- the source for market opinions


John Rubino

Guest's Website

John is author or co-author of five books, including of The Money Bubble, The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It, Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom and How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust. A former Wall Street analyst and featured columnist with, he currently writes for CFA Magazine.

Dollar - From Michael Pento’s Pentonomics:  The Fed’s manipulation of the money supply and its cost has served to obliterate the function of asset price discovery, just as it has also caused the middle and lower classes to reduce their standard of living. Since a greater percentage of their falling real incomes goes to the purchase of […]

Dollar - Short-term interest rates are now as negative as they were in the inflationary 1970s. But that’s where the similarity ends. As the above chart shows, 1970s indebtedness was relatively modest as a percentage of GDP, which gave that financial system the resiliency to withstand the double-digit interest rates necessary to throttle inflation and bring things […]

Dollar - Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, the world’s biggest investment company, just went on CNBC to commiserate with today’s savers. You may need to work longer, ramp up investment risk to afford retirement, BlackRock CEO Fink says “Unquestionably, as central banks keep rates low, or negative in Europe, the savers are getting slammed,” BlackRock’s Larry Fink […]

Dollar - There’s never been a generation as influential, for good or ill, as today’s Baby Boomers. So our mass retirement over the next decade should, in theory, be a big deal. One scenario has us selling our stocks and either spending the proceeds or moving them into less risky assets like bonds and cash. This reverses […]

Dollar - From today’s Wall Street Journal: ‘Financially Hobbled for Life’: The Elite Master’s Degrees That Don’t Pay Off Recent film program graduates of Columbia University who took out federal student loans had a median debt of $181,000. Yet two years after earning their master’s degrees, half of the borrowers were making less than $30,000 a year. […]

Dollar - One glance at this chart should silence any talk of “a return to normalcy”. We are emphatically not headed in a normal direction. The liquidity being generated by this debt binge is pushing up prices in a wide variety of sectors. Shipping costs, for instance, are soaring… … which is raising manufacturing costs for any […]

Dollar - It’s been hard, lately, to untangle the many causes of inflation’s sudden surge. How much is due to the pandemic lockdown distorting year-over-year comparisons? How much to crippled supply chains forcing manufacturers to pay up for needed components? And how much to good old-fashioned excessive money printing? Whatever the cause, headline inflation numbers have been […]

Dollar - In 2018, the Fed tried to moderate its post-Great Recession emergency policy of low interest rates and torrential money printing. It reduced (or tapered) its asset purchases and, in a series of tiny steps, boosted short-term interest rates by about one percentage point. And the financial markets, by then addicted to easy money, threw what […]

Dollar - This is a time of almost supernaturally-easy money. US financial conditions, in fact, have never been this accommodative, which is why junk bonds, CLOs, NTFs, cryptos, and meme stocks have been able to attract so much hot money. But the velocity of money – i.e., how often a given dollar is spent in a given […]

June 3rd, 2021 | $200 Silver Target

SilverRadio.FM - Silver seriously undervalued?

Dollar - The “Everything Bubble” has jumped from hyperbole to literal truth in just a couple of years, as more and more assets enter “crazy expensive/extremely reckless” territory. The latest addition to the list is collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), which are created when a bank lends money to a less-than-creditworthy company and then bundles that loan with […]

Dollar - Pretty much everyone over 40 remembers a riveting but ultimately frustrating 1990s TV show called the X-Files, in which aliens show up and make some extreme demands on the world’s governments. Hopelessly outgunned, the governments not only surrender but volunteer to help with the transition to alien rule. All unbeknownst to the public, of course. […]

Dollar - It’s getting harder to tell which approaching crisis requires attention and which can be safely ignored. Sometimes it helps to see the data laid out visually.   Section One: If the supply of money still matters … Inflation (as the government defines it) has tracked the per capita money supply pretty closely over the past […]

Dollar - One of the emerging trends in the almost-post-covid economy is companies suddenly having to pay way up to find new employees. Restaurants, truckers, even Uber and Lyft, are now struggling to track down and re-hire the people they and their competitors shed during the lockdown. It’s not going well: The Covid recovery labor shortage is […]

Dollar - On today’s Wall Street Journal home page, two stories appear side-by-side. One is about how a heretofore obscure, nearly-valueless cryptocurrency called dogecoin, originally created as a joke, has soared to the point of being consequential for large sections of the investing public. And it’s not unique: Dogecoin Is a Joke, but It’s No Laughing Matter […]

Dollar - The Fiat Currency Age is nothing if not repetitious. There are dozens of charts that illustrate how closely today’s financial bubble resembles its predecessors. But simple is better when expressing a hard truth, so let’s go with that old standby, margin debt. This is debt created when over-stimulated investors borrow against their stocks to buy […]

Dollar - Excerpt from Lawrence Lepard’s Equity Management Associates Q1 Report:  We believe we are in the early to middle stages of a worldwide sovereign debt bubble collapse. The “bubble” which exists today is in debt and the currencies which are backed and supported by this debt. This is a very big deal and does not happen […]

Dollar - If you think New York Times, Fox, and MSNBC reporters are pursuing “journalism” when they repeat CIA talking points or haunt online forums hoping to catch people using problematic words (and then whine when they’re criticized for being deep state mouthpieces or woke bullies), check out this video of Glenn Greenwald explaining how real reporters […]

Dollar - Before the pandemic, auto sales were booming, mostly because car loans were available to pretty much anyone with a driver’s license and a heartbeat. “Subprime” auto loans – which charge high interest rates and run for up to eight years (hence the nickname “car mortgage”) — accounted for about 20% of a $1 trillion+ market. […]

April 5th, 2021 | Paradise Lost

Dollar - So a single political party gains control of a lockdown-battered country desperate for any and all forms of government spending. Direct payments, loan forgiveness, infrastructure, all of these and more are not just possible, but popular. The president and his Congressional allies simply write the bills, pass them, and bask in the near-universal admiration of […]

Dollar - The mainstream press is comfortable with moderate inflation because it raises financial asset prices and allows the government to spend more money. But when inflation hits a rate that threatens the stock market, even the Wall Street Journal starts to fret: A Fed With No Fear of Inflation Should Scare Investors It has taken four […]

Dollar - One of the flaws in the revolutionary mindset is a tendency towards overconfidence. Combine absolute belief in a new idea with a couple of early wins and you get an absurd level of cockiness. This leads the would-be revolutionary to underestimate the challenges involved in getting from there to ultimate victory. Why? Because those early […]

Dollar - Once upon a time, if you wanted to be a journalist there were just a couple ways to go. You could start at a small-town paper as a glorified intern and learn the craft by covering local weddings and town council meetings, then move to a slightly bigger paper, and so on up the food […]

Dollar - So bonds are obviously a bubble. And stocks have never been this overvalued. US houses have never been this expensive. Cryptos have had the greatest run in financial history. And the global money supply is soaring while most fiat currencies more-or-less hold their official value, which is another way of defining a bubble. Guess that’s […]

Dollar - Fed Chair Jerome Powell just spooked the markets by predicting nt: Fed’s Powell says reopening could cause inflation to pick up temporarily Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said Thursday that he expects some inflationary pressures in the time ahead but they likely won’t be enough to spur the central bank to hike interest rates. “We […]
Next Page »