ALWAYS CONSULT YOUR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION
February 25, 2020 | Zombie Apocalypse
It’s a gold bull market. It was one already, of course, but we’ve got a clean breakout now and a path to much higher prices. Gold still isn’t making the front page, which I’m very happy about. I want to see a nice sustained rally, not something parabolic that goes down in flames. As I […]
February 15, 2020 | Black Cygnet
“May you live in interesting times.” The quote above is, of course, Chinese and is also, of course, intended as a curse, not a blessing. It tells you a lot about China, a country with 5000 years of history. The Chinese have had more than their share of war and disruption. Interesting times don’t necessarily […]
January 19, 2020 | Gold’s Big Picture
No, I’m not writing about Louis IV, though there might be some appropriateness to the analogy, now that I think about it. The quote is famous, even though there’s no agreement on what it was supposed to mean. Most figure Louis was referring to the biblical flood, that all would be chaos once his reign […]
December 28, 2019 | Santa Kicks Ass
As we head toward year end markets in general are enjoying a better than usual “Santa Claus rally” as equity funds buy winners to look smart in year end reporting and retail chases momentum stocks. There is a lot of index chasing going on. The biggest stocks with the greatest past outperformance are attracting the […]
December 2, 2019 | Eye of the Beholder
Anyone who was paying attention or writing placement cheques in the last month knows that things went from warm to very cold in the resource space over a very short length of time. I talked about how I thought we needed to shake out some speculative longs in the gold market last issue. I’m surprised […]
November 9, 2019 | Jay’s Got Your Back
The chart below sends as clear a signal about the next US Federal Reserve meeting as you’re likely to get. The market is pricing in a 90%+ probability of a rate cut later this week. In theory, the FOMC could surprise everyone by not cutting but the chances of that happening are close to zero. […]
October 27, 2019 | Conflicting Signals
The US Fed meeting went much as I expected, though more hawkish than most of Wall St expected. Even so, markets reacted with reasonable calm to that and several other events in the past couple of weeks. I continue to be impressed by how stable equity markets are, really, given the mayhem in so many […]
September 21, 2019 | Down the Rabbit Hole
Happy September! Traditionally one of the worst months of the year for large cap equity traders and one of the best ones for resource investors. (Just trying to maintain the festive mood here.) I think this year’s September will be true to form though, honestly, this is one of the toughest markets to handicap I’ve […]
August 18, 2019 | The Adjustment Bureau
(Note: I started this editorial a few days ago and have had to edit it and update charts several times along the way. Things are moving fast, and the days of low volatility are over, perhaps for an extended period. That’s great for gold but do not lose sight that we’ve entered a dangerous market […]
July 12, 2019 | It’s On (For Gold, At Least)
If you don’t feel like reading, you can just gaze at the chart below. It gets about 90% of the point across. Ever since US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reversed the Fed’s hawkish stance in December, markets, especially the bond market, have been pricing in an increasing number of rate cuts through the […]
May 23, 2019 | Floatation Device
Spring is in the air on Wall St, and traders’ thoughts have turned to unicorns, earnings beating (duh) “expectations” and, of course, romantic overtures from an accommodating US Federal Reserve. Admittedly, Wall St felt a little jilted after the last Fed meeting. FOMC Chair Powell said during the post-meeting presser that the Fed might hold […]
April 25, 2019 | A Self-Dealing Market
While the resource sector has been decidedly ‘meh’ for the past couple of months, going precisely nowhere, you can’t say the same for the Big Board. As the chart below shows, the SPX has been doing just fine. It’s only a couple of percent from its all-time highs. We know most of that can be […]
March 27, 2019 | Cursed?
Hell if I know. If you’re a resource investor, you know what I’m talking about. The infamous “PDAC curse”. It’s the bane of resource investors everywhere, striking fear into their hearts as the ides of March approach. Truth is, its usually a smart money move to assume a pullback heading into late March and again […]
March 8, 2019 | Bipolar Base Metals
There seem to suddenly be a lot of base metal bulls suddenly. It’s not chart based, at least for most base metals. Prices look better than they did a couple of months ago. I wouldn’t call most base metals charts bullish just yet, though I’d say copper is the exception. Some of this is fundamentals, […]
February 15, 2019 | Wall Street’s B*tch?
Ok, not very nice of me. But, really, I’m not sure what other phrase describes the US Federal Reserve better. It sure as hell fits Wall Street’s own thinking. Make no mistake, traders at Wall and Broad are convinced the Fed is locked in to do their bidding. It’s party on dude! And, let’s […]
January 21, 2019 | …Chicken, Egg, Chicken…
This is the first part of the traditional “how big an idiot can I look like” start of the year editorial. I’ll go into metals and oil in the next issue but, this year, the equity market will be driving the bus so I’ll look at that first, with a bit of gold tacked on. […]
September 6, 2018 | Autumn Colours
Events conspired to give us a small bounce in the gold price. Nothing amazing but at least a move in the right direction. The positive news was, for once, magnified in the junior sector. We just had the best couple of weeks on the Venture exchange we’ve had for a long time, including ten straight […]
November 28, 2017 | Tax Loss Season – Threat or Opportunity?
Thanks again to those of you who came out to MIF on November 10th and 11th. We had a full house again and a great group of speakers and presenters. The newsletter writer presentations have been uploaded to the Beneath the Surface channel on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/user/BeneathTheSurfaceBTS) and the corporate presentation will soon follow for those […]