- the source for market opinions


January 10, 2022 | Fourth Turning 2022 – Bad Moon Rising

“Try to unlearn the obsessive fear of death (and the anxious quest for death avoidance) that pervades linear thinking in nearly every modern society. The ancients knew that, without periodic decay and death, nature cannot complete its full round of biological and social change. Without plant death, weeds would strangle the forest. Without human death, […]

January 9, 2022 | A Path-Dependent Year—WWJD

Twenty-two years of tradition dictate I begin the new year by forecasting what lies ahead. Unfortunately, the future is never really knowable. “Forecast” is a polite synonym for “guess.” The better ones are informed guesses, but still inherently uncertain. The coming year is particularly uncertain. The economy could be wildly different based on how certain […]

January 9, 2022 | When The Protest Songs Go Your Way, You’ve won

The job of an artist is to lead the rest of us to new ways of perceiving reality. So when the preponderance of art comes down on one side of a debate, the battle is pretty much over. All that remains is mopping up. Mark Crispin Miller (NYU professor nearly canceled for teaching both sides […]

January 9, 2022 | Danielle on CBC Weekend Business Panel

Danielle was a guest with Jeanhy Shim and John Northcott discussing some of the week’s major business stories.  Here is a direct video link.

January 8, 2022 | The DXY Craters: Gold & Silver Do Nothing

08 January 2022 — Saturday Yesterday in Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium The gold price certainly didn’t do much in either Far East or London trading on their respective Friday’s — and only began to show signs of life starting about five minutes before the 11 a.m. EST London close. It rallied a bit from there […]

January 8, 2022 | Will 2022~23 Require A Different Strategy For Traders/Investors? Part III

Is The Lazy-Bull Strategy Worth Considering? – Part III This last part of our multi-part article compares trading styles amidst the increasing price volatility and extended hyperbolic trending. We’ll explore what we’ve witnessed in the US markets over the past 5+ years and highlight what to expect throughout 2022. Additionally, we’ll highlight and feature the […]

January 8, 2022 | Trading Desk Notes For January 8, 2022

Interest Rates Surge Higher – Consequences Follow The 10-year US Treasury bond yield hit a 2-year high of 1.8% on news that the national unemployment rate fell to only 3.9% in December and that year-over-year average hourly earnings had surged by 4.7%. American futures markets are now pricing four quarter-point interest rate increases within the […]

January 7, 2022 | Financial Sector Starts To Rally Towards The $43.60 Upside Target

Near November 24, 2021, I published a research article suggesting the Financial Sector, XLF in particular, may bottom and start to move higher, targeting the $43.60 level. After watching XLF rotate lower and form multiple bottoms near $37.50, it appears to finally be starting a new breakout rally phase ahead of Q4:2021 earnings. Will it […]

January 7, 2022 | Judge Rejects FDA Withholding Pfizer Safety Data for 75 years – Another Revolving Door

There is something seriously wrong with the FDA, CDC, and the NIH. All of these pretend “independent” health organizations need to be CRIMINALLY investigated at this point. NOTHING they recommend can be trusted. A Federal Judge ordered the FDA to Produce Pfizer’s Safety Data in 8 months rejecting their claim they need 75 years. The mere fact […]

January 7, 2022 | Tesla Will Face Major Competition Soon

Tesla, the world’s leading electric automobile manufacturer, announced a sales record for the quarter ending December 31. The share price of Tesla is up about 10-fold since March 2020. Is competition from Volkswagen and Toyota about to derail Tesla’s dominance? The stock market valuation for Tesla hit $1 trillion, around the same time Apple’s total […]

January 6, 2022 | January 6th & Ukraine

  Today on January 6th, 2022, Britain warned Moscow that it was working with Western partners on high-impact sanctions targetting Russia’s financial sector should it invade Ukraine. Of course, Russia could equally turn off the flow of gas to Europe and watch it freeze. That would cripple Germany. There U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and […]

January 6, 2022 | Elevated Risk Exposure Magnifies Drawdown Impact

Those without the ability or willingness to lose capital and wait years hoping to recover have no business owning stocks and risky debts (including funds and ETFs of them), never mind cryptocurrencies, SPACs, and the myriad of other Ponzi-like instruments. And yet, individuals, asset managers and speculators have never been more fully risk-exposed. Last month, […]

