- the source for market opinions


September 26, 2021 | Today’s Chart: This Real Estate Bust Is A Global Problem

John is author or co-author of five books, including of The Money Bubble, The Collapse of the Dollar and How to Profit From It, Clean Money: Picking Winners in the Green-Tech Boom and How to Profit from the Coming Real Estate Bust. A former Wall Street analyst and featured columnist with, he currently writes for CFA Magazine.

Pretend you’re a country that over the past decade has engineered the mother of all real estate booms, in the process encouraging your citizens to load up on houses, apartments, raw land, anything related to the property sector. Your households now have 74% of their wealth in real estate, versus only 28% for those house-mad Americans. You’re China of course.

Chinese real estate bust

Now assume that your real estate bubble is in danger of bursting, as a giant property developer implodes under the weight of its Ponziesque financing schemes, threatening to impoverish millions of people who one way or another are exposed to its failed projects.

But that’s just phase one of the problem. Because most other Chinese real estate developers also have opaque finances, investors are pulling their money out of those companies too, potentially crashing the entire industry – which, remember, accounts for ¾ of  household assets. Put bluntly, the Chinese economic miracle is now in danger.

But that’s just phase two of the problem. China is the second biggest economy in the world and has investments/trade deals/financing arrangements pretty much everywhere. So no place is safe from a Chinese financial crisis.

Which means – you guessed it – a coordinated bailout of whoever needs it by the world’s central banks, coming soon.


STAY INFORMED! Receive our Weekly Recap of thought provoking articles, podcasts, and radio delivered to your inbox for FREE! Sign up here for the Weekly Recap.

September 26th, 2021

Posted In: Dollar

Post a Comment:

Your email address will not be published.

All Comments are moderated before appearing on the site


This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.