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June 12, 2022 | More Trouble for Fed Thimble-Riggers

Rick Ackerman

Rick Ackerman is the editor of Rick’s Picks, an online service geared to traders of stocks, options, index futures and commodities. His detailed trading strategies have appeared since the early 1990s in Black Box Forecasts, a newsletter he founded that originally was geared to professional option traders. Barron’s once labeled him an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case. He received a $200,000 reward when a conviction resulted, and the story was retold on TV’s FBI: The Untold Story. His professional background includes 12 years as a market maker in the pits of the Pacific Coast Exchange, three as an investigator with renowned San Francisco private eye Hal Lipset, seven as a reporter and newspaper editor, three as a columnist for the Sunday San Francisco Examiner, and two decades as a contributor to publications ranging from Barron’s to The Antiquarian Bookman to Fleet Street Letter and Utne Reader.

As if the thimble-riggers at the Fed didn’t have enough to worry about, the dollar turned rabid last week, threatening to transform America’s still-undeclared recession into a downturn for the history books. The greenback’s rally pushed the price of U.S. goods even higher for foreigners while increasing the cost of fuel that they pay for mostly in dollars. In theory the dollar’s strength should have alleviated pain at the pump for U.S. consumers. Unfortunately, however, with the cost of gas and diesel fuel thrusting to mind-numbing new highs each week, the effect has been so muted as to be barely noticeable.

Wall Street has noticed the gathering storm, however, and is doing everything possible to distribute stock to the rubes before pulling the plug. Last week, for instance, Amazon was trading down around $110 a share following a 20-for-one stock split. The idea that stock splits are bullish is a pernicious lie that has gained currency because most investors tend to think that more of anything is better. Now widows and pensioners who owned just a few shares of AMZN at $2000-plus per now have twenty times as many shares. How fabulous is that? They naturally expect those shares to rise eventually to their pre-split price, which would not be unusual in a prolonged bull market. But we are quite possibly in a bear market now, and the outcome may not be so felicitous as AMZN’s peanut gallery might imagine. Whatever the case, you can count on insiders to unload as much of the stock as they can now that shares have become affordable for the masses.

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June 12th, 2022

Posted In: Rick's Picks

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