Martin Armstrong
Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.
June 17th, 2026 | Trump said Netanyahu has “No F—ing Judgement.”
Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: I read Trump’s comment to Netanyahu in Axios. You have been the voice of reason. I argued with someone who said you were anti-sematic for criticizing Netanyahu. They criticized Obama so I asked then you must be a racist. It went right over their head. I know you said before that you had two […]
June 16th, 2026 | The Strait of Hormuz May Reopen But the War Cycle Is Not Finished
Armstrong Economics - The financial press is celebrating reports that traders are betting shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz could begin returning to normal by August. Oil prices have fallen sharply on hopes of a U.S.-Iran agreement, and prediction markets are assigning better-than-even odds that vessel traffic will recover during the second half of this year. […]
June 14th, 2026 | Soros vs India – Trying to Change Foreign Countries
Armstrong Economics - The primary driver of the rupee’s recent movement has been the conflict between the US-Israel alliance and Iran. India has stated that the conflict has had a “debilitating impact on the global economy and energy supplies.” As a major importer of oil, India is vulnerable to price shocks and supply chain disruptions. The rupee […]
June 12th, 2026 | Wholesale Inflation Confirms Energy Crisis
Armstrong Economics - The Producer Price Index for May came in far hotter than expected, rising 1.1% for the month and 6.5% year-over-year, the largest annual increase since late 2022. What is important here is that nearly 80% of that increase came from goods, and energy was the driving force behind the move. Gasoline prices at the wholesale […]
June 11th, 2026 | The Pacific Prize
Armstrong Economics - The Taiwan issue is not simply about reunification. That has always been far too simplistic. If Taiwan were merely a political dispute, China would not be spending trillions of yuan to build one of the largest navies on Earth. It would not be launching aircraft carriers into the Pacific. It would not be conducting […]
June 10th, 2026 | Europe’s War on Crypto Is Really About Capital Controls
Armstrong Economics - The European Union has announced what may prove to be one of the most significant developments in the battle over financial freedom. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen declared that the EU would introduce, for the first time, a “full third-country ban” on certain crypto-asset services as part of a new sanctions package […]
June 9th, 2026 | Digital ID: The Lockdown They Never Abandoned
Armstrong Economics - Governments never abandon an idea once they discover it increases control. They simply wait until the public is distracted and repackage it under a different name. The lockdowns may be over, but the mentality that produced them never disappeared. It merely evolved. The United Kingdom is now moving toward a digital identity system tied […]
June 8th, 2026 | The Jobs Report Everyone Will Misread
Armstrong Economics - The May jobs report came in far stronger than expected. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 172,000 while other economists were looking for roughly 80,000 to 85,000 jobs. The unemployment rate remained at 4.3%, and March and April payrolls were revised higher by a combined 93,000 jobs. Leisure and hospitality added 70,000 jobs, local government gained […]
June 7th, 2026 | The Food Supply Has Been Compromised
Armstrong Economics - Africa may be the world’s test site for vaccinations, but the United States has become the test site for synthetic foods. I mentioned in an earlier article that posts have been circulating online of consumers questioning the food supply. Wild animals won’t eat the stuff, even bugs refuse to touch it. The food rarely molds […]
June 5th, 2026 | The War Is Expanding Whether They Admit It or Not
Armstrong Economics - Zelensky is now warning that Russian intelligence preparations point toward a “massive new strike” against Ukraine. He urged Ukrainians to pay attention to air raid warnings and said Ukrainian intelligence services have information indicating that Russia is preparing another large-scale attack. At the same time, Moscow has warned diplomats and foreigners to leave Kyiv while […]
June 4th, 2026 | Why Turkey Matters More Than People Realize
Armstrong Economics - I have repeatedly warned that people need to watch Turkey. Most analysts view Turkey as simply another emerging market struggling with inflation, currency volatility, and political uncertainty. They are missing the larger picture. Turkey sits at the crossroads of Europe, Russia, the Middle East, and Asia. When capital shifts, when energy flows change, when […]
June 3rd, 2026 | Sovereignty for Sale in Ireland – UK’s Starmer Hates White People
Armstrong Economics - The European Union has now reached the point where it openly tells nations how many migrants they should accept and what they must pay if they refuse. They no longer even pretend that member states are sovereign countries. Ireland, a nation that fought for centuries to determine its own destiny, is now […]
June 2nd, 2026 | The Fed’s Real Stress Test
Armstrong Economics - Jerome Powell is now warning that the Federal Reserve is undergoing a “stress test” and that political interference threatens public confidence in the institution. He stated that “the public would lose faith” if administrations could remove Fed officials over policy disagreements and argued that democratic institutions can be “torn down all too quickly.” What is […]