January 5, 2022 | January 6th, 2022 & Civil Unrest

QUESTION: Your target for this week concerning Russia might be hitting Kazakhstan. The protesters began shooting the military and they set the President’s home on fire. Could this be the January 6th target? EH ANSWER: The protests there are over inflation with the drastic price rise in fuel. I fund it interesting that Russia is […]

January 5, 2022 | James Turk: The Dollar Isn’t What It Used To Be

Excerpted From James Turk’s just-published Money and Liberty: In The Pursuit Of Happiness & The Theory Of Natural Money: Since the 1944 Bretton Woods conference, the U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency. This term is still used today to describe the international role of the dollar, but it is meaningless to speak of […]

January 5, 2022 | As Prosperous as Your Real Estate

It was quite the year for the nations housing market. As I highlighted a few weeks ago, this shouldn’t come as a surprise considering our monetary base has expanded by about 23% over the past eighteen months. We are undergoing the largest monetary experiment in modern history. But enough of that, let’s take a look […]

January 5, 2022 | EVs Here To Stay Because They are Better and Cheaper to Run

Finally, thanks to Tesla’s leadership, all of the world’s major vehicle companies are racing to evolve to cleaner technology that is much more energy-efficient and cheaper to run for owners.  See Ford plans to nearly double production of its new all-electric F-150 Lightning pickup by mid-2023: The increase is a positive sign of demand for the F-150 Lightning as […]

January 5, 2022 | Will 2022~23 Require A Different Strategy For Traders/Investors?

Is The Lazy-Bull Strategy Worth Considering? – Part I Many traders struggled in 2021 with the extended price volatility and sideways price trends. Recently, news that Bridgewater’s 2021 results were saved by December’s +7.8% gain (Source: Yahoo! Finance) leads me to believe a number of independent funds and investors are going to have a tough […]

January 4, 2022 | Why Are Young Athletes Dying?

There is a disturbing YouTube montage mentioning a small fraction of otherwise healthy young athletes who suddenly died last year. This is not a normal occurrence. There is no possible way anyone could look at these deaths occurring throughout the world without noticing the one similarity among the deceased — they were all vaccinated. Myocarditis […]

January 4, 2022 | What I See for 2022: Interest Rates, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Stocks & Other Assets as Central Banks Face Raging Inflation

Super-inflated asset prices such as housing, stocks, and bonds; massive inflation; and central banks that have started to react. Many central banks have started pushing up interest rates; others have ended asset purchases. And Quantitative Tightening (QT) – central banks shedding assets – is on the table. Rising interest rates in the US won’t catch […]

January 3, 2022 | Mortgage Lenders Provided a Record $1.61 Trillion in 2021

The post-pandemic real estate frenzy led to mortgage lenders issuing more money last year than ever before. According to records, mortgage lenders in the US issued $1.6 trillion in purchase loans in 2021, an increase from $1.48 trillion in 2020. The only time mortgage loans came close to this level was in 2005, when lenders […]

January 3, 2022 | More Serious Than I Thought

I’m taking the unusual step of publishing a follow up article to my recently posted public article on the recent stunning OCC derivatives report. What prompts this more serious turn on my part was a question from a reader of my public article who asked me if I thought he should transfer the securities he […]

January 3, 2022 | Strong Hands to Weak–and So It Goes

More than $1 trillion of trend-following capital flowed into global equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs) over the past year–exceeding the combined total of the past 19 years (data: Bank of America Corp. and EPFR Global.)  The chart below offers a visual courtesy of  Passive funds tracking U.S. equity indexes accounted for most of that inflow.   […]

January 2, 2022 | The War on Cash & the Dollar

I have warned that Europe is the epic center for the decline and fall of Western Culture and economic strength. While the US has not yet joined Europe, the Democrats are licking their lips and trying desperately to figure out how to kill cash forcing everything to be digital in search of cash. In Europe, […]

January 2, 2022 | No Uncertainty About Two Key Bellwethers

Happy New Year and welcome back!  Things are beginning to return to normal at Rick’s Picks following the disastrous rollout of a new web site earlier this month by a company that had been working on it for nine months.  I’ve restored the old Rick’s Picks pages and replaced the firm with the highly capable Brian ‘Catman’ Catalucci, […]

January 2, 2022 | The Next War: Hypersonic Missiles, A.I., Space Combat

Excerpted from a much longer Breitbart article. Read the rest here.  2021 was a year of mounting apprehension about the next great power conflict – perhaps triggered by a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, or a Russian invasion of Ukraine – coupled with uncertainty about what the “next war” will look like. Has the next generation […]

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