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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

Armstrong Economics -       The European Union has now reached the point where it openly tells nations how many migrants they should accept and what they must pay if they refuse. They no longer even pretend that member states are sovereign countries. Ireland, a nation that fought for centuries to determine its own destiny, is now […]

Armstrong Economics - Jerome Powell is now warning that the Federal Reserve is undergoing a “stress test” and that political interference threatens public confidence in the institution. He stated that “the public would lose faith” if administrations could remove Fed officials over policy disagreements and argued that democratic institutions can be “torn down all too quickly.” What is […]

Armstrong Economics -   The press keeps insisting Russia is preparing to invade all of Europe as if Putin wakes up every morning dreaming about inheriting Germany’s industrial collapse and France’s pension protests. The propaganda has become so absurd that perhaps we should finally discuss the REAL reasons Russia would supposedly invade Europe: To acquire Germany’s energy policy […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Nicholas Wagter case has exploded online because many people believe it represents something far more dangerous than one isolated mental health dispute. According to widespread claims circulating online, Wagter, a widely published doctor in biophysics, was forcibly detained under Canada’s psychiatric intervention laws after becoming increasingly vocal about financial systems, patent disputes, institutional […]

Armstrong Economics -   For decades, Switzerland sold one thing better than perhaps any country on earth: privacy. That became its true export. People think of watches, chocolate, pharmaceuticals, or skiing resorts, but Switzerland’s real business was protecting capital from governments. That was the foundation of modern offshore banking. Switzerland has destroyed the very industry that made it […]

Armstrong Economics - There was a time when people could still speak privately. You could sit across from a therapist, talk about your marriage falling apart, your depression, your fears, your finances, or the darkest moments of your life believing those conversations would remain between two human beings. That world is dying rapidly because everything now must be […]

Armstrong Economics -   The same European Union that cannot control its own borders, cannot stop economic contraction, cannot keep factories from fleeing, cannot keep farmers from revolting, and cannot even keep the lights on without deindustrializing itself is now discussing some absurd “associate membership” for Ukraine while the country is still actively at war. This is what […]

Armstrong Economics - Consumer sentiment has fallen to the lowest level ever recorded since the University of Michigan began tracking the data in 1952. The index declined to 44.8 in May as Americans increasingly fear inflation, rising fuel costs, and economic instability tied directly to the expanding conflict with Iran. This is precisely how stagflation unfolds historically. War […]

Armstrong Economics -     Thomas Massie did not lose because the people of Kentucky suddenly rejected him. He lost because Washington sent a message to every politician in America that if you dare question the foreign policy agenda, if you dare oppose endless war funding, and if you dare call out the influence of AIPAC and the […]

May 22nd, 2026 | Cuban Crisis Escalating

Armstrong Economics - The Cuban crisis is becoming far more dangerous than most people understand because this is no longer simply about Cuba. This is about the global war cycle accelerating exactly as the models projected years ago. Once great powers begin directly confronting each other in each other’s spheres of influence, history shows that events start moving […]

Armstrong Economics - Britain is now discovering you cannot dismantle your industrial and energy base, wage war on domestic production, impose endless climate regulations, and still expect to maintain a functioning economy. Reality eventually arrives no matter how many politicians attempt to legislate against it. The UK is quietly loosening oil and gas restrictions because the country is […]

Armstrong Economics - Europe is now openly admitting it faces a stagflation shock, but this crisis did not suddenly appear because of the Iran war. The war merely accelerated a collapse that was already well underway due to years of catastrophic policy decisions. Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commissioner for Economy and Productivity, described the situation as a “stagflationary shock” […]

Armstrong Economics -   There are no coincidences in politics, and anybody pretending otherwise has not studied history. The Department of Justice just announced a $1.776 billion “Anti-Weaponization Fund” supposedly designed to compensate Americans who were politically targeted through what the administration calls “lawfare.” The amount itself tells you exactly what this is meant to symbolize. They could […]

Armstrong Economics - The United States has crossed a threshold that historically marked the beginning of sovereign debt crises for empires throughout history. According to newly released figures, U.S. debt held by the public has now surpassed 100% of GDP for the first time since World War II, reaching roughly 100.2% as public debt climbed above $31.27 trillion […]

Armstrong Economics - For years, many people dismissed artificial intelligence as little more than a threat to jobs or another speculative technology bubble. Yet beneath the political noise and media hysteria, one of the most important medical revolutions in modern history is quietly beginning to emerge. Artificial intelligence is now helping doctors detect diseases earlier, develop drugs faster, […]

Armstrong Economics -   Singapore has become one of the clearest examples of what happens when global instability pushes capital toward safe and efficient financial hubs. While much of the developed world struggles with declining middle classes, inflation pressure, weak currencies, and deteriorating public confidence, Singapore is absorbing enormous inflows of wealth, businesses, financial firms, and highly skilled […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I retired from Wall Street and from your favorite competitor. You earned the nickname “the legend” because you were the greatest of all traders. We always watched your plays. You would roll the dice, and you did inspire fear in everyone’s eyes. Many could not believe you had a computer that […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Canadian government is trying to sell the public a fairy tale about patriotism, NATO, and defending democracy, but the recruitment surge inside the military has far more to do with economic decay than national pride. Whenever governments cannot provide economic opportunity, they suddenly rediscover the virtues of military service. This has happened throughout […]

Armstrong Economics - The government will never tell the truth about inflation because if they did, confidence would collapse. They always alter the formulas, revise the definitions, and pretend the economy is improving while the average person knows damn well something is seriously wrong. The April producer price numbers are simply confirming what anyone running a business already […]

Armstrong Economics - The rumors are that both the EU and India are contemplating using this new virus for lockdowns to force the price of oil back down. Oil during COVID fell to $6.50. Is this the new agenda to deal with an energy crisis?

Armstrong Economics - April existing home sales in the U.S. came in at an annualized pace of just 4.02 million units, barely rising 0.2% from March and missing expectations yet again. We are now looking at one of the weakest spring housing seasons in decades, despite population growth and years of underbuilding. Real estate has always been driven […]

Armstrong Economics - Canada’s unemployment rate has now climbed to 6.9%, the highest level in six months, after the economy unexpectedly lost 17,700 jobs in April while economists had projected gains instead. More importantly, the country has now lost approximately 112,000 jobs during the first four months of 2026 alone, marking the steepest four-month employment decline since early […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, we never met. I was introduced to Socrates at the insistence of a friend at another one of our divisions. There was no 80% Crash on April 29. The whole de-dollarization seems to be another hype, as we have witnessed ourselves. Your system allows you to plot anything in any currency. […]

Armstrong Economics -   Mexico is increasingly benefiting from one of the largest supply chain realignments in modern economic history. Factories are expanding, industrial wages are rising, foreign investment is pouring in, and millions of Mexicans are experiencing growing economic opportunity in real time as capital shifts closer to the United States. Mexico’s economy is being transformed by […]

Armstrong Economics - For years, Canadians were told their economy was “strong,” their banking system was “safe,” and their housing market was “resilient.” Now reality is finally colliding with the propaganda as ordinary Canadians increasingly admit they feel trapped financially despite endless government claims that conditions are improving. The numbers are becoming impossible to ignore. Recent polling shows […]
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