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September 26, 2023 | Real M2 Money Stock

The record y/y decline in M2 is just a correction within the rising trend.

April 29, 2022 | NYSE Margin Debt and Recessions

Typically in bubbles, the recession starts when stock speculation fails.

February 27, 2022 | SPY and DIA Call Options

Here is one of the four correlations we used to identify January 25th and February 24th as tradable lows. SPY and DIA call options more than doubled in the first forty-eight hours. S

February 17, 2022 | SentimenTrader Correlation from Last Week with 1994 Continues Intact

Without the use of Bloomberg, here is our interpretation.

January 1, 2022 | S&P 500

The methodical uptrend since the Super Capitulation low in March 2020 resulted in two overbought Exhaustion alerts and numerous daily Springboard Buy alerts which became timely entries for option traders. Our models suggest the next correction will be the deepest since 2020.

November 30, 2021 | Russell 2000

Russell 2000 action following the hard corrections noted by

November 11, 2021 | NASDAQ 100

Nov 5th: The NASDAQ 100 generated a rare CAP II buy on October 4th and rallied over 2,000 points. It entered an upside Exhaustion mode as of November 4th for the 22nd time since January 2000. Only five did not roll over within the next week and then drop to the 34-day ema.

October 8, 2021 | NASDAQ 100

The NDX triggered our CAP II buy signal on October 4th for only the 10th time in thirty years. They had common characteristics in the following days. Capitulations, Exhaustions and Springboards are our specialties.

July 4, 2021 | Gold Most Active Futures

Good looking Spring of support in gold following Capitulation alert June 21st. Initial target of 38% retracement from May high.

June 18, 2021 | Gold (Most Active Futures)

The upside Exhaustions, daily/weekly Sequential 9 sell setups and weekly outside reversal were a classic precursor for the current collapse in gold prices.

April 24, 2021 | Gold (Active Futures)

Gold spent the better part of the last week testing the Fibonacci 38% retracement resistance ($1783) from the January high and satisfies the optimum rally from our Capitulation bottom at $1683.

April 4, 2021 | Gold Active Futures

Nice action off the buy signal Tuesday. GLD call options up over 100% by the end of the week.  

March 10, 2021 | Gold (Active Futures)

Gold bottomed in our anticipated time and price window under $1700 with a weekly Sequential Buy Setup and our first Downside Capitulation Alert since last March.

January 26, 2021 | GME

Unfortunately this wasn’t previously on our watch list, but it does fit the signals we have programmed into our models. It has gone from a monthly Sequential 9 and weekly downside Capitulation in August 2019 to upside Trifecta Exhaustion in January 2021.  

January 17, 2021 | Canadian Dollar

A roll in crude oil or the CRB will be negative for the Canadian Dollar. The currency already has daily and weekly Sequential 9 Sell Setups so the sale of call options (2% out of-the-money) looks attractive.

January 2, 2021 | Agricultural Index

April produced a downside Capitulation in the DBA ETF followed by a successfully tested low in July when we recommend call options. The GSCI Agricultural Index (with a longer track record) has now rallied 40% and appears ready to correct before the next leg to the upside

December 3, 2020 | Dow Industrials

Classic election year strength through December. The stop in the Dow and S&P is now comfortably above the Nov 2nd reversal. It should be raised once the lower Keltner Band moves above the Nov 19th low.

December 3, 2020 | Gold and Silver

When gold and silver generate concurrent TD Sequential 7 or 9 Buy Setups you can look for a minimum of a 38% retracement rally in gold as achieved today.

November 25, 2020 | British Petroleum

British Petroleum was a great reversal from a monthly Sequential 9 Buy Setup, weekly Sequential 13 and weekly Capitulation. Targets remain the weekly TDST at 24.61 and 50-month ema over $33. As always, optimum option trades were call options with a minimum of 45 days to expiry.

November 15, 2020 | Dow Industrials

Classic upside seasonal reversal on Nov 2nd from an election period low. Sequential 9 Setups in Dow, S&P and Russell on Friday. We have key support levels to watch until year end.

October 31, 2020 | S&P 500

A great week for our VIX model which triggered on Monday. The S&P reached the minimum downside target on Friday. November SPY puts up 100% from Monday morning.

October 13, 2020 | Bitcoin, Euro and US Dollar Index

Sequential 9 Setups in Bitcoin, Euro and US Dollar Index. One to four bars corrections are normal. Direct short-term impact on precious metals.

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