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July 5, 2025 | Tech Talk for Saturday July 5th 2025

Donald Vialoux is author of the free blog Tech Talk, a daily investment report available during the past 20 years at www.timingthemarket.ca. Comments focus on the seasonal and technical outlook for equity indices, commodities and sectors. Mr. Vialoux has 53 years of experience in the investment industry and is a past president of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA).

The Bottom Line

Passage of “The One Beautiful Bill” by Congress late on Thursday and signed by President Trump on Friday is expected to set the stage for North American equity markets to move higher this week. The “Summer Rally” that frequently lasts until the end of July started last week.

Consensus for Earnings and Revenues for S&P 500 companies Source: www.factset.com

Analyst estimates for 2025 beyond the first quarter were unchanged last week. Consensus for second quarter earnings gains remained at 5.0%. Consensus for second quarter revenue gains remained at 4.2%. Consensus for third quarter earnings gains remained at 7.3%. Consensus for third quarter revenue growth remained at 4.7%. Consensus for fourth quarter earnings gains remained at 6.4%. Consensus for fourth quarter revenue gains remained at 5.2%.

For all of 2025, consensus for earnings growth remained at 9.1%. Consensus for revenue gains returned to 5.0% from 4.9%. For all of 2026, consensus for earnings growth remained at 13.8%, Consensus for revenue gains remained at 6.3%.

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July 5th, 2025

Posted In: Tech Talk

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