for the first time since 1991 (following the reunification of East and West Germany) as a direct result of soaring imported energy costs. Energy shortages across the Eurozone may result in rationing later this year, exacerbating the current economic slowdown.   […]

July 24, 2022 | Hubris at the Fed

Finding just the right word brings great pleasure to writers like me. As I think and write about the Federal Reserve, the word “hubris” keeps coming to mind. The Merriam-Webster dictionary defines hubris as “exaggerated pride or self-confidence.” The entry notes the concept originated in ancient theater. “In classical Greek tragedy, hubris was often a […]

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