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January 4, 2025 | Mexico 2025
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I want to thank you for your work. It is refreshing to read a non-biased analysis of our country. I do not say this to flatter you. I am honestly appreciative of your work and independence in the age where everything is fake news here, too, in Mexico. The peso has weakened […]
January 4, 2025 | Trading Desk Notes for January 4, 2025
Will the stock market’s “Trump Bump” be sustained? The S&P sold off ahead of the November 5th election, rallied on election day (circle on the chart), gapped sharply higher the day after the election, and then rallied to record highs in early December. The market drifted sideways near all-time highs for ten trading sessions in early December […]
January 4, 2025 | Tech Talk for Saturday January 4th 2025
The Bottom Line Technical signs of a short term bottom were recorded by U.S. and Canadian exchange indices last week. TSX Composite Index has started to outperform the S&P 500 Index, typical for this time of year.
January 3, 2025 | US Credit Card Defaults Reach 14-Year High
Credit card defaults in the US skyrocketed by 50% in the past year. Credit card defaults reached $46 billion in the first nine months of 2024, a level not seen since 2010. The cost of living has simply surpassed manageable levels for the majority of households. Americans are feeling the impact of inflation and compounding […]
January 3, 2025 | Why are China’s Youth Boycotting Pensions?
A massive population followed by 36 years of a one-child policy (1980 to 2016) magnified the demographic strains building in China. Still, similar generational flashpoints are growing in most developed countries today. Compromise, fresh thinking and more efficiency/less waste are necessary. China’s pension system is in danger of running out of money in a decade. […]
January 3, 2025 | A Very Reliable Recession Indicator is Flashing Red
Among the several U.S. recession indicators warning of trouble to come, this might be the best one to watch. Yield curve inversion sounds a bit wonky, but it is straightforward. The yield curve on government bonds is derived from the different interest rates on the short, medium and long-term maturities plotted on a graph. The […]
January 2, 2025 | Retail Closures in US Hit Pandemic Levels
Over 6,481 retailers have closed their doors since the beginning of the new year, according to data from Coresight Research in November, but that figure is expected to reach 7,327, marking a 57.8% increase in closures since 2023. During the pandemic, closures exceeded openings by 180 stores in 2020, with the gap widening in 2021 […]
January 2, 2025 | Blinken Interfering Romanian Elections
The American NEOCONS are interfering in elections, as always. Blinken ran off to Romania like Biden in Ukraine in July 2014, all to overturn the election in Romania, where the people voted against the war, and Blinken insisted Russia hacked the election. This guy will not be satisfied until he drenches Europe in the […]
January 2, 2025 | Head & Shoulders Pattern Forms – Key Market Moves Ahead This Friday
As of January 2, 2025, the much anticipated Santa Claus rally is failing to materialize. The S&P 500 heat map painted another grim picture, with most sectors in the red. However, Nvidia and Meta managed to post solid gains today, while the oil sector continued to show some resilience. Outside of those and a few […]