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August 29, 2024 | Recession Watch: Deep-Discount RVs, Worst-Ever Stock Market Breadth, Frozen Housing

Let’s start with the concept of “big toys.” These are things like boats, jet skis, and RVs that people (okay, guys) tend to buy after they’ve had a few good years and conclude that job security and rising pay are now guaranteed for life. Because this hubris peaks near the end of expansions, spiking demand […]

August 29, 2024 | We’re Coming to the Most Dangerous Month for Stocks

Is Gold about to top out? Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.

August 29, 2024 | How the Fed Deliberately Fed Inflation

What’s the long term outlook for the US Dollar?

August 28, 2024 | Crude Oil Retreats More Than US$5/b As War Premium Shrinks. WTI Breach Of US$70/b Likely In September

The war premium for crude oil has shrunk over US$5/b (from US$80.16/b in early August to US$74.80/b at our last look today) as only Iran’s proxies have attacked Israel and the US/Qatar/Egypt continue to discuss with Hamas a ceasefire and release of the remaining hostages (both dead and alive). President Biden and his surrogates continue […]

August 27, 2024 | Is this the Peak?

    The Case-Shiller National Home Price Index rose to another record high in June. Is this the peak for US national home prices? Not yet – which is why I put the “Bull” back in the box on Page 10 of my July 2024 Timing Letter. Be patient folks.  The bear is coming.

August 26, 2024 | Pavel Durov Arrested by France To Kill Telegram

  We are headed into 2032, and every day that passes brings another step closer to revealing what I have warned about: this last 8.6-year wave will become the most authoritarian as the government realizes it is losing control. The latest was to arrest Pavel Durov because he created Telegram, which is free speech, with […]

August 25, 2024 | Unemployment, Inflation and The Fed’s Choice

There was an historically large revision to the unemployment data this week, which was even worse than the headline when you dig into the actual numbers. On top of that, there is some “behind the numbers” data on inflation, which is typically not talked about, that will have a big impact on the Fed decision, […]

August 24, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes for August 24, 2024

Powell says the time has come to begin cutting interest rates Markets were expecting Powell to announce that it was “time” to start cutting rates (to lessen the downside risks to employment – the other leg of the Fed’s dual mandate), but the “unequivocally dovish” tone of his Jackson Hole announcement surprised markets.   Small caps […]

August 24, 2024 | This Week in Money

  • Ross Clark:  Stock Markets, Gold, Oil, Uranium. Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions.
  • Eric Hadik:  (13:22) Market Cycles, Gold, Silver, USD, Currencies, Bitcoin.
  • Hilliard MacBeth: (50:20)  Inflation, Toronto Condo Market, Mortgage Renewals, EV Market.

August 23, 2024 | RFK Endorses Trump & Will Join His Cabinet

  COMMENT: Congratulations. You are the only one who has been pushing this for months. What position will he take in Trump’s Cabinet? FK ANSWER: I want to thank everyone for all of their support. I may have been the first behind this issue. But this is not merely because I said so. RFK was only 6 […]

August 23, 2024 | A Trump or Harris Win Could Lead To Very Different Outcomes

The U.S. election is less than 80 days away. The race is a dead heat, but only one of them will win and the impact on markets and the economy may be very different depending on who wins control of the White House, the House of Representatives and the Senate. Will a Trump or Harris […]

August 23, 2024 | Fed Promised Cuts Will Not Take You to the Promised Land

Charts and Markets has some interesting Gold Juniors

August 22, 2024 | Inflation in One Lesson

  The high cost of living is the #1 financial problem for Americans today – and Milton Friedman’s explanation for inflation is probably close to the mark. In this 39 second video, Friedman claims that too much government spending and too much govt money creation is what causes inflation. “Consumers don’t produce inflation. Producers don’t produce […]

August 22, 2024 | Markets in a Potentially Dangerous Time

US Government admits it “cooked” positive job numbers. Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.

August 22, 2024 | In Reality, We’re Already in Recession

Canada sees a record number of developers go under

August 22, 2024 | Which Stock to Watch to Catch Market Peak

Crude not reacting to world Geo-political events

August 21, 2024 | The Propaganda Behind Crypto

  Now all we hear is how banks are suddenly investing in things like BITCOIN. The propaganda is just stunning, for it has once again proven that Julius Caesar was right more than 2000 years ago, and nothing has ever changed. Things like BITCOIN are a religion, and that is the problem. It would be […]

August 20, 2024 | Where You Store It: Don’t Trust, and Definitely Verify

When negotiating with the Soviet Union, Ronald Reagan’s oft-repeated slogan was “Trust, but verify.” Something similar applies to the world of precious metals, especially remote storage firms. But let’s go even further to: Don’t trust, and always verify. Here’s an example of why: A San Diego couple thought they’d invested in gold. Instead, they and hundreds of others […]

August 19, 2024 | Kamala’s Economic Plan Will Destroy the US Economy & Lead to Food Shortages

    Kamala Harris’ father was basically a radial communist. She is not far from her father’s ideas, any more than Bill Gates is different from his father’s fears of population when he created Planned Parenthood and stuck them in minority areas to reduce the population of blacks. No matter how many times Socialism has […]

August 18, 2024 | Is Copper a Broken Story — Or Better Than Ever?

After a nice run in the first half of this year, copper suffered a serious correction, leading some to wonder if this story is broken: A recent post by commodities analyst Rick Mills answers that question. Here’s an excerpt from the (much longer) article: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) forecasts global copper consumption to grow 3.5% to 28 million […]

August 17, 2024 | The Second Great Depression?

  The coming economic collapse will not resemble the Great Depression. Yes, we are in a recession – but it will not be reminiscent of the Great Depression that began in 1929. For you see, the landscape is entirely different now. America was transitioning from an economy based on agriculture to industrialization. About 40% of […]

August 17, 2024 | This Week in Money

  • Ross Clark:  Stock Markets, Gold, Oil, USD, Canadian Dollar.  Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions.
  • Mark Leibovit: (8:37)  Yen Carry Trade, Interest Rate Cuts, US Economy, US Election. Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.
  • John Rubino: (57:44) Recession, Gold, Gold Miners, War, Russia, China.

August 16, 2024 | Inflation Will Be Sticky and Keep Interest Rates Up

U.S. consumer inflation has returned to normal. This week’s 2.9 percent year-over-year gain for the CPI is not low in the historical context. Expectations for more good news on inflation are unrealistic outside of recession. And interest rates will not come down enough to satisfy both equity investors and highly indebted borrowers. In the chart […]

August 16, 2024 | Markets Showing Signs of Major Fall Correction

What recession? US small business very confident

August 15, 2024 | Kennedy Removed from New York Ballot

  Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been shunned from the 2024 US Presidential race since he first announced his decision to run. Another corrupt New York judge has ruled in favor of the establishment by banishing Kennedy’s name from the upcoming ballot due to a discrepancy in his address. Obviously, Kennedy meets the requirement of […]

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