April 15, 2025 | Canada’s Housing Market Downturn Grinds into Year Four

Market consensus pegs a 58% probability that the Bank of Canada will hold its overnight rate at 2.75% tomorrow, with a 42% chance of a 25-bp cut to 2.50%. This morning’s milder-than-expected Canadian inflation news, CPI of 2.3% year-over-year in March, was welcome. Canada’s consumer carbon tax ends in April, and oil (WTIC) around $61 […]

April 14, 2025 | Bonds!

Happy Monday Morning! It’s a big week for mortgage shoppers. Fixed rates are on the move higher after unprecedented volatility in the bond market. Bond volatility as measured by the MOVE index touched as high as 172 intraday, levels only seen during times of turmoil (Oct 1998 LTCM collapse, Sep 2008 Lehman collapse, Mar 2023 […]

April 13, 2025 | Round One vs. The Bear Goes to Trump

[Just ahead of last Monday’s steep plunge, I predicted here that an S&P reversal from 4820 would mark the end of the bear market. So far, SPX has rallied 646 points off an actual low at 4835. Bulls are not yet out of the woods, however, since a relapse could occur at any time. The stock market […]

April 12, 2025 | Trading Desk Notes for April 12, 2025

Fear trumps greed, but volatility is mean-reverting The cash S&P hit 15-month lows on Monday, down ~21% from February’s all-time highs. It then rallied ~13% to Wednesday’s highs as Trump paused tariffs on most countries other than China, where he dramatically increased tariffs. Last week’s big drop and this week’s big gain were among the most […]

April 12, 2025 | This Week in Money

• Martin Straith:  Stock Markets, Gold, Oil, USD, Canadian Dollar, Tariffs.
• Eric Hadik: (56:10) Market Cycles, Currencies, Bitcoin, Oil, War.  Read “17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 20 – 25% Initial Plunge”.
• Hilliard MacBeth: (1:19:31) Canadian Real Estate, Home Equity.

April 12, 2025 | 17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 20 – 25% Initial Plunge

Outlook 2025 Eerie Parallels 02-27-25 – 2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the last major decline in the stock market (not including the ~2-month Covid plunge of 1Q 2020). 2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the inception of Bitcoin and the move toward decentralized banking. 2025 is two full 17-Year Cycles from the […]

April 11, 2025 | Markets Rally, Bonds Break, Gold Soars—What You Need to Know

Markets End Volatile Week with a Strong Rebound – April 11, 2025 Markets capped a wild week with a strong finish, shrugging off trade war shocks and riding a wave of optimism: Stocks Bounce Back: After days of volatility, the Dow surged 600 points (+1.6%), the S&P 500 climbed 1.8%—its best week since October 2023—and the […]

April 11, 2025 | ActBlue Scandal – Democratic Party Funded by Fraud

    ActBlue is a self-proclaimed grassroots fundraising platform for the Democratic Party. The Democrats want the public to believe that the everyday American fully supports them, but the truth has come to light after an ongoing investigation found that the organization has been upheld by dark money from both “foreign and domestic fraudulent actors.” […]

April 10, 2025 | Gold Miners: Great Q1 Earnings Coming

We’re heading into another earnings season, and with gold outperforming pretty much everything else, this one is looking even better for the miners than Q4. For context, here’s the XAU gold/silver miners index for the past six months. Note the nice run that started when excellent Q4 miner earnings combined with a rising gold price: And for […]

April 10, 2025 | Volatile Markets, Tariffs, Deportations, Vaccines

Gold, Silver, Exposing Corruption, Agenda 2030

April 10, 2025 | Markets – Some See Red, Others See Opportunity

Gold still a good bet in a volatile world

April 10, 2025 | This Market Crash Could be Worse Than  2008

Oil has broken below support levels

April 9, 2025 | Climactic Sell-off For The General Stock Market Nearly Over. Energy Stocks At Bargain Levels. BUY!!!

I will be on this week’s MoneyTalks show with host and friend Victor Adair (Michael is on holiday) The roller coaster markets and specifically the energy sector will be the topics. This should be an interesting conversation that you may want to listen to. Go to MoneyTalks.com. The tariff war is now on (China now […]

April 8, 2025 | China is the Auto Capital of the World

China is the world’s largest car producer and exporter. A little-known fact is that China first became the world’s largest car exporter back in 2023, with low-cost EV companies BYD and Chery in the spotlight. The nation’s auto sector has been steadily expanding since then, with Chinese brands reaching an all-time high of 69.4% of […]

April 7, 2025 | Ellen Brown: McKinley or Lincoln? Tariffs vs. Greenbacks

William McKinley and Donald Trump By Ellen Brown / Original to ScheerPost President Trump has repeatedly expressed his admiration for Republican President William McKinley, highlighting his use of tariffs as a model for economic policy. But as critics note, Trump’s tariffs, which are intended to protect U.S. interests, have instead fueled a stock market nosedive, […]

April 6, 2025 | Trump About to Kick the Bear Market’s Ass

A word of advice if you’re looking for bankable information on the direction of the economy:  tune out the mainstream media’s cavalcade of Trump-deranged bozos and focus on the 4820 target in the SPX chart above. Think of it as Trump’s lucky number, but also a very good place for these all-too-interesting times to find […]

April 5, 2025 | Trading Desk Notes for April 5, 2025

Slowly at first, and then suddenly The cash S&P 500 index closed Friday ~9% below last Friday’s close, with virtually all of those losses coming after Trump’s Liberation Day ceremony. The index is down ~17.5% from mid-February’s record highs, and outside of the covid crash in 2020, the two-day performance on Thursday/Friday was the worst since the […]

April 5, 2025 | This Week in Money

• Ross Clark:  Stock Markets, Tariffs.  Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions!
• Rick Ackerman:  (14:45) Stock Market Correction, Bottom Targets. Special Offer!
• Mike Swanson:  (40:28) Stock Market Downturn, Gold, Silver.

April 4, 2025 | How Do We Play This Bear Market?

Pretty much every “buy” recommendation in this newsletter has come with a version of this caveat: We’re in the late stages of a long credit expansion, which means a potentially brutal recession and/or bear market is likely imminent. So approach these stocks with caution. Don’t jump in all at once. Instead, add to positions in […]

April 4, 2025 | 20 Year Depression Could Follow This Post Bubble Contraction

Markets were due for a major correction, tariffs or no tariffs.  Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions!

April 3, 2025 | Tariffs are NOT Reciprocal

  How did the Trump Administration come up with these tariff rates? Why would a nation like Madagascar, for example, with a small economy, be hit with a 47% tariff? Reciprocal tariffs were determined based on America’s trade deficit with other nations. They took each nation’s trade surplus with the US by total exports and […]

April 3, 2025 | Market Meltdown Will Lead to Great Buying Opportunities

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April 2, 2025 | Weaker US Consumption Leads To 6.2Mb Increase In Commercial Crude Stocks. WTI Expected To Fall Below US$67/b.

While the US federal government cuts its employee count sharply in recent weeks the private sector is adding jobs at a fast pace. Today the ADP report showed private sector jobs rose 155,000 in March above the 120,000 forecast. Professional and business services added 57,000 workers, Financial services 38,000 (tax season ramp up), manufacturing 21,000 […]

April 1, 2025 | Are States & Provinces Destined to Default by 2034?

  You have to wonder why we have the most incompetent people in government, perhaps in history. While there is not a single leader in Europe who I would even want to have a drink with or shake hands, we see the same on the LEFT in the United States. No matter how often they […]