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Nadeem Walayat

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Nadeem Walayat is the Editor of The Market Oracle, with over 20 years experience of trading derivates and portfilio management.

The Market Oracle - This is my latest video in my Trump Reset War with China series that details the key mega-trend geopolitical consequences of the Trump Presidency, of why the United States under Trump would be trending towards an inevitable war with China, economic, cyber and even outright military conflict, something that many were skeptical of when I […]

The Market Oracle - Here is my final UK election forecast conclusion on the basis of the sum of my analysis of the past 6 weeks in the run up to Theresa May’s BrExit snap general election. Usually I would have aimed to have posted my final forecast conclusion at least a month before the day of the election […]

The Market Oracle - On Wednesday 29th May 2017 Theresa May’s post man in Brussels hand delivered a 6 page letter to Donald Tusk the President of the European Council, triggering Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty starting the formal process for the UK exiting the European Union within 2 years’ time, with the negotiations expected to begin during […]

The Market Oracle - President Trump recently stated that he loves Wikileaks, predominantly in response to its leaking of Hillary Clinton’s emails. And in that spirit Wikileaks latest leak of near 9000 CIA documents once more reminds all the extent to which the NSA and CIA wish to eavesdrop into the lives of potentially every person on the planet, […]

The Market Oracle - This is the first of a two part in-depth analysis that seeks to forecast key mega-trend geopolitical consequences of the Trump Reset (Part 2: US Empire’s Coming Economic, Cyber and Military War With China). Trump’s US election win amounts to a pressing of the reset button on that which has passed for at least the […]

The Market Oracle - Today (21st December) the Dow again traded within a whisker of the mega stocks bull market milestone of 20,000 by hitting a high of 19,987 before retreating to close at 19,942, up 15% on the year and 9% since Trumps election win, and I just cannot wait any longer for those extra 13 points to […]

The Market Oracle - So Donald Trump, Mr BrExit WON the US Presidential Election of 2016 despite the fact that right up until the polls closed the pollsters, the mainstream media journalists and paid pundits, the so called analysts, financial markets and even betting markets ALL had concluded that Hillary Clinton was going to win. How did he do […]

The Market Oracle - It’s the 2nd of November and not just America but the whole world is counting down to the US election day. Gone is the fantasy reporting of a week ago when the mainstream press, pollsters, political pundits, analysts, book makers and markets were literally all concluding that Hillary Clinton was heading for not just an […]

The Market Oracle - It’s that time of the year again when the stock market doom merchants are at their most vocal as they focus on the historic apex of the darkest month for stocks of the year, October the 19th, the 29th anniversary of the 1987 Black Monday stock market crash that few saw coming but ever since […]

The Market Oracle - The 1st of 3 presidential debates will be held in a few hours time going into which Hillary leads across a wide spectrum of indicators from polling, political pundits, electoral college forecasters such as Nate Silver who give Hillary a 60% probability of winning the election, and of course the bookmakers who have Hillary Clinton […]

The Market Oracle - The Latest opinion poll by YouGov puts REMAIN marginally ahead on 45% against LEAVE on 44%, which illustrates that both LEAVE and REMAIN camps are virtually neck and neck, literally balanced on a knife edge going into voting day that compares against the dramatic shifts in the polls of the past 10 days. The opinion […]

The Market Oracle - One of the primary drivers for triggering the EU Referendum Is immigration and more specifically EU immigration that many deem to be out of control as membership of the European Union means free movement of workers which has prevented the UK from controlling its borders now for over a decade as the UK is buffeted […]

The Market Oracle - At the start of the year the prevailing mood in the oil market was not just one of gloom and doom but of catastrophe as the oil price sunk below $30, skidding by the middle of February to virtually touch $25, a period during which many prominent analysts and investment banks such as Goldman Sachs […]

The Market Oracle - The supposed great bear market of 2016 has relentlessly trended in the WRONG direction as each hope that the bears clung to once more resolved in another ramping higher of stock prices. The latest best hope being the Fed meeting that was meant to deliver bear market apocalypse and most recently Yellen yelling that the […]

The Market Oracle - The crude oil price collapse of 2015 has continued into 2016 with the price of oil plunging to a 12 year low of just under $30 per barrel as a consequence of a perfect storm of falling demand, primarily due to the slowing Chinese economy and relentlessly rising output that is not just limited to […]

The Market Oracle - The Bank of England announces its latest cunning plan in its ongoing ‘War on Cash’ under the cover of Europe’s refugee crisis that is witnessing Eastern European hypocrisy, such as that of Hungary forgetting its own past of sending hundreds of thousands of refugees westwards for over 60 years, and the most recent wave of […]

The Market Oracle - The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market […]

The Market Oracle - The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are […]

The Market Oracle - Whilst all eyes in the West were on Greece as its marxist Syriza government played game of thrones with the Greek peoples lives as they black mailed the Eurozone, the chinese stock market crashed, collapsing by over $2 trillion into a BEAR MARKET sending over 200 million chinese retail investors into a panic as they […]

The Market Oracle - The Syriza government that like a spoilt child keeps throwing its toys out of the euro-zone pram has been pushing Greece towards economic and financial collapse since its January election win, as Syriza continues to blackmail the euro-zone that if Greece does not get its way then they will take the euro-zone down with them, […]