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Bob Hoye

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Bob Hoye has been in investment business for some 50 years, making him one of the more experienced researchers. His historical work has been thorough providing the first recognition of the fascinating transition from speculation in commodities to speculation in financial assets. It was controversial when Bob observed that “No matter how much the Fed prints, stocks will outperform commodities”. In January 2000, the research team concluded that the Dot-Com Bubble would peak in March 2000. In early 2007, the team outlined that the credit markets would reverse in May-June 2007. They did and the stock market followed. The latest was the call in early October for the Bitcoin Bubble to complete in December. Bob’s essays and speeches on political change and on actual climate change have been widely circulated. Radio - Record high bond defaults in China

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - Those new to history as well as those familiar with history may find it startling to read that some major political events have been methodical. Methodical enough to be predictable. The following essay is based upon research the writer pursued in the late 1970s. It focused upon unrelenting experiments in authoritarian government since the one […]

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - In its own way, the United States of America is suffering the equivalent of Mao’s Cultural Revolution of the 1960s. Ironically, because the Constitution should be proof against such ambitious control freaks. Using fear of disease and global warming. With Mao’s nightmare, every decision was made at the top and mobs of radicals turned all […] Radio - Central Banks wrong to keep interest rates artificially low Radio - Suggestions to help survive a market correction

April 16th, 2021 | Lumber Ultra Expensive Radio - Low official government inflation figures a lie Radio - Are the market and real estate bubbles ready to burst? Radio - Caffeine junkies and Government Deficits Radio - Could there be another short squeeze on silver? Radio - Is it wise for pro athletes to take Bitcoin as pay? Radio - Money reserve problems in developing countries could come here Radio - Shrinking Hedge Funds Exposing Dud Assets Radio - Is rampant inflation likely? Radio - Inflation, Interest Rates, Risky Borrowing Radio - Dow, US Fed, 1929, Bitcoin

January 31st, 2021 | Short Selling Stories

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - With unprecedented short squeezes happening lately, the trade is getting the equivalent media attention. Right up front, this veteran investor is very much for shorting. With rules including execution only on an uptick trade and with the stock available at what used to be called the loan post. Selling short into a rising market provides […] Radio - Gold beats speculation in the long run

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - In just going back to President Lyndon B. Johnson, Democrats have been pixilated by political novelty. Often trashing being sensible, but for Democrats—what is sensible? LBJ was a “dirt-poor” teacher from a “dirt-poor” part of Texas. Who when not picking up dogs by their ears or specifically detailing the next day’s bombing targets in North Vietnam, […]

January 22nd, 2021 | Rich Getting Richer and 1929 Radio - Does Gold Predict Markets? Radio - What does record high margin debt tell us?

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - Until Wednesday, Trump’s convivial rallies have been historically big and convivial. Enjoyed by happy patriots who knew they were winning. An orderly way to restore accountable and limited government.  In openly criticizing unrelenting intrusion by authoritarians this has been a refreshing attempt to bring much needed reform. Following up the stellar election in 2016, the […] Radio - What could be warning signs market has topped?

January 5th, 2021 | Turning Event Dates

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - Throughout history, societies have lived relatively peacefully within the politics of limited government and individual freedom. No matter where or when prevailing, it has provided the most prosperity. And over the last few generations, prosperity has provided unprecedented longevity. What is there not to like? But some in living a life of endless personal dissatisfaction, […]

December 31st, 2020 | Princely Finance and Taxation

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - One would have hoped that financial rip-offs committed by medieval princes would have been permanently shelved when liberal enlightenment ended the divine right of kings. Instead, some kind of divine right of bureaucrats has forced too much in-your-face and in-your-wallet government. Today’s version of greedy royalty. And the remedy lies in popular uprisings against bullying […]

Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye - A tweet from the National Weather Service in Miami: “Brrr! Much colder temps expected for Christmas. Falling iguanas are possible”. On Christmas Day, the Associated Press reported: “With unexpectedly cold weather in the forecast and pandemic-related curfews. Florida is about to have a Christmas unlike any other in recent memory, and it may involve falling […]
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