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January 24, 2025 | Canada Should Use The Nuclear Option Against Trump

As soon as February 1, the U.S. might impose a 25 percent tariff on all imports from Canada. Crude oil is one of the biggest Canadian exports to the U.S. One possibility for retaliation, termed the “nuclear option”, is to cut off all crude oil exports to the U.S. Currently Canada supplies about 2/3 of […]

January 17, 2025 | Musk Will Take a Chainsaw To Government Spending

The Department of Government Efficiency, known as DOGE, is headed by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy. Elon Musk is well known as the world’s wealthiest entrepreneur, while Ramaswamy was a candidate for the Republican nomination in 2023. The goal of DOGE is to “cut the federal government down to size”. This could have a positive […]

January 10, 2025 | A Credit Crunch Coming Soon

Hints of an imminent credit crunch in the U.S. and Canada are piling up. Too much debt in commercial real estate, residential real estate, credit card balances, personal loans, mortgages, builders’ construction loans and even governments could trigger a crisis of failure to repay debts. This chart shows U.S. private sector debt since 1834 and […]

January 3, 2025 | A Very Reliable Recession Indicator is Flashing Red

Among the several U.S. recession indicators warning of trouble to come, this might be the best one to watch. Yield curve inversion sounds a bit wonky, but it is straightforward. The yield curve on government bonds is derived from the different interest rates on the short, medium and long-term maturities plotted on a graph. The […]

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