Martin Armstrong
Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.
March 6th, 2026 | Existing US Home Sales Collapse Despite Falling Mortgage Rates
Armstrong Economics - Existing home sales just delivered one of the clearest signals yet about the true state of the housing market in 2026, and it is not the rebound narrative the mainstream keeps promoting. The latest data shows that existing-home sales fell 8.4% in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of just 3.91 million […]
March 5th, 2026 | Europe Is Building a Digital Identity System for 450 Million People
Armstrong Economics - The European Union is quietly constructing what may become one of the most sweeping digital identity systems ever attempted. Under new legislation, every EU member state must provide citizens with a government-approved “European Digital Identity Wallet” by 2026. This system will allow people to store official documents, verify identity, access government services, sign legal contracts, […]
March 4th, 2026 | Great Nations Do Not Fight Endless Wars
Armstrong Economics - “Great nations do not fight endless wars,” Donald Trump said during his campaign when highlighting his “Americas First” message. Trump explicitly promised to maintain peace and keep American troops out of foreign wars. American blood has been shed in the Middle East once more amid Operation Epic Fury. Could this escalating war cause MAGA […]
March 3rd, 2026 | Iranians Divided Over Regime Change
Armstrong Economics - The Western press is desperately trying to frame the Iranian people as either celebrating liberation or rallying behind their government. As always, the truth is far more complex. The Iranian population is deeply divided, and that division is precisely what unfolds when an external military strike hits a nation already suffering from internal political and […]
March 2nd, 2026 | Will Mortgage Rates Crash and Spur a Real Estate Boom?
Armstrong Economics - Everyone keeps asking if mortgage rates will collapse in 2026 as if the entire real estate market revolves around the Federal Reserve pulling a lever. That is simply not how the system actually functions. Mortgage rates are tied to long-term capital flows and the 10-year yield, not just whatever the Fed does at the […]
February 28th, 2026 | US & Israel vs Iran
Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you pointed out previously that Zelensky was a war criminal for targeting leaders in Russia. You wrote: “Zelensky is a war criminal based on the Rules of War and Geneva. Whether the car bomb is perfidious depends entirely on the method used to get the bomb to the target. Perfidy (Treachery) is strictly prohibited under Article 37 of the Geneva […]
February 27th, 2026 | WEF President Resigns Over Epstein Ties
Armstrong Economics - The resignation of World Economic Forum President Borge Brende is being framed in the press as a simple leadership transition, but the underlying issue is far more revealing about the crisis of confidence now unfolding within global institutions. Brende stepped down after his past contacts with Jeffrey Epstein came to light. According to reports, the […]
February 26th, 2026 | American Voters Favor Trump over the Democratic Part
Armstrong Economics - Americans “still trust Trump more than the Democrats — and in every category,” according to an ABC poll. The joke used in the piece is actually very telling: in politics, you do not need to outrun the lion, you just need to outrun the other candidate. That is a far more accurate description of […]
February 24th, 2026 | United Nations Moves to Censor the Internet
Armstrong Economics - The United Nations is now openly discussing “coordinated global action” to combat what it defines as disinformation and hate speech online, and this should not be dismissed as some abstract policy debate. This is a structural shift toward the internationalization of speech regulation, and that carries profound political and economic implications. The […]
February 23rd, 2026 | Will Iran be Their Proxy War Against USA?
