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November 19, 2018 | The Gold & Silver Corrective Rally is Almost Over

Strong words, aren’t they? And yet, we are not afraid to put them right in the title. The number of factors (and their importance) that point to a nearby reversal and continuation of the major decline is too significant to believe in the bullish case, even though gold, silver, and mining stocks moved higher in […]

November 12, 2018 | Warning: Precious Metals’ Prices are about to Collapse

Silver just moved to its 2018 bottom. Not somewhat above it, not relatively close to it – silver’s Friday’s close of $14.14 equals the previous lowest closing price of 2018 that was formed on September 14th. That’s not yet a breakdown, but the implications are severe. Silver’s Move to the 2018 Bottom Silver’s decline means […]

November 7, 2018 | Rallying Gold, Declining USDX, and the CoT Comments

The US elections are over and since the markets were not surprised by their outcome, there was no significant reaction. It seems that the markets can now return to their previous trends. But… the USD Index is down significantly today, while gold and silver are rallying. Does it mean that the trend in the precious […]

November 5, 2018 | USD’s Weekly Breakout and the Golden Spring

USDX’s Friday’s close was its highest weekly closing prices of 2018. This is an extremely significant confirmation of the bullish outlook for the US currency that followed the verification of the breakout above the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern. The implications are clearly bullish for the US dollar. But are they clearly bearish for gold? The yellow […]

October 29, 2018 | Inverse H&S Patterns and Something Even More Extreme

And so it happened. Gold stocks closed the week below the neck of their inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, while the USD Index closed it above its own inverse H&S. The implications thereof are strongly bearish for gold, silver, and mining stocks and we can say the same about gold’s shooting star candlestick that formed on Friday… […]

October 26, 2018 | Gold Stocks and the Sell Signal from the Inverse H&S Pattern

Wait, what?! Isn’t the inverse head-and-shoulders a bullish pattern that was supposed to take gold miners much higher? Indeed, it is. But it didn’t take gold miners much higher and all that the completion of the above-mentioned pattern generated was a corrective upswing that didn’t even take gold stocks back above their December 2016 lows. […]

October 24, 2018 | Clearest Reversal in Gold

Gold rallied yesterday, right before its turning point, and reversed its course before the end of the session. Precisely, even before the US session started. Miners reversed as well, after failing to move back above the late-2016 bottom. With the critical situation in the USD Index, and gold miners’ short-term underperformance (so far this week […]

October 22, 2018 | Little Changes and Many Signals in the PMs

There were not many changes in gold, silver and mining stocks on Friday, and not much has changed in terms of the weekly closing prices either. Gold and gold stocks closed modestly higher, and silver was up by $0.01 last week (after declining $0.01 in the previous week). Some data sources point to $0.02 movement […]

October 17, 2018 | Determining the Outlook for Mining Stocks? Look Deeper Than Others.

Gold miners completed the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern – it’s now a fact. And many analysts would have one believe that it’s the only fact that matters right now or that it’s of major importance. But just like focusing on one tree can make one miss the entire forest behind it, the above could make the […]

October 8, 2018 | Gold: Ready, Set, Go! Were You Really Ready?

The previous week is over and even though we haven’t seen any significant volatility in its final part, it doesn’t mean that we haven’t seen any meaningful signals. We did and one of them has important implications for the short term and a few others have much more important implications of the medium-term nature. Based […]

October 4, 2018 | Inverse H&S in the Miners? Really?

Gold rallied, silver rallied, and mining stocks rallied. That’s how one can summarize yesterday’s session. The volume was huge, so it appears that a major upswing has just begun. But is this really the case? As always, just because things look encouraging and the emotions are high, it doesn’t mean that anything changed. One needs […]

October 1, 2018 | The Silver Exclamation Mark

Rallying mining stocks? Forget about them. Silver is the new cool kid in the neighborhood. Having rallied by almost 50 cents in just one day, silver stole the spotlight and seems to be ready to move much higher… Or much lower. Does anyone still fall for silver’s fake rallies? Based on the size of the […]