May 31st, 2026 | The Real Reason Russia Would Invade Europe
Armstrong Economics - The press keeps insisting Russia is preparing to invade all of Europe as if Putin wakes up every morning dreaming about inheriting Germany’s industrial collapse and France’s pension protests. The propaganda has become so absurd that perhaps we should finally discuss the REAL reasons Russia would supposedly invade Europe: To acquire Germany’s energy policy […]
Armstrong Economics - The Nicholas Wagter case has exploded online because many people believe it represents something far more dangerous than one isolated mental health dispute. According to widespread claims circulating online, Wagter, a widely published doctor in biophysics, was forcibly detained under Canada’s psychiatric intervention laws after becoming increasingly vocal about financial systems, patent disputes, institutional […]
May 28th, 2026 | Swiss Bank Accounts are DEAD – The New Banking Hub
Armstrong Economics - For decades, Switzerland sold one thing better than perhaps any country on earth: privacy. That became its true export. People think of watches, chocolate, pharmaceuticals, or skiing resorts, but Switzerland’s real business was protecting capital from governments. That was the foundation of modern offshore banking. Switzerland has destroyed the very industry that made it […]
May 27th, 2026 | Even Therapists Have Become a Data Mine
Armstrong Economics - There was a time when people could still speak privately. You could sit across from a therapist, talk about your marriage falling apart, your depression, your fears, your finances, or the darkest moments of your life believing those conversations would remain between two human beings. That world is dying rapidly because everything now must be […]
May 26th, 2026 | Ukraine Could Be Granted Associate EU Membership
Armstrong Economics - The same European Union that cannot control its own borders, cannot stop economic contraction, cannot keep factories from fleeing, cannot keep farmers from revolting, and cannot even keep the lights on without deindustrializing itself is now discussing some absurd “associate membership” for Ukraine while the country is still actively at war. This is what […]
May 25th, 2026 | American Consumer Confidence Cracks as the War Cycle Intensifies
Armstrong Economics - Consumer sentiment has fallen to the lowest level ever recorded since the University of Michigan began tracking the data in 1952. The index declined to 44.8 in May as Americans increasingly fear inflation, rising fuel costs, and economic instability tied directly to the expanding conflict with Iran. This is precisely how stagflation unfolds historically. War […]
May 23rd, 2026 | It’s Time to Talk about Massie
Armstrong Economics - Thomas Massie did not lose because the people of Kentucky suddenly rejected him. He lost because Washington sent a message to every politician in America that if you dare question the foreign policy agenda, if you dare oppose endless war funding, and if you dare call out the influence of AIPAC and the […]
May 22nd, 2026 | Cuban Crisis Escalating
Armstrong Economics - The Cuban crisis is becoming far more dangerous than most people understand because this is no longer simply about Cuba. This is about the global war cycle accelerating exactly as the models projected years ago. Once great powers begin directly confronting each other in each other’s spheres of influence, history shows that events start moving […]
May 21st, 2026 | Britain Desperate for Oil
Armstrong Economics - Britain is now discovering you cannot dismantle your industrial and energy base, wage war on domestic production, impose endless climate regulations, and still expect to maintain a functioning economy. Reality eventually arrives no matter how many politicians attempt to legislate against it. The UK is quietly loosening oil and gas restrictions because the country is […]
May 20th, 2026 | EU Commissioner Blames Stagflation on War
Armstrong Economics - Europe is now openly admitting it faces a stagflation shock, but this crisis did not suddenly appear because of the Iran war. The war merely accelerated a collapse that was already well underway due to years of catastrophic policy decisions. Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commissioner for Economy and Productivity, described the situation as a “stagflationary shock” […]
May 19th, 2026 | $1.776 B Lawfare Spending Package Introduced
Armstrong Economics - There are no coincidences in politics, and anybody pretending otherwise has not studied history. The Department of Justice just announced a $1.776 billion “Anti-Weaponization Fund” supposedly designed to compensate Americans who were politically targeted through what the administration calls “lawfare.” The amount itself tells you exactly what this is meant to symbolize. They could […]
May 18th, 2026 | America’s Sovereign Debt Crisis Has Already Begun
Armstrong Economics - The United States has crossed a threshold that historically marked the beginning of sovereign debt crises for empires throughout history. According to newly released figures, U.S. debt held by the public has now surpassed 100% of GDP for the first time since World War II, reaching roughly 100.2% as public debt climbed above $31.27 trillion […]

