November 29, 2025 | Trading Desk Notes for November 29, 2025
Leading global stock indices bounced back this week following the recent “excessive optimism purge” The S&P reached record highs on October 9, but tumbled on the 10th amid China’s threat to withhold essential rare earths (blue ellipse). The market rallied back on AI enthusiasm and gapped higher over the October 24/25 weekend (pink ellipse) to reach new record […]
November 29, 2025 | Hating the Dollar – Nearly a 60 Year Tradition
QUESTION: Marty, I want to thank you for the WEC. It was the best one I have ever attended. I loved your comment on the perpetual dollar bears since the 1970s and how they have been consistently wrong. I find it curious when someone like __ ___ knows you are, then talks about the fourth turning, […]
November 29, 2025 | Market Pulse: The S&P 500’s Buy-the-Dip} Rally: Silver Surges, While NVIDIA Faces Headwinds
Strong US Stock Rebound: All three major US stock indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones, & Nasdaq) saw their best weekly performance since June, recovering from a mid-month slump. The last few weeks have been a masterclass in market volatility, but a dramatic shift in sentiment has pulled the S&P 500 index back from the brink. […]
November 29, 2025 | Tech Talk for Saturday November 29th 2025
The Bottom Line Seasonal strength by North American indices from late November to early January “kicked in” last week despite limited favourable economic and corporate news. Notable was strength by the NASDAQ Composite Index on a real and relative basis (relative to the S&P 500). Economic News This Week U.S. September Construction Spending is released […]
November 28, 2025 | Are Aliens a Black Swan or a False Flag?
Yet another documentary about aliens just dropped. But instead of leaning on sketchy whistleblowers and anonymous quotes, this one, titled Age of Disclosure, features Establishment heavy hitters like Marco Rubio, Trump’s Secretary of State and National Security Advisor. They’re saying: Aliens are real, and here. The US, China, and Russia all have alien technology and non-human bodies. […]
November 28, 2025 | Pipeline Politics Meets Demand Reality
Alberta and Ottawa’s sweeping new energy accord, signed by Prime Minister Mark Carney and Premier Danielle Smith, is being framed as a nation‑building effort Alberta and Ottawa’s sweeping new energy accord, signed by Prime Minister Mark Carney and Premier Danielle Smith, is being framed as a nation‑building effort to position Canada as a global energy […]
November 28, 2025 | The Fountain of Youth
The Fountain of Youth is a legendary spring believed to have the power to halt or reverse aging. Tales of this miraculous body of water have originated in places ranging from Japan to England to the Caribbean. Perhaps the most famous legend associated with the Fountain of Youth is sixteenth-century Spanish explorer Juan Ponce de […]
November 28, 2025 | Black Friday Shoppers Prepared to Take on Debt
Retailers are predicting a slight decline in Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales, an early indication of holiday-season spending and Q4 sales. Total sales in the US alone are expected to exceed $1 trillion, with growth between 3.7% and 4.2%, a bit beneath last year’s 4.8% growth. However, individual shoppers are expected to spend 4% less. Dive […]
November 27, 2025 | Will Rate Cuts Continue in December?
Happy American Thanksgiving to our US readers. The segment below offers a worthwhile macro update. David Rosenberg, founder at Rosenberg Research, discusses the market outlook while awaiting the latest Fed decision. Here is a direct video link.
November 27, 2025 | Happy Thanksgiving
November 26, 2025 | Training AI vs. Inference AI
Artificial intelligence (AI) isn’t one big process – it’s like a two-part job: training (teaching the AI) and inference (using what it learned). Each part needs different computer hardware, called chips, which is why companies like Nvidia and AMD lead in some areas, while others compete elsewhere. For investors, understanding this split helps spot opportunities […]
November 26, 2025 | “Inelastic” Gold Means Much Higher Prices
Economists have a useful concept called “elasticity,” which measures how one thing responds to another. For example, if the price of corn goes up, farmers plant more acres and produce more grain. The supply of corn is thus “elastic,” because it rises in response to higher prices. In contrast, something that doesn’t respond to price […]
November 26, 2025 | Potential Proxy War in Venezuela
No one blinked when Venezuela declared itself at war with the US. President Trump said he would not bother declaring a war against the drug cartels, opting to simply kill any potential smugglers. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was labeled a terrorist by US intelligence agencies this week. The West showed no concern over the […]
November 26, 2025 | AI Assisted Heat Pumps are a Gamechanger
Heat Pumps are the future of home heating. But until recently most companies have grossly over sized the Heat Pump systems they install for fear of leaving the client with a cold home. In the age of super-efficiency that level of shoddy service is completely unacceptable. That’s all changed now though with the launch of […]
November 25, 2025 | Connecting The Dots….Reveals A Dire Picture
Reflect on what happens when a terrible winter blizzard strikes. You hear the weather warning but probably fail to act on it. The sky darkens. Then the storm hits with full fury, and the air is a howling whiteness. One by one, your links to the machine age break down. Electricity flickers out, cutting off […]
November 25, 2025 | About That: If the AI Bubble Pops, Will The Economy Go With It?
