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August 15, 2024 | The Case for $3000 Gold

Fears of a US Recession overblown

August 14, 2024 | Two Wars And Geopolitical Tensions Have Lifted The Crude Oil War Premium Over US$10/b.

A last ditch political effort led by the Biden Administration to get an interim ceasefire deal between Hamas and Israel will take place tomorrow and Friday in both Dhoha and in Cairo. Israel and Hamas are not talking directly but the diplomats are scurrying between rooms to get an agreement that stops the fighting and […]

August 13, 2024 | When the Democrats Say They Are Defending Democracy They Mean the Opposite

  All we heard was they were defending Democracy by trying to keep Trump off the ballot and RFK, and they orchestrated a host of criminal actions against Trump, all by hand-picked Democratic prosecutors. Then I reported from the very beginning that Biden would step down after the Republican Convention and the scheme was to DENY the […]

August 12, 2024 | UK Govt Arresting Citizens over Mean Tweets

British Police: You’ve Made Some “Offensive” Comments on Facebook, and We’re Here to Arrest You After 3 young girls were brutally murdered, speech is the crime that police focus on. This type of sh*t is why Elon Musk believes, “Civil war is inevitable.” pic.twitter.com/WERQw79haJ — The Vigilant Fox 🦊 (@VigilantFox) August 6, 2024 The UK […]

August 11, 2024 | 25 Years and Counting

I can’t let this month pass without noting a significant anniversary: This is the 25th year I’ve been writing Thoughts from the Frontline. The first few issues were lost to the electronic gods and my lack of technical prowess back then. That quickly changed. You can visit the archive and see every issue since January 2001 (including, trust […]

August 10, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes for August 10, 2024

Mean reversion was nasty on Monday, but mellowed by Friday The Nikkei plunged to a 10-month low on Monday, down ~28% from July’s record highs and down ~20% in three trading days (the sharpest decline since the crash in October 1987.) By Friday’s close, the Nikkei had rebounded ~15% to close slightly higher on the […]

August 10, 2024 | This Week in Money

August 9, 2024 | The Stock Market Correction is a Warning Sign

U.S. stock markets crashed from Friday last week through Monday this week. High flying tech stocks cratered as well as the broad indexes like the S&P 500 and Japan’s Nikkei. Was this a crash of the large-cap technology sector, or does it signal the broader market is entering a bear phase? On Monday night some […]

August 9, 2024 | Trillions Spent on Climate Change a Waste of Money?

Should there be a Gold Bitcoin ratio?

August 8, 2024 | The Riots in the UK – Coming to the USA Soon

    Our computer has been forecasting a major rise in civil unrest on a global scale. We are witnessing this from Nigeria to Europe and even in Britain. It will migrate to the United States, and we should be prepared for NOBODY to accept this election REGARDLESS of who wins. The mainstream press will […]

August 8, 2024 | Market Mayhem, War, No Mortgage Funding, England Revolt

Covid Aftermath, Deep State Takedown, Sleeper Cells

August 8, 2024 | US Industrial Production Drop a Concern

Gold may take a while to bounce back. Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.

August 8, 2024 | Be Prepared for Another Stock Market Shock

Lack of consumer demand keeping crude prices down

August 8, 2024 | Lower Interest Rates Won’t Instantly Solve Slow Economy

Did good intentions cause our financial problems?

August 8, 2024 | Could Market Rally Hit New Highs?

Interest rate cuts will be too late to prevent recession.  Special Offer!

August 7, 2024 | Luxury Condo Sells for 21 Percent Loss

  According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), the average sale price for all property types in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) dropped to $1.106 million in July. On a month-over-month basis, the price fell by 4.7% from June. On the supply side, new listings rose 18.5%, and the sales-to-new listings ratio was […]

August 7, 2024 | Is Argentina’s Hyperinflation The Fate For Every Country?

VIX, Gold, US Dollar, Bitcoin, Debt

August 6, 2024 | Canada’s Financial Hell Paved with Good Intentions

As interest rates fell from 1980 to 2020, the average Canadian home price increased 746% from $67k to $566k, while the median household income rose about half that rate (400%) from $21,252 in 1980 to $84,000 by 2020 (table courtesy of Nerd Wallet). The average Canadian home price rose from about 3x the median household income […]

August 5, 2024 | Americans Prepared for Lasting Inflation

Americans are preparing for a prolonged inflationary period, based on new data from the New York Fed. The New York Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Expectations found that Americans are still pessimistic about inflation waning, with no one now believing it is transitory. The median expectation is that inflation will remain at the 3% level in […]

August 4, 2024 | Everybody Knows

Everybody knows that the dice are loaded Everybody rolls with their fingers crossed Everybody knows the war is over Everybody knows the good guys lost Leonard Cohen – Everybody Knows Having heard this Leonard Cohen classic on the radio a few days ago, the lyrics have been rattling around in my head as a perfect […]

August 3, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes for August 3, 2024

With the NAZ down ~12% since the July 11 record highs, do we bounce or keep falling? The NAZ closed lower for four consecutive weeks and closed this week at 18500 (which may be an essential support level), the lowest close since May 14. Perspective: At the July 11 highs, the NAZ was up ~20X from […]

August 3, 2024 | This Week in Money

August 2, 2024 | American’s #1 Financial Problem in One Chart

  In April 2024, a record 41% of those surveyed claimed that the high cost of living/inflation was their #1 financial issue – up from the previous record highs of 35% in 2023 and 32% in 2022. At 14%, the high cost of owning or renting a home was the 2nd largest financial issue. Negative […]

August 2, 2024 | Stocks Paying the Price for Being Hugely Over Bought

The case for Junior Gold miners and quality corporate bonds

August 1, 2024 | Digital Ruble 2025

  Russia has announced that it will implement a digital ruble by next July. Moscow will begin using cryptocurrency for some foreign transactions to bypass sanctions and SWIFT. As of November 2024, Russia will permit crypto mining, so long as it is carried out under the watchful eye of the government. The Bank of Russia […]

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