Armstrong Economics -   QUESTION: I just saw you on Russia Today explaining the Supreme Court decision. You said this will have a psychological impact on Trump internationally. Would you elaborate? GR PS. I agree it is strange how you will appear on TV in Asia and Europe even in Russia but not in America. ANSWER: President Trump […]

Armstrong Economics -     I have warned many times that immigration policy is increasingly being shaped by political ideology rather than long-term social cohesion and economic stability. The report that Canada is considering an express entry pathway for highly trained foreign military personnel raises very serious questions that go far beyond labor shortages or skills-based immigration. When […]

Armstrong Economics - Zillow is now openly acknowledging a shift in the US housing market that most analysts are still refusing to properly interpret. They are framing it as a “trend change” in homebuyer preferences toward smaller, adaptable, and more functional homes rather than large status properties, but this is not a lifestyle trend. It is an economic […]

Armstrong Economics -   What you are looking at with Canada completing the roughly $9.4 billion Darlington nuclear refurbishment early and under budget is something that completely contradicts the prevailing political narrative about energy policy in the West. The final 878-MW unit is now preparing to return to commercial operation, marking the end of a decade-long rebuild of […]

Armstrong Economics - South Korea’s National Intelligence Service has reported that Kim Ju-ae, the daughter of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, is now in the “successor nomination stage,” a phrase indicating not just symbolic visibility but active internal positioning as the next leader. This marks the clearest signal yet that Pyongyang is preparing for a fourth-generation transfer of […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Marty, you said that the euro would first rise against the dollar and that would lead to a wave of deflation in Europe. Are we close to the reversal in this trend that you said would be the second half of 2026? FD ANSWER: The philosophy between the US and Europe when it comes to currency […]

Armstrong Economics - What if the economy wasn’t chaotic at all-but followed a hidden code? The Armstrong Economic Code reveals the powerful cyclical patterns discovered by legendary forecaster Martin A. Armstrong, whose Economic Confidence Model (ECM) has predicted every major boom, bust, and geopolitical shift for more than four decades. Compiled and expanded by Kerry Lutz, host of the […]

Armstrong Economics -   According to ECB data cited by the Financial Times, American firms Visa and Mastercard now account for nearly two-thirds of all card transactions in the eurozone, while 13 EU countries have no national card schemes. Now, EU officials have issued a warning that an alternative medium must be deployed to counter US interference. As […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Environmental Protection Agency under the Trump administration is on the verge of repealing the 2009 “endangerment finding” that formed the legal and scientific basis for regulating greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. That finding, first issued early in the Obama administration, concluded that carbon dioxide and five other greenhouse gases “may reasonably […]

Armstrong Economics - Donald Trump recently stated that the Dow could reach 100,000 by the end of his presidency, and the usual crowd immediately rushed to either cheer or ridicule the statement without understanding why such a number is even possible. The problem with modern analysis is that it assumes markets rise because governments are doing something right. […]

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Armstrong Economics -   QUESTION: Marty, January posted the largest January job loss numbers since the Great Recession of 108,435, which was a 118% increase from a year earlier. This seems to be in line with Socrates’ going into February where it projected a rise in volatility there as well and a Directional Change. Plus, consumer confidence started […]

Armstrong Economics -   Could Europe defend itself without America? In January 2026, NATO launched Operation Steadfast to answer that question. The operation is the largest exercise of the year, deploying around 10,000 troops from 11 member states across Central Europe. The plan involves the Allied Reaction Force, a rapid response element designed to test trans-Atlantic coordination in […]

Armstrong Economics - The Trump administration is moving to create what is being described as a strategic stockpile for rare earths and other critical minerals, branded “Project Vault,” with reported financing of around $12 billion, involving a major loan structure and private participation from large industrial users. This is a defensive move akin to a petroleum stockpile and […]

Armstrong Economics - Once again, we are watching the political system weaponize the courts to decide elections before the people ever get the chance to vote. The appeal trial involving France’s Marine Le Pen is not really about accounting procedures or parliamentary reimbursements. This is about removing a political opponent who cannot be beaten at the ballot box. If the […]

Armstrong Economics -   In a recent interview, Donald Trump claimed he could “very easily solve” the United Nations’ financial problems by requiring member states to pay their dues, much as he pressured NATO allies to increase defense contributions during his first term. Trump would not be able to do this with funds, as that is not the true […]

Armstrong Economics - United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has warned that the organization could face “imminent financial collapse” unless member states pay their dues in full and on time or unless the underlying financial structure is fundamentally reformed. “The crisis is deepening, threatening programme delivery and risking financial collapse. And the situation will deteriorate further in the near […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Do you still see the risk of a Middle East War by 2027? HF ANSWER: Unfortunately, yes. I will do a Report on the Middle East for 2026. The Paradox of a Regime That Can’t Afford Peace Let me start with the question everyone’s asking wrong: “Will Iran start another war with Israel?” Wrong […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: Marty, congrats. That is a thank you letter for writing that peace plan. But the rumors are that Trump is going to reduce the size of American bases in NATO. I believe you are right. They came to you because you are on the opposite side of the Neocons for the same reason […]

Armstrong Economics - Physical bank branches are disappearing along with relationship banking. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) files state that the US lost a net total of 339 bank branches in December 2025. The S&P Global and Federal Reserve found that the US has been losing, on average, 1,600 bank branches per year. Santander […]

Armstrong Economics -   We are witnessing an unmistakable shift in the US housing market, not a bubble pop like 2008, but a market regime change characterized by buyers retreating as inventory rises and affordability remains strained. Recent data from Redfin shows that roughly 40,000 US home-purchase agreements were canceled in December, representing about 16.3% of homes that […]

Armstrong Economics - Microsoft provided the FBI with Bitlocker encryption keys. It should come as no surprise that a US-based cloud storage service provided US intelligence with backdoor access. Encryption is only as strong as the one who controls the key to lock it. Microsoft, the world’s dominant provider of desktop and enterprise systems, complied with an FBI warrant and […]

Armstrong Economics - Deemed the “mother of all deals” by Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, India and the European Union signed a historic trade agreement that will permit near free trade between the two economies. The EU plans to phase out tariffs on Indian goods by up to 95% over a multi-year period. India will begin phasing […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: The Kremlin refuses to end the war in Ukraine unless the Donbas region is surrendered. Zelensky has previously stated he will not hand over the Donbas region to Moscow. This looks like what you have said. No resolution. Are we headed into more warfare in February/March? DG ANSWER: Zelensky is a piece of shit […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, I am new to Socrates. Everyone told me you have done more research and have real-world experience unmatched in the finance world. Your post on silver and the long-term blew my mind. Nobody has ever explained the real history of silver and confiscations. Is this why you have been saying ‘by silver […]