September 19, 2018 | Precious Metals Sector: It’s 2013 All Over Again

We have some good news and some bad news for both: precious metals bulls and bears. Based on new developments it’s even more likely that we are just before the huge price decline in gold, silver, and mining stocks, but at the same time it also appears likely that the final bottom will take place […]

September 17, 2018 | Gold’s Ultimate Confirmation

Although it didn’t appear to be a breakdown, silver just closed the day (and week) at a new yearly low. Remember the day when silver moved briefly below $14? Ultimately, silver futures closed at $14.15 on that day, and they just closed at $14.14 on Friday. So little, yet so much. Breakdown confirmed by weekly […]

September 12, 2018 | Gold, Silver, and USD Index – Three Important “Nothings”

Today’s analysis is going to be different than the other ones. We usually discuss what happened on a given day, week, or month and we elaborate on what it changed and what it didn’t change in case of the outlook for gold, silver, and mining stocks. But not today. Today, we are going to focus […]

September 4, 2018 | Gold and Silver’s Stormy September

There were only a few analyses that we started with a quote, and there were even fewer that we began by quoting a song. It may even be the first one ever. I am the storm and I am the wonder And the flashlights, nightmares And sudden explosions Royksopp, “What Else Is There” And you […]

August 29, 2018 | Preparing for THE Bottom in Gold: Part 7 – Buy-and-Hold on Steroids

All investors start their adventure in the capital markets with dreams of immediate wealth, luxurious cars, yachts, holidays in five-star hotels and making all the people around happy in a million ways. Virtually all investors have to lose a lot of money before they learn hubris and realistic expectations. Some give up investing completely, others […]

August 22, 2018 | Preparing for THE Bottom in Gold: Part 6 – What to Buy

Welcome to the 6th part of the Preparing for THE Bottom in Gold series. In the previous articles, we discussed the following issues regarding the final bottom in gold: staying alert, the likely timing of the bottom, the gold to silver ratio, the ratios between gold, bonds and gold stocks, and finally, we elaborated on […]

August 16, 2018 | Gold to Soar Above $6,000

In our regular gold trading alerts, we focus on the short- and medium-term outlook and we rarely discuss the very long-term issues or price targets. The reason is simple – the long-term issues and price targets don’t change often, so usually there’s little new to say about them. Consequently, it’s been a long time since […]

August 13, 2018 | Key Factors for Gold & Silver Investors

Briefly: Gold is likely to plunge below $1,000 this year and we’ve been writing about it for months. This article provides a list of critical long-term factors that one should be aware of if they want to invest in or trade gold, silver, and/or mining stocks. We include links to our previous premium analyses and […]

August 8, 2018 | Even More Cracks in the Golden Dam

We’re getting there. Inch by inch, we’re moving closer to the tipping point of the decline when the slow, regular, and somewhat boring move lower turns into a violent drop. Yesterday’s session was still in line with the less exciting manner of declining, but we saw another crack in the dam that’s still somewhat holding […]

August 6, 2018 | On the Verge of the Next Major Decline

On Thursday, the HUI index just broke below the December 2016 lows (in terms of daily closing prices), but it reversed on Friday and closed the week back above this important support. Invalidations are often more important than breakdowns, so did Friday’s action just tell us that we’re going to see a major reversal? Both: […]

July 30, 2018 | Gold Stocks’ Breakdown, Platinum’s Invalidation, Gold’s CoT and Seasonality

And so it happened. After a breakdown that might have appeared accidental as it was triggered mostly by one company’s decline, we saw a weekly close below the key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in the HUI Index. There was no analogous breakdown to new lows in gold and silver, but what happened in these markets […]

July 25, 2018 | Supposedly Bullish Gold’s CoT Signal

At first sight, yesterday’s session was quite boring – gold ended the session practically unchanged while silver and mining stocks were only a little higher. The USD Index was practically unchanged. But just because nothing happened in the market in terms of the daily closing prices, it doesn’t mean that we don’t have anything interesting […]

July 16, 2018 | How Crazy It Is to Short Gold with RSI Close to 30

Aiming to make money on gold price’s decline is always controversial. The long-term fundamentals remain favorable and gold and silver are likely to exceed their previous highs in the coming years. True, but that doesn’t mean that both metals can’t move even lower in the next several weeks or even months. Different factors govern more […]

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