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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

August 15th, 2025 | Climate Lockdowns in Canada

Armstrong Economics - Entering the forest has become illegal in three Canadian provinces—Newfoundland, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick. Entering woodlands can result in massive fines or even jail time. Why? The Canadian government believes it must ban the public from accessing nature to prevent forest fires.     Air Force veteran Jeff Evely committed a crime by participating […]

Armstrong Economics - The Federal Reserve Bank of New York released a troubling quarterly statement as the total household debt in the US increased by $185 billion in the past three months, up 1% from last quarter, when total household debt reached $18.9 trillion. Total household debt in the US now sits at $18.39 trillion. Housing debt increased 1.1% from […]

Armstrong Economics -   The computer warned that we would experience a rise in civil unrest in 2025, with conditions only worsening in the years to come. Trump actively militarized the capital and has plans to dismantle ongoing civil unrest with a newly established Domestic Civil Disturbance Quick Reaction Force. The Domestic Civil Disturbance Quick Reaction Force, as […]

August 12th, 2025 | Militarizing the Capital

Armstrong Economics - Trump’s decision to send the National Guard into Washington, D.C., will be defended as a matter of national security. History teaches us this is not about protecting the people at all. The National Guard was deployed to protect the political class from the people. The United States is now following the same path we have […]

Armstrong Economics - In a drastic reversal of Biden-era policies, the Trump Administration has declared that it will no longer fund the Ukrainian war–directly. However, America is still keen on profiting from the war through the vast military-industrial complex, as Vice President J.D. Vance alluded to in a recent interview. The war will NOT be profitable for America […]

Armstrong Economics - I am getting an increasing number of questions about how in the world our model forecasts war in advance and targets specific weeks like August 18th, 2025, a year in advance, and then Trump picks that Friday 15th for his peace conference with Putin in Alaska.  You NEVER make such a forecast using a single […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, we understand your frustration, and that reveals that you are genuine, not fake. I think you need to be commended for appearing on Russia Today, explaining that Trump is not a neocon, and your dinner with him shows you his character. Explaining that on RT coming from you, who your own […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Bank of England has cut its base interest rate to 4%, even as it warns of rising inflation. “We’ve cut interest rates today, but it was a finely balanced decision. Interest rates are still on a downward path, but any future cuts will need to be made gradually and carefully,” Governor Andrew Bailey […]

Armstrong Economics - Rumors are circulating that the United States may begin to print $500 bills. The US Bureau of Engraving and Printing began printing $500 bills in 1861 until 1945, formally discontinuing them in 1969 when Nixon moved to close the gold window. The US Treasury has since required banks to send all $500 bills back to […]

Armstrong Economics -   America is desperate for rare earth minerals. China was supplying the US with around 70% of all such minerals, but they’re not going to supply them to an enemy nation to create weapons. As I mentioned yesterday, this is precisely why America is desperate to access Ukraine. I received a few comments asking why […]

August 5th, 2025 | The Rare Earth Crisis

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: If Trump imposes sanctions on China for buying Russian energy, what do you expect China to do? Rob ANSWER:  The deeper you look, the more it becomes abundantly clear. America’s defence supply chain is built on materials it doesn’t control. Missiles, fighter jets, radar systems, drones — all depend on a steady stream of […]

Armstrong Economics - US employers have reduced their workforce more in the first seven months of 2025 than in all of 2024. The DOGE cuts to the public sector were the primary driver of layoffs; however, there has been a notable drop in retail and technology positions in the private sector. July alone saw 62,000 jobs reduced from […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: This may seem to be a conspiracy theory, but has a double been sent in to pretend he is Trump. The anti-war old Trump has moved nuclear subs to the border of Russia, and the Telegraph reported that no president has ever played a game of nuclear brinkmanship. Trump looks different and much older […]

Armstrong Economics - Newly declassified documents reveal that George Soros assisted Hillary Clinton in creating the Russian collusion hoax in an attempt to discredit Donald Trump and deceive the American public ahead of a presidential election. Special counsel John Durham’s 2023 report has been largely declassified and now reveals the link between Soros’s Open Society Foundations and the […]

Armstrong Economics -   A farm with 175 years of family ownership will be seized by the state of New Jersey under eminent domain. The Henry family inherited the 21-acre farm in Cranbury Township in 1850. The farm is still profitable for the Henry family, and they intend to maintain it for generations to come. However, the state […]

Armstrong Economics - Data from the Commerce Department shows that the US gross domestic product rose 3% in Q2 on a seasonally inflation-adjusted basis. The figure may have surpassed estimates by around 0.7%, but it does not indicate the beginning of a rising trend. First, the figure has already been adjusted for inflation to fit a narrative. The […]

Armstrong Economics -   Ukraine was well-known as the most corrupt nation in Europe, if not the world. This is why Ukraine was not permitted to join the European Union, as the bloc determined that the country needed to implement harsh anti-corruption measures if it wanted to join. The EU decided to give that same corrupt government endless […]

Armstrong Economics -   New studies reveal that electric vehicles are causing an increase in motion sickness that surpasses the nausea felt while driving in the rattling cars of the 1970s. Motion sickness occurs when our bodily senses conflict with the movement we are experiencing, and the smooth drive of an EV could actually cause drivers and passengers […]

July 27th, 2025 | The Schema Frequency

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Marty, they call you the legend since you have been calling markets and trends for decades. It is not hard to see that you are perhaps the greatest trader of all time. You are famous for not calling the 1987 Crash, but the very day of the low, you called the low and said […]

July 26th, 2025 | Debt & War

Armstrong Economics - Many have been writing in about the FT’s article on the UK surpassing China as the 2nd largest holder of US debt. While they understand I have laid out that ever since the Biden Administration that was in the hands of the Neocons began threatening China with war over Taiwan, and in the aftermath of […]

Armstrong Economics - Banks have the ability to debank customers at a moment’s notice. Canada successfully weaponized its banks against the people during the Trucker Convoy, a peaceful protest demanding the right to bodily autonomy during the COVID-19 vaccine mandates. Lawyer Eva Chipiuk, who represented the Trucker (Freedom) Convoy, received notice from the Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) […]

Armstrong Economics -   China has been offloading its US Treasury holdings for years. Once the top holder of US debt, China cut its US Treasury holdings for the third consecutive month this May. Total holdings have fallen to $756.3 billion from $757.2 billion in April, according to the US Treasury, marking the lowest debt held since May […]

Armstrong Economics -   Senators Kevin Cramer (R-ND) and John Fetterman (D-PA) have introduced bipartisan legislation, the Payment Choice Act, which would require businesses to accept cash payments. Money is merely the medium of exchange that someone is willing to accept for goods or services. Businesses across America have inadvertently contributed to the push toward a cashless society […]

Armstrong Economics -   Investors continue to snap up residential properties, as real estate has evolved into an investment class of its own. New reports show that between 2020 and 2023, investors were responsible for 18.5% of home purchases. In the first three months of 2025, investors composed 27% of all residential properties, marking the highest share in […]

Armstrong Economics -   Vladimir Putin has 580 billion additional reasons not to end the war. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz entered office with a clear intent to usher Germany into World War III. Not only has Merz mobilized troops and the largest military spending package in modern European history, but he is now demanding that Russia pay reparations […]
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