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January 20, 2022 | Hoisington Q4 2021 Review and Outlook

Danielle Park

Portfolio Manager and President of Venable Park Investment Counsel ( Ms Park is a financial analyst, attorney, finance author and regular guest on North American media. She is also the author of the best-selling myth-busting book "Juggling Dynamite: An insider's wisdom on money management, markets and wealth that lasts," and a popular daily financial blog:

Hoisington Investment Management’s fourth-quarter 2021 Review and Outlook is now available on their website here.   Always worth a mull.

Bottom line:  Global growth is slowing in 2022 under record debt, poor demographics, negative real yields and wages that undermine spending and productivity-enhancing investment.  China is looking a lot like Japan did in the 1980s. With emerging economies under increasing stress, Treasuries and U.S. dollars remain relative safe havens that should attract global inflows in 2022:

“Due to poor economic conditions in major overseas economies, 10- and 30-year government bond yields in Japan, Germany, France and many other European countries are much lower than in the United States.  Foreign investors will continue to be attracted to long-term U.S Treasury bond yields. Investment in Treasury bonds should also have further appeal to domestic investors, as economic growth disappoints and inflation recedes in 2022.”

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January 20th, 2022

Posted In: Juggling Dynamite

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