December 26, 2024 | Next Decline In Crude Prices Should Trigger A New Long Term BUY Signal For The Sector.

The official US President Joe Biden is not being seen and his vacuum is being filled by President elect Trump and his entourage led by Elon Musk (seen by Democrats as either the President or Trump’s Prime Minister). Biden lieutenants are looking for new ways to degrade or demean Trump before he takes office. However […]

December 25, 2024 | When the US Government Defaulted on its Bonds

  The first three Liberty bonds and the Victory Loan, sold to fund World War I, were indeed retired during the 1920s. However, because the terms of the bonds included a Ponzi Scheme that allowed the bondholder to swap them for the newer bonds, with superior terms, most of the debt from the first, second, […]

December 24, 2024 | Housing Bust: Builders Are Slashing Prices

In early 2023, the stars appeared to align for another housing bust. Home prices were crazy high, consumers were over-indebted, and mortgage rates were rising towards the dreaded 7% level. Add it all up, and a bust at least as dramatic as that of 2007/2008 — when homebuilder stocks fell by 80% — seemed imminent. […]

December 23, 2024 | Health Prepping: Stop Poisoning Your Family

For readers who are busy planning Christmas dinner, let’s get right to it: You might be poisoning yourself and your family. Because “poison” is exactly what many popular “ultra-processed” foods are. Consider: How Do Processed Foods Affect Your Health? (WebMD) – Highly processed food may put you at a higher cancer risk. One study found that your risk of […]

December 22, 2024 | Larry’s Commentary

Wednesday’s brutal response to a mildly hawkish Federal Reserve rate announcement triggered two opposite market signals. First, the sell-off told us that the great secular bull market that began in 2009 is over. Second, the extraordinarily intense selling generated oversold readings that were bound to produce a short-covering rally, as they indeed have. The stock […]

December 21, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes for December 21, 2024

Animal Spirits experience an Icarus Moment as the adrenaline rush from Trump’s election victory fades. The NAZ rallied ~28% from early August lows to this week’s all-time highs, with nearly half the gains made since Trump’s election victory (circled.) The NAZ was up ~60% from October 2023 and was “by far” the best-performing stock index over […]

December 21, 2024 | Kids for Cash Documentary

 Joe Biden granted Pennsylvania Judge Michael Conahan clemency. The kids did not receive the same sympathy.

December 21, 2024 | This Week in Money

• Ross Clark:  Stock Markets, Dow, Gold, Oil, Natural Gas, Cotton, Cocoa and Coffee. Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions!
• Martin Armstrong: (12:34) Political Turmoil and the Markets, Tariffs, Drones.
• Eric Hadik:  (56:30) Market Cycles, Bitcoin, Gold, Currencies, Commodities.

December 20, 2024 | The Fed Shocks The Market Triggering an Abrupt Selloff

The U.S. Federal Reserve surprised markets this week with a small rate cut (expected), a forecast for fewer rate cuts next year and higher inflation (very unexpected). This was a more hawkish report than the market expected. The stock market reacted very negatively on Wednesday, with the S&P 500 losing 3 percent in just two […]

December 20, 2024 | Could China’s Real Estate Woes Spread Here?

Gold Juniors as a group up 25% over the year

December 19, 2024 | And This Is BEFORE the Coming Recession

Government finances usually look their best at cyclical peaks when lots of people are working and paying taxes, relatively few are drawing unemployment benefits or welfare, and financial asset prices are way up, thus generating lots of capital gains tax revenue. If a government is ever going to balance its budget, that’s when it happens. […]

December 19, 2024 | Lengthy Dow Drop Could Mean Bubble About to Burst

It’s not inflation, it’s “gouge-flation”

December 19, 2024 | Stock Markets, Cryptos, Due for Big Correction

The Dow Transports are giving a warning sign.  Receive 50% Off VR Trader Newsletters! Enter Promo Code 2022HALFOFF.

December 18, 2024 | The Energy Sector Is Closing In On A Major BUY Signal In The Coming Weeks. More Bargains Are Appearing Daily

Canada’s political circus and slowing economy has dragged the C$ to below US$0.70 (now US$0.6980). It would not surprise me to see it fall to the low of US$0.68 seen in early 2020 or the same level seen in early 2016. Our worst low from the data going back to 1980 was US$0.6186 in early […]

December 18, 2024 | Is Bitcoin 1929 or DOT.COM Bubble All Over Again?

QUESTION: Marty, is it possible we are witnessing the greatest financial trap to unsuspecting global citizens as they ‘build a digital prison’ as many opine OR is this the perfect monetary system that will give opportunity to impoverished nations to rise out of the ashes? We see kids, millenials to Gen X, buying it like […]

December 17, 2024 | Are We Back to “Higher For Longer”?

The Fed is expected to cut interest rates today. But that might be it for a while. Consider: Consumer spending is exceeding expectations:   Motor vehicles, online purchases boost US retail sales in November (Reuters) – U.S. retail sales increased more than expected in November amid an acceleration in motor vehicle and online purchases, consistent […]

December 16, 2024 | Optimists Say Don’t Worry About Bubbles, That’s Bad Advice

A house on our street recently sold for $8 million to a buyer in his early 40s. Our mutual tradesperson had the scoop: the guy made his money in Bitcoin. This is his summer house; he lives in Hawaii. On closing, he installed lifts in the garage, stacked them with exotic cars, and put a […]

December 15, 2024 | Which Will Crash First: Stocks or Bitcoin?

I’ll trash bitcoin in a moment — my new hobby — but first a yellow alert for everyone who thinks the stock market’s inevitable collapse is most likely to happen shortly after the first of the year. Although that seems quite plausible, fulfilling popular expectations is not how Mr Market usually works. Think how many […]

December 14, 2024 | Trading Desk Notes for December 14, 2024

What would a turning point in Irrational Exuberance look like? Well, for a start: Some analysts say that retail is the most bullish ever. I don’t know how you measure that, but yeah, it feels that way, and retail is gambling on all kinds of crap – exchange-listed or otherwise.   The COT data as of […]

December 14, 2024 | This Week in Money

• Ross Clark:  Stock Markets, Dow, S&P, Gold, Oil, Canadian Dollar.  Special Offer! 25% Off New Annual Subscriptions!
• Hilliard MacBeth: (10:23) Bank of Canada Rate Cut, Canadian Economy, Real Estate, Canada Joining the USA.
• Martin Straith: (36:49) S&P, Investing, Trump Tariffs and Inflation.  Special Offer!

December 13, 2024 | Beware Last 2 Weeks of December – Something is Not Right

QUESTION: You said the computer does not support a bullish view of Trump taking office. Do you know why the computer is showing so many indexes are rolling over to the downside? John   ANSWER: I strongly suggest that this is the time to pay close attention to Socrates, for this clearly shows that something is seriously […]

December 13, 2024 | Bitcoin Breaks $100K: What’s Next?

We’ve received a flood of questions about Bitcoin this past week after it shattered the psychological $100K barrier. As most investors are aware, Bitcoin’s rally gained momentum following Donald Trump’s vocal support for cryptocurrency earlier this year. Back in July, Trump addressed the Bitcoin 2024 Conference in Nashville, unveiling plans to establish a strategic national […]

December 13, 2024 | Vaxxecuted, Governor Trudeau, Tariffs, Stupid

Is Bitcoin the new Gold?

December 13, 2024 | Historically – How Have Tariffs Worked Out?

US small business optimism spikes after Trump election