- the source for market opinions


April 24, 2021 | Gold (Active Futures)

Gold spent the better part of the last week testing the Fibonacci 38% retracement resistance ($1783) from the January high and satisfies the optimum rally from our Capitulation bottom at $1683.

April 4, 2021 | Gold Active Futures

Nice action off the buy signal Tuesday. GLD call options up over 100% by the end of the week.  

March 10, 2021 | Gold (Active Futures)

Gold bottomed in our anticipated time and price window under $1700 with a weekly Sequential Buy Setup and our first Downside Capitulation Alert since last March.

January 26, 2021 | GME

Unfortunately this wasn’t previously on our watch list, but it does fit the signals we have programmed into our models. It has gone from a monthly Sequential 9 and weekly downside Capitulation in August 2019 to upside Trifecta Exhaustion in January 2021.  

January 17, 2021 | Canadian Dollar

A roll in crude oil or the CRB will be negative for the Canadian Dollar. The currency already has daily and weekly Sequential 9 Sell Setups so the sale of call options (2% out of-the-money) looks attractive.

January 2, 2021 | Agricultural Index

April produced a downside Capitulation in the DBA ETF followed by a successfully tested low in July when we recommend call options. The GSCI Agricultural Index (with a longer track record) has now rallied 40% and appears ready to correct before the next leg to the upside

December 3, 2020 | Dow Industrials

Classic election year strength through December. The stop in the Dow and S&P is now comfortably above the Nov 2nd reversal. It should be raised once the lower Keltner Band moves above the Nov 19th low.

December 3, 2020 | Gold and Silver

When gold and silver generate concurrent TD Sequential 7 or 9 Buy Setups you can look for a minimum of a 38% retracement rally in gold as achieved today.

November 25, 2020 | British Petroleum

British Petroleum was a great reversal from a monthly Sequential 9 Buy Setup, weekly Sequential 13 and weekly Capitulation. Targets remain the weekly TDST at 24.61 and 50-month ema over $33. As always, optimum option trades were call options with a minimum of 45 days to expiry.

November 15, 2020 | Dow Industrials

Classic upside seasonal reversal on Nov 2nd from an election period low. Sequential 9 Setups in Dow, S&P and Russell on Friday. We have key support levels to watch until year end.

October 31, 2020 | S&P 500

A great week for our VIX model which triggered on Monday. The S&P reached the minimum downside target on Friday. November SPY puts up 100% from Monday morning.

October 13, 2020 | Bitcoin, Euro and US Dollar Index

Sequential 9 Setups in Bitcoin, Euro and US Dollar Index. One to four bars corrections are normal. Direct short-term impact on precious metals.

October 5, 2020 | US Ten-Year Treasury Yield

US Ten-Year Yield generated extreme Capitulation Alerts in March followed by a classic basing pattern. Such action was seen at the bottoms in 1971, ’77, ’83, ’86, ’94 & ’12. Look for the rally to last until a weekly Sequential 9 Sell Setup (9 wkly closes above 4 weeks earlier).  

September 23, 2020 | Canadian Dollar

It is a red flag when the Canadian Dollar underperforms commodities.

September 20, 2020 | DBA Agricultural ETF

This classic Wyckoff accumulation structure has served us well since the monthly Capitulation at the end of June. It is now approaching our initial target around $15.40. October $13 call options are up 100%, 14’s are up 50%.

September 3, 2020 | Silver Exhaustion Alerts

Silver continues to mimic the classic action of previous extreme Exhaustion Alerts (1974′, ’79, ’80, ’87, ’06’; 11 & ’16). We are looking for a test of the 50-day exponential moving average.  

August 28, 2020 | DBA Agricultural EFT

The monthly Capitulation in the DBA in June coupled with a well defined base is seeing prices push steadily towards our minimum target at the 20-month ema.

August 27, 2020 | Us Ten Year Treasury Yield

The US 10 and 30-Year Treasury yields continue to build a base.

August 21, 2020 | US Dollar Index

Daily and weekly Capitulations in the US Dollar at the end of July. Now a ‘Spring’ of that low with a nice intraday accumulation pattern.

August 11, 2020 | Silver 2020

Silver is rolling over from only our sixth Extreme Exhaustion reading since 1970. We have parameters for this correction and the ensuing bounce.

July 26, 2020 | Gold

A great run in gold to the July 24th target and $1888+ 2.618% Fibonacci measurement. COT tracking positively since June 12th buy signal.

July 22, 2020 | Gold

Having broken through the $1817 resistance, gold is moving nicely towards our targeted time window around July 24th for an interim high and a measured objective of $1888.

Next Page »