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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

January 3rd, 2026 | Hollywood in 2026?

Armstrong Economics -   Those who attended the 2025 World Economic Conference know that I have agreed to participate in a Hollywood film on my life. Everything is still in the works. I will provide more information once it becomes available, but I expect big news in the year ahead. Fortune and fame have never allured me or […]

Armstrong Economics -   California state experiences a payroll contraction during the first eight months of 2025, marking the largest job decline since COVID. The state’s 5% unemployment rate is above the national average and has remained so for the past 19 consecutive months. Over 173,000 jobs disappeared from California from January to November 2025, a 14% annual […]

January 1st, 2026 | Happy New Year!

Armstrong Economics - Buckle in—2026 marks a key phase in the Economic Confidence Model, when markets, governments, and institutions will be tested. By following the model rather than the headlines, we can navigate what’s coming together.

Armstrong Economics - People are losing confidence in institutions precisely because these actions show how quickly access to one’s own assets can be restricted without due process. This story resonated because it stripped away the rhetoric and exposed reality. Governments everywhere are preparing for a future where financial access is conditional. Data will be weaponized as the sovereign […]

December 30th, 2025 | November 2025 US Real Estate

Armstrong Economics -   November home sales in the US paint a picture of stagnation and a frozen market. Home prices and mortgages have risen and demand has waned. This is a buyer’s market but conditions are not particularly favorable due to the cost of ownership. Sales rose 0.5% from November to October and were 1% lower on […]

Armstrong Economics -   In his 1936 book, ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,’ John Maynard Keynes argued that aggregate demand was too volatile to be stable and would lead to inflation or recession. His theory honed in on spending as a means of price control. Low aggregate demand, Keynes argues, would lead to high unemployment […]

Armstrong Economics -   In 1935, Roosevelt introduced “The Social Security Act,” which passed in Congress. However, the act was described as “Old Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance.” At first, the Act covered only industry and commerce. It was later extended to include farm operators in 1955. The SS tax was to be 3% of income up to […]

December 26th, 2025 | Japan & the Future

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I understand the previous Japanese government did to you with the letter asking to confirm $10 billion when it was $1 billion and they never explained how they could make such a mistake. Here in Japan, we are still struggling as you had warned would be the case with the collapse of the […]

December 25th, 2025 | Merry Christmas!

Armstrong Economics -   Merry Christmas to everyone around the world. Christmas is a reminder that history does not move in straight lines. It moves in cycles. Every civilization has faced moments where confidence was tested, institutions were stretched beyond their limits, and the public was told to trust systems that were clearly no longer working as intended. […]

Armstrong Economics -     The Mikaela Naylon Give Kids a Chance Act was designed to help children with cancer receive life-saving treatment and participate in clinical trials with minimal red tape. The House of Representatives approved the bill unanimously earlier this month. Allowing children with childhood cancer to access treatment should have been a bipartisan no-brainer. Yet, […]

Armstrong Economics -   Fentanyl has been classified as a Weapon of Mass Destruction (WMD) after it claimed the lives of 57,000 Americans in 2025. The order directs the Attorney General, Defense, Homeland Security, State, and Treasury to treat illicit fentanyl networks as national‑security targets. The Secretary of War must update military guidelines on “chemical” incidents to include […]

December 21st, 2025 | The EU is Out of Control

Armstrong Economics - European leaders were forced to back down on stealing the Russian assets, and have agreed to keep Ukraine funded for two years with a loan of 90 billion euros, or about $105 billion. There is growing discontent within the EU, for a few countries I speak to are starting to realize that the EU is […]

Armstrong Economics - The corruption in the Pharmaceutical Industry is no different from the Financial Industry. They pay big finds giving regulators gold stars for racking in the money, but nobody goes to jail – that is not profitable because they can’t get billions in fines from individuals. Until people who deliberately make decisions that destroy industries or […]

Armstrong Economics - Government spending per person in the United States has soared nearly 10,000 percent over the last century, as reported by the Federalist. The number is staggering, but the true question isn’t how much has been spent but what was bought and why the US government needs to spend at such a level. Woodrow Wilson secured […]

December 18th, 2025 | Copper Hoarding

Armstrong Economics -   Copper prices are near record highs with spot prices above $11,000 per ton. Grid expansion projects and data centers are copper-intensive, The supply chain in constrained and investors are anticipating future US tariffs reaching 25%. The press is claiming that these projects are the reason for the recent surge in copper hoarding, but the […]

Armstrong Economics - Christine Lagarde is now warning that Europe faces an “existential crisis” unless urgent reforms are enacted. What she is really admitting is that Europe has reached the end of the centralized model. These are 28 independent nations that were never intended to operate as a single homogeneous culture or economy. Europe’s problem is not monetary […]

Armstrong Economics -     Mass migration through open border policies is inhumane. I may often focus on the economic implications, but it is crucial to understand how these policies have destroyed the very people they claim to protect. Thousands of men, women, and children have died in their attempt to reach the West. Unaccompanied minors have gone […]

Armstrong Economics - Porsche owners across Russia were unable to start their vehicles without warning. The German automaker claimed the sudden immobilization was due to an issue with the Vehicle Tracking System, a satellite security feature intended to protect against auto theft. In reality, Porsche admitted to the world that automakers have the ability to control modernized cars […]

December 14th, 2025 | EU Not Included in New G5

Armstrong Economics - REPLY: Of course, I am use to being blamed for everything. The EU is the enemy because it is imploding economically. They reject peace because they need war as a distraction. Kill the messenger as always. Zelensky is pushing the EU off a cliff – not me. This is why the EU is becoming so […]

December 13th, 2025 | The COVIDIOT

Armstrong Economics -   The latest agreement between the European Union and Canada to collaborate on mutually recognized digital IDs is simply another step in what I have been warning about for years. Whenever government confidence collapses, the political class tightens control. Digital ID is not about convenience; it is about tracking capital and controlling movement as the […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Federal Reserve was divided this December; hawkish members of the FOMC were outnumbered, and the central bank approved its third consecutive cut of 2025. “We’re in the high end of the range of neutral,” Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell added. “It″s so happened that we’ve cut three times. We have we haven’t made […]

December 10th, 2025 | Trump Preparing to Exit NATO?

Armstrong Economics -   President Trump released the 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) of the US, released by the White House on December 4th, 2025, marks a potentially profound shift in US foreign policy. He has criticized Europe and insisted on ending the perception and preventing the reality, of NATO as a perpetually expanding alliance.  This 33-page document […]

Armstrong Economics - (Minnesota state flag)   COMMENT: Marty, After reading the stories you’ve shared about people not being able to almost anything of value onto planes without a real risk of confiscation, the Alpha News video where a TSA agent claims to have observed multiple suitcases of cash muled out of the country by Somali men makes […]
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