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October 31, 2023 | World War III – It’s Inevitable

Martin Armstrong

Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.


COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong;

It is safe to say that nobody can hold a light to Socrates. Nobody has forecast war three years in advance as you did in 2011. Nobody has predicted a Middle East War in advance as you did two years ago. Even your posts on Turkey and its conflict with NATO, our bases there, and Erodan’s dream of restoring the Ottoman Empire. Everywhere I look, I see your forecast coming to life before my eyes. I can see World War III unfolding in a calamity of self-interests clashing with stupidity.

Besides market forecasts, your approach in creating Socrates to cope with the entire spectrum from politics to war has been a profound step forward in analysis. You deserve more than a Nobel Prize. You have achieved something significant for mankind.


REPLY: Thank you. You have hit the nail on the head a – “calamity of self-interests clashing with stupidity.” I see the world as the Biblical story of Joseph telling the Pharoah there will be 7 years of plenty and 7 years of drought. This story attempts to tell us that there is a business cycle, and we better live with it. Marx, Keynes, and Central Banks all attempted to either manipulate the business cycle or terminate it.

This was from Geneva 10 years ago. War comes when there is economic distress, set in motion with COVID-19 locking everyone down. Businesses closed, people lost their jobs, and the elite thought this was no big deal. You cannot raise interest rates to solve a shortage of food or to make it rain.

2011 WEC Philadelphia

On December 3rd, 2013, I posted that Socrates had pinpointed where this would all begin as Ukraine. On February 5th, 2014, I also warned that anti-semitism and pro-Nazism would rise again. I want to stress that these forecasts are NOT my personal opinion. The sooner people wake up and understand that everything has a cycle, the sooner we can reach a new paradigm in our political economy.

We are headed into World War III, as the computer has forecast, starting here in 2023 because all the old tensions in the world between people and nations will tear the world apart. We are witnessing anti-semitism rising around the world in Russia, the Middle East, Europe, and the Americas. This is extremely dangerous because it crosses all borders and raises old myths that have emerged from Jews and their connection to banking. For you see, Christians and Muslims had the sin of usury, so they could not engage in banking. That is what was really behind the Protestant Reformation that was usurped and funded by the “billionaires” of those days who wanted to engage in banking but would be excommunicated if they did. The Protestant Reformation was funded and eliminated the sin of usury so Christians could enter the banking field.

Jews were typically targeted when there was an economic downturn. Spain targeted Jews and Muslims and confiscated their assets. Edward I of England borrowed from the Jews to fund his war with France, and when he could not repay, he suddenly discovered they were Jews and expelled them from England, but defaulted on his loans and confiscated all their property.

It has been the religion of the Jews that has been the excuse to target the Jews when it traces back to economics. Both Hitler and Mussolini rose to power following the depression post-World War I, which was revenge led by France against Germany for past wars. Turn down the economy, and you get civil unrest and war. Even my dogs watch everything I do and connect the dogs to anticipate where I will go next or what I will do. It seems like nobody wants to look at history to connect the dots, as even my dogs do.

In 139 BC, Gnaeus Cornelius Scipio Hispanus expelled all Jews from the city of Rome. Then, in 63 BC, as a result of Pompey’s conquest of the East12,000 Jews were killed, and many more were sent into the diaspora, which was the biblical dispersion of Israelites or Jews out of their ancient ancestral homeland. In 59 BC, Cicero criticized Jews for being too influential in public assemblies. He also refers to Jews and Syrians as “races born to be slaves.” Then we come to 19AD, during the reign of Roman Emperor Tiberius (14-37AD), who also expelled the Jews from Rome. Most of the prejudice of the Jews in Rome was similar to that of the Christians – both refused to worship the gods of Rome.

Anti-semitism will continue to rise, and this will divide nations and peoples within nations because of old myths that they have no idea why they even exist.

As I have said, the old tensions and disagreements will fester and split the world apart. It is irrelevant if they ever had any basis in truth. The old hatred will rise again. Even Crimea has been fought over for millennia. It was part of the Pontus Kingdom, which stretched around most of the Black Sea. There is a vast historical database that Socrates refers to to determine where and when such events will unfold. That is why the CIA wanted the source code.

The Fed Chairman, when Bretton Woods collapsed, took the view that the business cycle always won. I spoke with Paul Volcker, and he agreed that the business cycle was about 8 years. He also concluded post-1975 in what he called the Rediscovery of the Business Cycle.

What I hope to leave behind is that there is the existence of cycles. If we understand humanity and connect the dots, we can create a world that is much better for all of us, and we will not have to freeze to death with no fossil fuels and eat bugs.

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October 31st, 2023

Posted In: Armstrong Economics

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