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May 3, 2026 | Into Thin Air

These weekly commentaries have struggled to make sense of a world in geopolitical chaos but which is nonetheless transfixed by a financial melt-up that cannot end other than disastrously. Still more challenging is predicting the day-to-day effects on a stock market whose behavior is a perfect analog for acute, mass mental illness. By ascending without […]

April 26, 2026 | Craving a Token Piece of the Rock?

Is there a tokenized investment in your future? With so many white elephants to unload, Wall Street’s rep could come calling on you at any time. He will offer you a virtual piece of America’s future, claiming it will grow wealth for your children and grandchildren.  However, when you sit down with this cheery fellow to […]

April 19, 2026 | Explosive Rally Is a Dangerous Deception

You can hardly blame Trump for playing up the stock market’s spectacular performance whenever anyone challenges the way he is conducting the war, or claims the jihadists are winning. Even in the editorial rooms of the New York Times and Bloomberg, where a virulent strain of Trump Derangement Syndrome still lingers, news editors are finding their caustic opinions […]

April 12, 2026 | Prop Desk Crooks Take an Unscheduled Breather

It is neither bulls nor bears who move the markets, but crooks, mostly. Spectacular but fleeting rallies draw nearly all of their buying power from panicky short covering that is easily triggered and deftly harvested. I have previously discussed this phenomenon, which is most visible when stocks take unseemly leaps at the opening bell. Although […]

April 9, 2026 | Too Much Focus on Oil Hiding Stock Market Problems

Will higher fuel prices revive the EV sector?

April 5, 2026 | A Dreadful ‘What If’ Could Turn the Bear Savage

Did you fade the Dow’s 1100-point rally on Tuesday, or the nearly 500-point follow-through the next day like I told you to? I’d written here a few weeks ago that shorting into strength these days offers the best odds bears have gotten in decades. Stocks had spent four months building an obvious top, and finally, […]

March 29, 2026 | The Bear Has Finally Emerged

The war with Iran has put investors in a deepening state of anxiety, since no one can say for sure how things will turn out. Wall Street’s obsessive focus has been on the price of oil, implicitly trusting that the supposed collective wisdom of markets is superior to whatever information we could glean from headlines […]

March 26, 2026 | Markets Setting Up for Disastrous Plunge

Interest Rates will climb to combat war induced inflation

March 22, 2026 | Missile Threat Eclipses All ‘Investable Ideas’

Although Trump has achieved many spectacular successes in his second term, he has made two big promises he can’t possibly keep. The first was to bring back affordability to the broad middle class.  Anyone who believes this must be living on some planet with an all-powerful ruler who generously provides everyone with low-cost homes, apartments, […]

March 12, 2026 | Stock Markets Showing Signs of Topping Out

Copper market confusing

March 8, 2026 | Zuckerberg’s Huge Branding Problem

[Your editor is taking a busman’s holiday in San Francisco. Although trading touts will update as usual and I’ll be active in the chat room, this commentary and the next come from the archive. You can judge for yourself whether they were sufficiently on-target to still be relevant. RA] Stocks looked leaden as the week ended, […]

March 1, 2026 | Why Stocks Look Like Hell

[Events in the Middle East have overshadowed my narrow economic critique of President Trump in the commentary below.  His alliance with Israel to knock out global jihad’s command structure is likely to change the world in ways no one can predict. It will also test the idea that only military might can secure a lasting […]

February 22, 2026 | Was China’s Kung Fu Moon-Shot Real?

Robot demonstrations are notorious for going comically awry. Seat Robby at a staged dinner and he will stab himself in the eye with a forkful of make-believe mashed potatoes. Have him put a butter dish back in the refrigerator and he’ll slam the door on his head. So what, then, are we to make of this […]

February 15, 2026 | Musk Will Be the Last AI Entrepreneur Standing

AI hubris has got itself in a bind, trapped between two conflicting stories, neither of which seems likely to end well. One story has the boys in the billionaire’s club throwing untold sums of money at a technology that seems increasingly unlikely to produce commensurate returns. The other story has been threatening whole sectors of […]

February 12, 2026 | New Downside Targets for Gold and Silver

What the real scandal could be from the Epstein files

February 8, 2026 | Time to Jump on Miners

[The following commentary was written by Steve Houck. He is a longtime investor in bullion and knows the markets well.  He is also a friend and former business partner.  RA ] Looking at the froth in silver, it became apparent it was time to rotate from overvalued to undervalued once again.  Selling precious-metal ETFs like SLV and AGQ […]

February 1, 2026 | Microsoft’s Plunge Pricks AI Bubble

Pity the J-school rookies who are paid to explain why the stock market did what it did on a given day. On Thursday, Microsoft shares lost nearly a half-a-trillion dollars of value. But why? Bloomberg’s Evening Briefing called it a ‘rap on the knuckles’ for the company’s huge spending on AI projects that seem increasingly unlikely to […]

January 29, 2026 | The Secret Theory Behind Gold’s Charge to $5000

Why you should be wary of the term “tokenization”?

January 25, 2026 | What Rough Beast?

If you can’t guess what commodity the chart shows, you must be living on Mars. It is in fact a long-term picture of silver, which went ballistic in December.  The price has doubled since, blowing out a $50 top that had stood since 1980. That price became a part of silver’s legend, since it is […]

January 18, 2026 | Don’t Worry, Be Happy: The Bots Are Coming

Readers can be forgiven for wondering how long the ‘topping process’ I’ve alluded to over the last several months will drag on. As you will have long since concluded, no one can answer that question with confidence. For all that we supposed experts know, the bull market that began in 2009 could still be chugging […]

January 11, 2026 | Why the Bull Market Doesn’t Need MAGA

The Dow is poised to hit 50,000 this week, a milestone that would have seemed surreal when the blue chip average, plagued by covid, was bottoming near 18,000 six years ago. Although there can be little doubt that Trump helped kick stocks into high gear, one could argue that a powerfully bullish economic cycle made […]

January 4, 2026 | So Much Is Riding on Silver!

The speculative frenzy in silver has provided welcome relief from AI claptrap, but will it last?  There are a hundred theories about why silver has come exuberantly to life after lagging gold for so long.   I’ve been puzzled myself, since my technical runes suggest that gold futures could make an important top at $5132, about […]

December 21, 2025 | Grand Supercycle Will End with Trump

The widespread notion that a U.S. president can significantly influence the economy is mistaken. In observable fact, the broad cycles that bring us good times and bad, booms and busts, are vastly larger and more powerful than the presidency, too overwhelming to even affect, let alone command. Even the radical economic policies of Roosevelt’s New […]

December 18, 2025 | Room for Silver to Climb Higher

Bitcoin on very shaky ground

December 14, 2025 | Conviction, Guts Finally Paying Off in Bullion

Just one more push could exhaust a bull market that is coming up on its seventeenth year. Although that’s only about three dog years, it equates to about 120 human years.  In fact, no other bull market has lasted even remotely that long. The next-oldest, birthed at the low of the October 1987 Crash, was […]

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