- the source for market opinions


December 13, 2018 | The Agenda

  Days ago we told you to expect some changes in 2019, as the vote-hungry federal Libs feel intense pressure to throttle back on measures now driving a stake through the cold hearts of real estate bulls. Next year, after all, brings a general election. T2 has spent his mandate cuddling moisters and courting women. […]

December 13, 2018 | Expect Gold & Silver to pullback before the next move higher

Our team of researchers, at, believe the recent upward price move in Gold has reached a level where prices will pause and retrace a bit before the next big leg higher begins. The recent downward pricing pressures in the US and global stock markets have prompted Gold to move well above recent highs near […]

December 13, 2018 | German Yields Decline for Lack of Confidence or Expectation of Lower Rates at the Fed?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Do you agree with Bloomberg that the yield on German bunds has declined in anticipation of the Fed lowering rates? JV ANSWER: No  The falling yields on German government debt is simply intensifying the trade to buy German and short everything in the South in anticipation of a failed Euro. Also, there has […]

December 12, 2018 | Gerald Celente Announces his Top Trends For 2019

KINGSTON, NY, 12 DECEMBER 2018—Global forecaster Gerald Celente has released his Top Trends for 2019, offering detailed, essential predictions that pinpoint the critical turns and detours ahead As our Trend Alerts, Trends Journals, and Trends In The News broadcasts have chronicled in 2018 – from declining equity markets and economies globally, to the diving value […]

December 12, 2018 | British Columbia has an Opportunity to Gin from Slow Global Shift to a Lower GHG Future

The results of the CleanBC plan, should they be achieved, will have “zero effect” on the level, pattern, or growth of global greenhouse gas emissions, states a new commentary from leading business group. The Business Council of BC comment article, published on Dec. 12, found the CleanBC plan entitled Building a Low Carbon Economy: Industry in Action to […]

December 12, 2018 | Vanadium Prices are Falling—How to Profit

Ever since vanadium prices went vertical, I’ve been warning that the spike was not likely to be sustained. In my last update, in October, I said: I’m skeptical that a 30% increase in use in Chinese rebar justifies a 500% increase over recent vanadium price lows. I’d still think this way, even if China were […]

December 12, 2018 | Trap Sprung: Theresa May Survives Vote of No Confidence, What’s Next?

Theresa May survives a Tory leadership challenge by a vote of 200-117 but at a price. She will not run for PM again. The Telegraph reports Theresa May Survives No Confidence Vote but 117 Tory MPs Vote Against Her. Theresa May has won the backing of her MPs to “finish the job” on Brexit after making […]

December 12, 2018 | The Fake News

Let’s say you buy a $1 million house. Okay, in Vancouver that would be fairly nice garden shed, or perhaps one of those porta potties with a heated seat. Regardless, there mucho tax to pay – in BC and across the country. Without question governments have benefited bigly from the real estate boom of the […]

December 12, 2018 | Australian property boom mean reverting

Sydney has been an epicenter for speculative fervor in the Australian property market over the past decade, much like the greater Toronto and Vancouver areas in Canada. As shown in this chart, price declines over the past year have now been about 10%.  This is larger than the previous four declines since 1989 but still […]

December 12, 2018 | Custodial Risk

QUESTION: I have been a reader for 10+ year, Socrates subs and reg for Orlando WEC. Thank you and as a Veteran, I admire your courage and service. Ques: Under Dodd-Franks & Bail-In & Bankruptcy Priority; and, due to the Global Debt Crisis, is there a Custodial Risk for Investors a) who are “beneficial owners” […]

December 12, 2018 | Natural Gas Setup for a Big Move Lower

Our proprietary Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting Natural Gas is about to break down below the $4.30 level and move aggressively toward the $3.05~3.25 level.  This could be an incredible move for energy traders and a complete bust for existing longs. This Weekly Natural Gas chart is showing our Fibonacci Predictive modeling system and […]

December 11, 2018 | Overlooked Investment Finally Getting its Turn to Shine

In a gloomy market that can’t seem to catch a break, there is one patch that shines brightly: gold. As I told you Saturday, gold recently marked its highest close since July. But you know what? There’s one investment that is outshining gold. One you should consider buying right now. I’m talking about gold miners. Gold […]

