January 25, 2024 | Recession Warning Signals Flashing
Real Interest Rates rising even as Central Banks hold off hikes
January 25, 2024 | China Prohibits Shorting Stocks
Some of the Magnificent 7 are taking hits. Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.
January 24, 2024 | Real Rates Rise After Central Banks Stop Hiking
Well-documented policy lags suggest that central banks have done more than enough to reverse the inflationary impulse over the next 12 to 24 months. As the rate of inflation comes down, real interest rates (overnight rate less CPI) rise (better for savers but worse for borrowers) and crimp the economy even after central banks pause […]
January 23, 2024 | China Canary Warns About Global Economy and The Downside To Euphoria
Remember in 2007-08 when bulls were all in love with China and projecting endless growth and outsized investment returns as far as the eye can see? It turns out the business cycle was not repealed, and high valuations and euphoric consensus remain a reliable precursor to mean reversion and capital losses. Chinese stock prices have […]
January 22, 2024 | Alex Soros is a Nut Job – Implies Assassinating Trump
an insanity, funding the prosecutions against Trump, funding the case in Colorado to remove Trump from the ballot all in the name of democracy? They ignore culture, religion, and even family, force their view upon the world, and assume only what they know is best. Both he and his father think their Open Society promotes […]
January 21, 2024 | Onward and Upward for Perhaps a Little Longer
When forecasting stock prices, it helps to view the market as a crazed creature driven by fear, greed, and most of all, stupidity. Of course, everyone but the “theme”-obsessed chimpanzees who purport to manage your money understands that the stock market’s heedless ascent into horrifying news is rock-bottom stupid. In this case, the very bad […]
January 20, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes For January 20, 2024
NDVA, MFST and META surge to new all-time highs; various other stocks also rise NVDA is up ~20% since the end of 2023 with a current market cap of ~$1.5 Trillion, or roughly half that of AAPL and MSFT. The powerful rally in Big Cap Tech took the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P to new all-time […]
January 20, 2024 | This Week in Money
- Ross Clark: Stock Markets, S&P, Nasdaq 100, Bitcoin ETF
- Gerald Celente:(11:26) Stock Markets, Interest Rates, USD, China, Germany, Recession
- Victor Adair: (40:04) Stock Markets, Bonds, Gold, Oil, Uranium
January 19, 2024 | Armed Conflicts Have Yet To Hit Markets
Investors are coping with a high degree of uncertainty in the world, with at least three armed conflicts active now. The Israel/Hamas war was the top concern. But now the Houthi situation in the Red Sea, related to the Gaza conflict, has become top-of-mind. And what about Russia and Ukraine? Will these conflicts spread? How […]
January 19, 2024 | Why the US Won’t Go Into Recession in 2024?
Where are the people fleeing California going?
January 19, 2024 | More Indications of China’s Declining Economy
Lower energy prices should see more profitable gold mining
January 18, 2024 | Groundhog Day Effect
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January 18, 2024 | Nobody will be Safe if they are Vaccinated
The Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are mRNA vaccines, which contain tiny fragments of the genetic material known as “messenger ribonucleic acid.” There have been deep concerns that this entire technology may have long-term implications for human society. There was a Swedish study that tested whether the vaccine’s mRNA could be converted to DNA and […]
January 18, 2024 | Davos, 5G, Next Plandemic, Rise of the Zombies
Epstein Island, Voter Fraud, Bond Market, Gold
January 18, 2024 | Only One Major Canadian City Has Rising Home Prices
How big a drop could Canadian Real Estate see?
January 18, 2024 | Could Crude Oil Hit $95 a Barrel by December?
War Premium Now Boosting Energy Prices
January 18, 2024 | Resource Stocks A Hedge Against Geopolitics?
Will Cannabis Stocks finally make a come back?
January 17, 2024 | In The Air
Considering that JPMorgan has just come off a three-year deferred criminal prosecution agreement with the Justice Department for price manipulation (spoofing) in silver, the customers that JPM is accepting delivery for on the Dec. and Jan. contracts would most likely be users as opposed to speculators. That’s because it would be much harder to accuse […]
January 16, 2024 | Inflation in Canada Refuses to Cooperate with Rate-Cut Bets
Just how tough it is to get inflation down after the easy battles have been temporarily won is now being demonstrated in all kinds of places, including in Canada according to the CPI data released today, and including in the US, where services inflation is in no mood to go away. Services is where the […]
January 15, 2024 | The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in Canada: Nationally -18% in December from Peak, Toronto -20%. Even in Calgary, House Prices Dropped. End of Easy Money
House prices in Canada have now fallen by 18% from the peak in March 2022 – or by $171,500 (all in Canadian dollars) – after the 1.2% drop in December from November, the sixth month-to-month drop in a row, according to the Home Price Benchmark Index for single family houses by the Canadian Real Estate […]
January 14, 2024 | Deflating a Weak Argument Against Deflation
Reader Scott Baker took issue last week with my unsettling prediction of a deflationary bust. The mountain of debts that I believe will cause this is really no big deal, says Baker. He quotes economist Michael Hudson to back him up: “Debts that can’t be repaid, won’t be.” That certainly doesn’t sound very menacing. So […]
January 13, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes For January 13, 2024
The cash S&P 500 index closed green for 10 of the last 11 weeks, registering an All-Time High weekly close Stock market sentiment and positioning are very bullish. Capital has flowed to “quality” stocks and away from unprofitable or “meme” stocks YTD. MSFT closed this week at an All-Time High with a market cap of ~$2.89 Trillion […]
January 13, 2024 | Britain Ready to Send Troops to Die for Ukraine
I have been warning that the West desperately needs to create World War III as an excuse to cover up their fiscal mismanagement since World War II, which will inevitably result in the collapse of sovereign debt. British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has now gone to Kiev to sign a “defense agreement” committing British […]
January 13, 2024 | This Week in Money
- Ross Clark: Stock Markets, Bitcoin ETF, Gold, Oil, USD, Canadian Dollar
- Martin Armstrong: (8:38) Gold, European Banks, Real Estate, EVs, Marxism
- Eric Hadik: (56:20) Market Cycles, Bitcoin, Interest Rates, Gold, Energy
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January 12, 2024 | The Speculative Commodity Boom That Might Have Been
The commodity boom that was expected by many in this period of elevated inflation has not happened. While inflation soared, reaching 10 percent annually in some countries, the prices of commodities that are often used by speculators to make quick profits have not kept pace. For example, gold and silver reached all-time highs during high […]


















