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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

September 26th, 2025 | US GDP Rose 3.8% in Q3

Armstrong Economics - US GDP grew at a 3.8% annualized pace in Q2, surpassing estimates of 3.3%, leading the press to cheer a strong and robust economy. By design, the GDP calculation counts net exports as a positive. When imports collapse, GDP rises even though that is a signal of weakened consumer demand. Consumer spending rose by 2.5%, […]

September 25th, 2025 | ECB: Keep Calm and Carry Cash

Armstrong Economics - The European Central Bank (ECB) is urging citizens to “keep calm and carry cash.” The ominous message is a warning of trouble ahead. Bank runs, defaults, war, grid failures, pandemics—the current banking system cannot rely on what’s ahead. “Cash provides essential redundancy – a ‘spare tire’ – for the payment system,” the study’s authors write. […]

Armstrong Economics -   Within months of Zelensky’s election, on December 20th, 2019, Ukrainian law enforcement raided both Poroshenko’s party headquarters and gym on the orders of President Zelensky, who has turned out to be ruthless and a questionable head of state. The raid was intended to eliminate any possible influence of Poroshenko going forward. It was used […]

Armstrong Economics - Thailand has become a case study for the use of biometric data in every facet of life. Every banking transaction is monitored and scrutinized. Any perceived discrepancy is flagged as fraud and punished without due process. Regulations have overwhelmed the system, resulting in a full-fledged banking crisis. Over three million Thai bank accounts were frozen […]

September 21st, 2025 | Lula Refuses to Speak with Trump

Armstrong Economics -   Brazil’s President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is actively destroying a once-growing economy. Lula told the BBC he refuses to maintain diplomatic ties with the United States under Donald Trump, and Brazil is losing the title of Latin America’s top exporter to the US. “The American people will pay for the mistakes President Trump […]

Armstrong Economics -     Chicago’s money trees are shedding their autumn layers with a new multi-million dollar government payout package for underfunded public pensions. City officials approved a short-term bailout of the Firemen’s Annuity & Benefit Fund to the tune of $28 million to avoid forced asset sales. That is merely the tip of the iceberg, as […]

September 19th, 2025 | Coffee Prices on the Rise

Armstrong Economics - Coffee prices are the latest grocery item troubling American consumers. The United States is the world’s largest importer of coffee, but produces less than 0.1% of all coffee for domestic consumption, importing over $8.2 billion (1.6 metric tons) of coffee last year alone. The average retail price of coffee spiked 21% in the past year, […]

September 19th, 2025 | The 4th Monkey

September 18th, 2025 | Fed Rate Cuts – All About Jobs

Armstrong Economics - The Federal Open Market Committee voted to lower rates by 25 bps at the September meeting, citing “that downside risks to employment have risen.” I reported in December 2024 that the computer had forecast a decline in employment during the incoming Trump Administration. Based on the most recent data, the unemployment rate stands at 4.1%, […]

September 17th, 2025 | A National Divorce

Armstrong Economics - Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene voiced a harsh truth: America is a divided nation. These differences appear irreconcilable, and Greene is proposing “a peaceful national divorce.” Which state will file the papers first? The computer system warned long ago that the United States would not remain as one country indefinitely. The cycle of political disintegration is […]

Armstrong Economics - After months of legal turmoil, the 1st US Circuit Court of Appeals has ruled that the United States can secure its borders and has the right to end the temporary legal protections granted to migrants under the Biden Administration. Joe Biden provided 430,000 migrants from Haiti, Venezuela, Cuba, and Nicaragua with temporary protected status (TPS). […]

Armstrong Economics -   Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro has been sentenced to 27 years in prison for allegedly plotting a coup to overturn the presidential election. Politicians who defy the new world order are silenced through assassination or imprisonment. This has become a worldwide phenomenon, from Germany to Brazil, as politicians who rebuke the globalist agenda are […]

Armstrong Economics -   Poland is deploying about 40,000 soldiers on the borders with Belarus and Russia amid rising tensions after the Russian drone attack on September 10. Still, there are rumours that they have captured Russian drones and have deployed them to instigate a false flag. We cannot verify this rumour, but it is getting traction. Based […]

September 11th, 2025 | RIP Charlie Kirk (1993-2025)

Armstrong Economics -   Political activist Charlie Kirk was murdered while speaking at Utah Valley University. Kirk, 31, leaves behind a wife and two small children. Violence against conservatives must come to an end. Democrats have been encouraging violence against their political opponents and their supporters. The world watched the gruesome death of Iryna Zarutska, whose killer was […]

Armstrong Economics - The Patriot Act was drafted and pushed through with lightning speed, something that could not have been written overnight. This was the beginning of warrantless surveillance, indefinite detention, and a wholesale reversal of constitutional rights. I have said many times: governments do not waste a good crisis. They wait for the right moment to impose […]

Armstrong Economics -   The new Home Secretary of the United Kingdom is yet another reminder that the UK is a Muslim nation. Shabana Mahmood, a Pakistani woman, is now responsible for England and Wales’s internal affairs, including immigration, national security, and counter-terrorism measures. The issue is not that she is Muslim; rather, the issue is that open […]

Armstrong Economics -   Vietnam has erased and/or frozen 86 million unverified bank accounts as the nation surrenders to the globalist Great Reset. Anyone wishing to function in society must surrender their biometric data to maintain a bank account. The State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) claims that the measure was a system cleanup aimed at preventing fraud. In […]

September 7th, 2025 | Is AI Changing the World?

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Hi Martin, Considering the potential influence of AI, also taking into account the behaviour of the 80 percent that went with the COVID narrative, I was wondering. The AI is being fed by human interaction on the internet, probably somewhere else as well, but very much directed. Now that does not seem to direct to […]

Armstrong Economics -     Remember when peer-reviewed scientific studies proved that masking did not protect against the spread or transmission of COVID-19? California lawmakers only recall the immense power granted to them through COVID-19 mandates. On September 1, 2025, the California Department of Public Health (CDPH) issued a warning to the public–“Protect yourself and your loved ones […]

September 5th, 2025 | No Stopping EU Needs War

Armstrong Economics - Following the meeting, which was attended by Zelensky, the Petit Napoleon Macron, pushing to conquer Russia, said that 26 countries – including the UK and France – have pledged to deploy troops in Ukraine as a “reassurance force” in the event of a ceasefire. They know what they are doing. This is the prelude to […]

Armstrong Economics - Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson is rallying the people to begin an insurrection, but of course, it is (D)ifferent. “Are you prepared to defend this land that was built by slaves and indigenous people?” the mayor asked, urging the people to “resist” the US National Guard, while of course, adding in divisive racial political rhetoric. Rather […]

Armstrong Economics - After touching base with numerous sources in Germany, the sudden death of SIX AfD Party candidates after the deep state of Germany sought to ban the party, and Merz refused to consider any minority government that included AfD, not a single source believes the government there anymore. Four candidates and two reserves from what the […]

Armstrong Economics - NATO is not at war, and yet, the alliance has spent more on funding Ukraine than on any other conflict. The Defence Expenditure of NATO Countries (2014-2025) determined that the alliance is expected to spend $1.59 trillion USD in 2025, up from $1.5 trillion in 2024. The United States continues to uphold the alliance financially, […]

Armstrong Economics -   In the United States, local governments and states often use their own budgets to purchase investment vehicles. States are permitted to invest in foreign bonds, supplementing foreign governments with public funds. One state in particular has invested hundreds of millions in Israeli war bonds—Florida. Florida has the most Israeli war bonds in the country […]
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