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September 5, 2024 | Gold Stocks and Great Financial Bubbles Just Early into a Multi-Year Bull Market At Times Outperforming the S&P And With a World-Scale Discovery: Fabulous Action
A Great Financial Bubble is a very exciting event for everyone from direct participants to looky-loos, including an enraptured media. Generated by human action with far too many participants thinking the Bubble is unique and enduring. With five previous examples, gold’s real price weakened a little as the Bubble climaxed. A page of charts follow.
April 28, 2024 | Science for Those Who Hate Science
Decades ago, there was an article titled “Jazz for People Who Hate Jazz”. The idea was to introduce those who did not know to those who did know. More recently and unfortunately, government-sponsored dogma has promoted an anti-science movement – ironically – in the name of “science”. Disgustingly, mainly for power and money. . Ironically, […]
April 26, 2024 | What’s Behind: “Sell in May and Go Away”
There is considerable history behind the gem of stock market lore to “Sell in May”. The real explanation is readily provided by the record of Great Bubbles as they occurred in the London financial markets. There were five to the 1929 example. Four climaxed in May. And one, the infamous 1720 South Sea Bubble climaxed […]
December 29, 2023 | Princely Finance and Taxation
One would have hoped that financial rip-offs committed by medieval princes would have been permanently shelved when liberal enlightenment ended the divine right of kings. Instead, the divine right of bureaucrats has forced too much in-your-face and in-your-wallet government. Today’s supposedly classless version of greedy royalty. But there is hope. The remedy lies in benign […]
October 4, 2023 | Stock Markets Hindenburg Omen Precedes Hemmingway Bankruptcy
Of course, the Hemmingway quote on bankruptcy is more widely known than the technical signal in the stock market called the Hindenburg Omen.
August 28, 2023 | Inflation: Out of Control?
The strongest run of “Inflation” in more than forty years is underway, and pundits claim that it has much further to go. Indeed, popular and highly regarded financial talk shows are reporting that “All paper currencies have eventually gone to zero”. Inevitably, such would indeed be catastrophic.
August 20, 2023 | Credit Crisis: Curve and Spreads: Both Now Warning
In March the Yield Curve inverted as short rates rose above long rates. We use the 2s to 20s and the inversion has always been followed by a recession, without exception. The warning becomes more acute as the Curve reverses, which it is doing now. A slowing economy reduces the ability to service debt with […]