Armstrong Economics - There is a deep division within the Trump Administration with a pro war and anti-war groups. The anti-war group are VP Vance and Tulsi Gabbard. The pro war group are Marco Rubio, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and theemdless war moner Senator Lindsey Graham. Both Israel and the Neocons are consistently pushing for US action, […]
February 21st, 2026 | Trump’s Tariffs & The New Risk Ahead
Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: I just saw you on Russia Today explaining the Supreme Court decision. You said this will have a psychological impact on Trump internationally. Would you elaborate? GR PS. I agree it is strange how you will appear on TV in Asia and Europe even in Russia but not in America. ANSWER: President Trump […]
February 20th, 2026 | Canada to Provide Express Entry to Trained Foreign Military Personnel
Armstrong Economics - I have warned many times that immigration policy is increasingly being shaped by political ideology rather than long-term social cohesion and economic stability. The report that Canada is considering an express entry pathway for highly trained foreign military personnel raises very serious questions that go far beyond labor shortages or skills-based immigration. When […]
February 19th, 2026 | US Home Buyers Shift from Luxury to Practicality
Armstrong Economics - Zillow is now openly acknowledging a shift in the US housing market that most analysts are still refusing to properly interpret. They are framing it as a “trend change” in homebuyer preferences toward smaller, adaptable, and more functional homes rather than large status properties, but this is not a lifestyle trend. It is an economic […]
February 18th, 2026 | Canada Completes Construction of Nuclear Power Plant
Armstrong Economics - What you are looking at with Canada completing the roughly $9.4 billion Darlington nuclear refurbishment early and under budget is something that completely contradicts the prevailing political narrative about energy policy in the West. The final 878-MW unit is now preparing to return to commercial operation, marking the end of a decade-long rebuild of […]
February 17th, 2026 | Kim Jung-Un Names Successor
Armstrong Economics - South Korea’s National Intelligence Service has reported that Kim Ju-ae, the daughter of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, is now in the “successor nomination stage,” a phrase indicating not just symbolic visibility but active internal positioning as the next leader. This marks the clearest signal yet that Pyongyang is preparing for a fourth-generation transfer of […]
February 16th, 2026 | The Euro vs Dollar
Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Marty, you said that the euro would first rise against the dollar and that would lead to a wave of deflation in Europe. Are we close to the reversal in this trend that you said would be the second half of 2026? FD ANSWER: The philosophy between the US and Europe when it comes to currency […]
February 14th, 2026 | Crashing Gold and Silver Prices — How Long Will It Last?
Armstrong Economics - What if the economy wasn’t chaotic at all-but followed a hidden code? The Armstrong Economic Code reveals the powerful cyclical patterns discovered by legendary forecaster Martin A. Armstrong, whose Economic Confidence Model (ECM) has predicted every major boom, bust, and geopolitical shift for more than four decades. Compiled and expanded by Kerry Lutz, host of the […]
February 13th, 2026 | EU Bankers Call for Visa and Mastercard Alternative
Armstrong Economics - According to ECB data cited by the Financial Times, American firms Visa and Mastercard now account for nearly two-thirds of all card transactions in the eurozone, while 13 EU countries have no national card schemes. Now, EU officials have issued a warning that an alternative medium must be deployed to counter US interference. As […]
February 12th, 2026 | EPA to Repeal Greenhouse Gas Regulations
Armstrong Economics - The Environmental Protection Agency under the Trump administration is on the verge of repealing the 2009 “endangerment finding” that formed the legal and scientific basis for regulating greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. That finding, first issued early in the Obama administration, concluded that carbon dioxide and five other greenhouse gases “may reasonably […]
February 10th, 2026 | Dow to 100K?
Armstrong Economics - Donald Trump recently stated that the Dow could reach 100,000 by the end of his presidency, and the usual crowd immediately rushed to either cheer or ridicule the statement without understanding why such a number is even possible. The problem with modern analysis is that it assumes markets rise because governments are doing something right. […]
February 7th, 2026 | Why Gold and Silver Crashed (Pt. 1)
February 6th, 2026 | The Economy into 2028
Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Marty, January posted the largest January job loss numbers since the Great Recession of 108,435, which was a 118% increase from a year earlier. This seems to be in line with Socrates’ going into February where it projected a rise in volatility there as well and a Directional Change. Plus, consumer confidence started […]
February 5th, 2026 | Could Europe Defend Itself Without America?
Armstrong Economics - Could Europe defend itself without America? In January 2026, NATO launched Operation Steadfast to answer that question. The operation is the largest exercise of the year, deploying around 10,000 troops from 11 member states across Central Europe. The plan involves the Allied Reaction Force, a rapid response element designed to test trans-Atlantic coordination in […]
February 4th, 2026 | Washington Launches $12B Rare Earth Minerals Reserve
Armstrong Economics - The Trump administration is moving to create what is being described as a strategic stockpile for rare earths and other critical minerals, branded “Project Vault,” with reported financing of around $12 billion, involving a major loan structure and private participation from large industrial users. This is a defensive move akin to a petroleum stockpile and […]
February 4th, 2026 | Prosecutors Seek to Ban Le Pen From Office
Armstrong Economics - Once again, we are watching the political system weaponize the courts to decide elections before the people ever get the chance to vote. The appeal trial involving France’s Marine Le Pen is not really about accounting procedures or parliamentary reimbursements. This is about removing a political opponent who cannot be beaten at the ballot box. If the […]

