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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

Armstrong Economics -   The Minutes Report by the Federal Reserve indicates that the central bank is unlikely to cut rates at the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting on July 29-30. FOMC members unanimously maintained the borrowing range between 4.25%-4.5% where it has stood since December 2024. The central bank knows that it has limited power to […]

Armstrong Economics -   Bulgaria’s adoption of the euro is a major step toward abandoning its remaining sovereignty. The European Union is akin to a drowning person clinging to anything nearby in an attempt to stay afloat. Bulgaria will become the 21st nation to adopt the euro beginning in January 2026. Protests against the adoption have been ongoing […]

Armstrong Economics - The Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations foresees inflation returning to “pre-tariff” levels. As I have mentioned, the rising costs were a mere price correction and not a permanent rise in inflation. Tariffs were NEVER the root cause of inflation. The central bank predicts that inflation will read 3% in 13 months, which would be […]

July 8th, 2025 | People Flee Taxation

Armstrong Economics -   I have written about how Rome fell, and just by mapping the population of Rome, you can see the fate of many current nations and states operating under poor fiscal policies – people sell and just leave. It is different this time because, under socialism, the government has become abusive. When it came to […]

July 7th, 2025 | Connectivity is Power

Armstrong Economics -   I have been stating all along that attempting to forecast gold in isolation is the equivalent of summoning a witch doctor for cancer. Everything in this world is connected. Civilization unfolds as a synergy of people coming together and the sum is greater than the individual parts. This, too, is what the government is […]

Armstrong Economics -   Conversations with the Master Forecaster This book is unlike anything you’ve read before. It’s not another theory — it’s a documented track record of how Martin saw what no one else did: ✅ Sovereign debt implosions ✅ War cycles and geopolitical shifts ✅ The coming collapse of trust in governments ✅ The timeline to 2032 — […]

July 4th, 2025 | Happy Fourth of July

Armstrong Economics -   Today marks the anniversary of a revolution—not merely against a king, but against tyranny in all its forms. The Founding Fathers didn’t establish a democracy; they created a constitutional republic, understanding full well that democracy often devolves into mob rule and eventually leads to tyranny. As always, Socrates is tracking the path ahead. The […]

Armstrong Economics -   The concept of cycles is becoming accepted in Western culture. Recently, people have been focusing on what they deem the 80-year cyclical theory, which marks a significant shift in humanity. While this may be true, as it takes a few generations to change society, they are not incorporating the additional nuisances associated with the […]

Armstrong Economics -   The PYMNTS Intelligence report “Financial Lifestyles Shape Credit Reliance” revealed that American consumers are struggling to afford the basic essentials. Prices have been elevated since the worldwide pandemic shutdown the global economy and have not gone down in a meaningful way. The study found that 43% of American households who are a paycheck away from […]

Armstrong Economics - New York City’s far-left mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani is the human embodiment of the WOKE Socialist agenda. His “progressive” views are based on policies that have failed countless times. Mamdani’s most recent proposal has sparked controversy as he believes that predominantly white neighborhoods should pay higher taxes. Socialists feed on increased taxation to support the […]

June 29th, 2025 | The Four Faces of War

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: You are pessimistic about a resolution in the Iran-Israel conflict. Why is this different from Ukraine or even Vietnam? Jake ANSWER: This conflict between Iran and Israel is far more serious because it is Religious, not Ethnic, philosophical, or Conquest. The Ukraine conflict is ethnic. Ukrainians wrongly hate Russians because Stalin took their food and starved millions. What they REFUSE to admit […]

June 27th, 2025 | Pfizergate

Armstrong Economics - In early 2021, the entire European Union was under lockdown. Governments were prohibiting citizens from participating in society without the vaccination, and the EU’s largest supplier at the time, AstraZeneca, was unable to meet production needs.  European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen awarded Pfizer a €35 billion contract, personally, bypassing the proper channels in […]

June 26th, 2025 | The NATO Summit

Armstrong Economics -   A source from inside the NATO summit reported that Trump has correctly stated that Article 5 is voluntary, not a binding commitment. He has said that the US will sell and supply weapons, intelligence, and support to NATO and NATO members if a NATO member is attacked by other countries that are not NATO […]

Armstrong Economics -   World Economic Forum founder Klaus Schwab stepped down from his chairman position at the organization on April 20, 2025, amid accusations of fraud. Our computer had forecast that the WEF would enter a declining trend with the 2024 ECM turning point. This staged coup happened about 37 years after the first Davos meeting (8.6 […]

Armstrong Economics - The neocons would never permit a true ceasefire. The war in the Middle East must continue in order to broaden the West’s conflict with Russia. Russia is not permitted to remain neutral, despite Putin’s insistence. Follow the money—NATO has assembled $40 BILLION to prolong aggression against Russia. “Let’s not forget, Iran is heavily involved in […]

Armstrong Economics -   Supply chain constraints are inevitable during wartime. Shippers are actively avoiding the Strait of Hormuz that connects the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea amid the Iranian nuclear tensions. This is a significant disruption as around 20% of global oil is funneled through this passageway. Oman’s Musandam Peninsula hosts a narrow passageway with Iran […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: Marty, it is disgraceful that people take your work and issue books pretending it is their research. Yet it is even more shameful that Donald Trump isn’t calling you for advice instead of these people who couldn’t find the door in a room if the lights went out. You stated clearly that Iran’s […]

Armstrong Economics -     I repeatedly warned that the headlines would blame Trump tariffs for the incoming inflationary wave. Jerome Powell stated that “uncertainty is unusually elevated” as a result of tariffs, adding, “someone has to pay for the tariffs.” “Ultimately, the cost of the tariff has to be paid, and some of it will fall on […]

Armstrong Economics - China has discovered a massive 1-million-ton thorium deposit valued at $178 billion that could potentially power the nation for the next 60,000 years. Thorium is a radioactive metal found in the Earth’s crust that is three times as common as uranium. One ton of thorium can produce as much energy as 200 tons of uranium […]

Armstrong Economics -   This Middle East War is deeply connected with the war to destroy Russia, and it is all orchestrated by the NEOCONS. I have written before that I argued with Bill Kristol back in the ’90s, whose father helped start the Neoconservative movement. They wanted to remove all opponents of Israel under the pretense that […]

Armstrong Economics - Israel launched Operation Rising Lion on June 13, 2025, in an attempt to stop Israel’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs to “roll back the Iranian threat for Israel’s survival.” Mossad intelligence agents penetrated Iranian facilities with small explosive drones. Simultaneously, 200 Israeli fighter jets carried out precision strikes on over 100 targets. Over 20 senior […]

June 15th, 2025 | Is War a Contagion?

Armstrong Economics -   Is War a Contagion? World War I is certainly a classic case of war emerging as a contagion. The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand triggered a chain reaction of alliances pulling countries into the conflict. That seems like contagion through formal treaties. Yet, there is also the spread of revolutions. The American Revolution saw […]

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