December 11, 2018 | Mainstream Financial Analysis Is a Threat to Your Wealth

Yesterday morning, on Yahoo Finance’s Live Morning Edition, Yahoo’s Myles Udland said that the First Amendment does not guarantee freedom of speech, but freedom to criticize the government. That’s par for the course if he went to public schools in the US and had politically correct teachers in college. But then he went on to […]

December 11, 2018 | Yellen “Not Another Financial Crisis in Our Lifetimes” Warns of “Gigantic Holes”

Last year, Janet Yellen stated her belief there would not be another financial crisis. Already she is worried. No New Financial Crisis in ‘Our Lifetimes’ Flashback June 27, 2017: Fed’s Yellen Expects No New Financial Crisis in ‘Our Lifetimes’ “Would I say there will never, ever be another financial crisis?” Yellen said at a question-and-answer event […]

December 11, 2018 | The Real Origin of Trump’s Fight With China

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – Yesterday’s trading was inconclusive, like an argument between a husband and wife that has been going on for years. Sellers opened with an attack that sent the Dow down 500 points. Buyers defended themselves… forcing the Dow back up to end the day with nothing decided, one way or the other. But […]

December 11, 2018 | Bubble 3.0

The below segment is a worthwhile discussion of the interconnection between central bank repressed interest rates and the simulateous rise in real estate and financial assets over the last decade, leading to the first ever ‘everything bubble’ globally.  Naturally, what went up together is now coming down together, and it’s important to note that recoveries […]

December 11, 2018 | 45 & Done

45 turned out better than many suspected. They thought Donald Trump would have a hard time lasting a year, let alone two. But in that time US unemployment hit a 50-year low and is considered full employment. The stock market went up 60%. Taxes went down 30%. The economy grew robustly. Corporate profits thundered higher. […]

December 11, 2018 | When is Inflation – Deflation?

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; the WEC was the best ever. The materials it took you a month to prepare in advance are amazing. Your insight into the difference between a sovereign debt crisis and how that produces deflation compared to the debasement deserves a Nobel Prize. My question is how did the people cope with the […]

December 11, 2018 | The Powers-That-Be Were Everywhere Yesterday

11 December 2018 — Tuesday YESTERDAY in GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM and PALLADIUM The gold price went vertical the moment that trading began in New York at 6:00 p.m. EST on Sunday evening in New York.  but the short sellers of last resort were there in seconds — and from that point the price chopped quietly […]

December 11, 2018 | The World’s Biggest Hedge Fund Is Getting Whacked, And Why “Moneyness” Matters

A few years ago the Swiss National Bank (SNB) – which traditionally held “monetary assets” like government bonds, cash and gold to back up the Swiss franc — decided to branch out into common stocks. This was a departure, but for a while a brilliant one. The SNB loaded up on Big Tech like Apple, […]

December 10, 2018 | Macron Attempts to Placate Yellow Vest Protesters With Free Money

Macron will hike minimum wages by €100 per month, starting in 2019. Supposedly, this won’t cost employers a dime. The Wall Street Journal reports Macron Pledges Tax Cuts, Minimum Wage Hike to Placate Protests. In an address on national TV Monday, Mr. Macron broke a nearly two-week silence on the so-called yellow vest movement, named after […]

December 10, 2018 | BREXIT Vote Postponed?

Prime Minister Theresa May has postponed the final vote on her BREXIT deal, which is a clear admission that she does not believe she can get the unpopular withdrawal agreement through the House of Commons. What is really fascinating is that the computer seems to have forecasted that result. We did not see a major […]

December 10, 2018 | Exit Strategies

An astute reader asked me about exit strategies going forward, specifically in light of the lack of one during the 2011 peak for resource stocks. That may seem like a problem for another day—a day that may seem far distant while resource markets are still down. But it’s good to think ahead. First, let me […]

December 10, 2018 | America’s “Franz Ferdinand” Moment

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – Whatever good was done by the Trump/Xi trade war truce in Buenos Aires was likely undone by what was done in Vancouver Airport earlier this month.   Bogeyman Program The U.S. stock market warmed to the idea of a ceasefire last Monday morning. Then came word that the U.S. government had arrested […]

December 10, 2018 | Is a Deleveraging Event about to Unfold in the Stock Market?

As 2018 draws to a close and the global equities markets continue to find pricing and valuation pressures driving prices lower, a few questions come to mind for all investors/traders – Is a deleveraging event about to unfold?  What will it look like if it does happen and how can I protect my investments from […]

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