As investors pour billions into artificial intelligence, warnings of a looming AI bubble are intensifying. Andrew Chang explains what’s fuelling those fears and breaks down key factors that could contribute to a burst bubble. Here is a direct video link.
November 25, 2025 | Boris Johnson Urges Ukraine to Continue War
Trump’s proposal for peace in Ukraine has been met with an overwhelming condemnation from the world’s neocons. Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson reemerges from the shadows whenever he hears word that a war may be winding down. He played an instrumental role in persuading Zelensky not to negotiate a peace treaty with Russia when it […]
November 24, 2025 | Proformas
Happy Monday Morning! Last month we wrote a piece titled ‘Hold the Applause’ in which we cautioned the Carney Government for taking a victory lap following a bounce in September housing starts. For the record, we believe his policy team knows better, but couldn’t resist a good tweet. As we noted, The seasonally adjusted annualized […]
November 24, 2025 | Happy Third Birthday, AI Mania
November marks the third anniversary of ChatGPT, OpenAI’s AI language model. Since the fall of 2022, competitor models have been released, including Claude (Anthropic), Gemini (Google), Copilot (Microsoft), Llama-based systems (Meta ecosystem), Mistral (Europe) and others. OpenAI and its partners have been pumping hundreds of billions of dollars into new data centers in the United […]
November 23, 2025 | Nvidia’s Dive Is More than Merely Disappointing
There’ll be more to say about the bear market as it develops. It has taken some baby steps so far, with a 2,100-point slide in the Dow over several days, then a stunning, 1,115-point reversal to the downside after Nvidia announced strong earnings last Thursday. Talking heads and editorialists opined that quarterly numbers were not […]
November 23, 2025 | Reconstructing the Fed
he Mariner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, completed in 1937, faces Washington’s stately Constitution Avenue. Its classical architecture presents an appearance of strength and stability. But as we all know, appearances can be deceiving. In fact, the Eccles Building has been showing its age for many years. It is currently being renovated, a project […]
November 23, 2025 | Trump’s 28-Point Peace Plan
Peace is on the table—my detailed outline for ending the Russia-Ukraine-NATO war has been read and received by Moscow and Washington. Peace only emerges when both sides have something to gain and nothing to lose by walking away from war. Washington is listening; the Trump Administration’s 28-point peace plan for Russia successfully changed the […]
November 22, 2025 | Trading Desk Notes for November 22, 2025
Volatile price action in leading global stock indices At Friday’s lows, the S&P was down ~6% from the October all-time highs, and the NAZ was down ~9%. Aggressive bullish sentiment and positioning in AI fuelled the run to October’s highs, but prices began to slip in November amid concerns about massive capex expenditures. Bulls were hoping NVDA […]
November 22, 2025 | Tech Talk for Saturday November 22nd 2025
The Bottom Line Look for volatile, but trendless equity prices on lower than average volume in North American equity markets this week. U.S. equity markets are closed for Thanks Giving on Thursday. Institutional investors have a history of “going on holidays” after the opening on Wednesday. Ditto for Canadian equity markets! The TSX Composite Index […]
November 21, 2025 | Evaluating Intel’s Resurgence in a Complex Semiconductor Market
Intel is starting to look much stronger in the semiconductor industry, and several big trends are working in its favor. We are watching Intel closely as a potential addition to our Trend Disruptors service—but as we mentioned yesterday, we’re also being patient. Nvidia reported very strong earnings last night, and while the stock initially jumped this morning, both […]













