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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

Armstrong Economics - The United States Withdrawal from the World Health Organization: A Cyclical Analysis of Sovereignty and Global Health Governance January 23, 2026 The Trump administration’s decision to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization represents far more than a simple policy shift. This marks a critical inflection point in the post-World War II international […]

Armstrong Economics - Donald Trump declared at Davos that America would not become a nation of renters, much to the dismay of the “you will own nothing and be happy” audience. Trump is now talking about banning large institutional investors from buying more single-family homes, claiming this is about restoring the American Dream and ending the insanity where […]

Armstrong Economics -   Redfin estimates there were 37.2% more home sellers than buyers in November, which is the largest gap since 2013 outside of last summer. The computer warned that the US would experience a buyer’s market until 2028. The imbalance does not translate into some 2008 era real estate crisis, but it highlights the confidence cycle […]

Armstrong Economics - A Danish pension fund, AkademikerPension, is reportedly divesting its US Treasury holdings to the tune of $100 million. Anders Schelde, AkademikerPension’s investing chief, claims they are concerned about the condition of US government finances and rising credit risk. They even admitted the Greenland political tensions simply made the decision easier, but the core point remains […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Board of Peace was established in November 2025 to champion the Gaza-Israel ceasefire. Donald Trump will act as the first chairman and has begun inviting nations to join, including Russia. The headlines are reacting as if this is some radical, unprecedented concept. I have said repeatedly that the real objective for decades has […]

Armstrong Economics -     Peace was never an option. The Russia-Ukraine war was plotted out over a decade ago by people unassociated with either nation. The Plot to Seize Russia explains everything in detail. Yeltsin handed Putin the reins to protect Russia from the oligarchs. The West installed Zelensky to quietly control Ukraine and position it for […]

Armstrong Economics - What is really stunning in this conversation is how the WOKE LEFT are willing to go in order to pretend that they are never wrong. This doctor refuses to simply admit that “biological men cannot get pregnant.” The conversation had nothing to do with transgender. This is indeed a simple yes/no question can “BIOLOGICAL MEN” […]

Armstrong Economics - Nothing causes capital to flee offshore faster than an incoming war. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent warned that Iranian officials are rapidly moving capital out of Iran ahead of US intervention. “As Treasury who carries out the sanctions we can see is we are now seeing the rats fleeing the ship because we can see […]

Armstrong Economics -     Socialist NYC Mayor Zohan Mamdani appointed Cea Weaver to lead the city’s Office to Protect Tenants. Weaver believes that homeownership is inherently racist and must be reformed into “a world in which the housing is owned by a collective.” According to Weaver, the US can simply continually print money to support government spending. […]

January 14th, 2026 | Australia Bans Free Speech

Armstrong Economics - Australians could face up to 15 years imprisonment for comments deemed offensive by the government. The Combatting Antisemitism, Hate and Extremism Bill introduced this month establishes federal offenses for “publicly promoting or inciting hatred.” Speech, writing, or “other forms of public gestures” will be monitored and controlled. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the prop “I […]

Armstrong Economics - The proposed billionaire tax has caussed $1 trillion in potential tax revenue to flee California. The billionaire tax would require California residents worth over $1 billion to pay a one-time 5% fee on all assets, including unrealized gains. Google co-founder Larry Page fled the state and took his $276 billion net worth with him. Page […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Department of Justice has opened a CRIMINAL investigation against Chairman Powell of the Federal Reserve. I have totally disagreed with trump on interest rates and he assumes that the Fed can just lower rates counter-trend to the world economy. I understand he is acting on what was taught in school under Keynesian Economics. […]

Armstrong Economics -     In the past few days, Iran has experienced the biggest protests against the ruling Islamic Republic since it crushed the 2022. The rial has fallen by more than 90%—but that dramatically understates the disaster. The real decline is closer to 97-98% depending on your baseline. The regime is the weakest it has ever […]

Armstrong Economics -   President Trump signed a Presidential Memorandum directing the withdrawal of the United States from 66 international organizations, including 35 non-United Nations (UN) organizations and 31 UN entities, “that operate contrary to U.S. national interests, security, economic prosperity, or sovereignty.” America’s sovereignty was at risk under the past administration that partook in the Build Back […]

Armstrong Economics -   China became Venezuela’s largest oil purchaser through oil-for-debt deals. Socialism failed, and the nation was desperate for funds, especially after being ostracized from Western trade. Beijing supplied Venezuela with credit in exchange for heavily discounted crude. China’s access to cheap oil from Venezuela came to a sudden halt after the US takeover. China was […]

Armstrong Economics -   Arabella Advisors, the world’s most influential fund for left-wing politics, has rebranded but not dissipated. Arabella Advisors infamously created the Sixteen Thirty Fund, a dark money nonprofit that funneled hundreds of millions to persuade voters to support “progressive” causes, with the backing of George Soros, Bill Gates, Pierre Omidyar, and Swiss billionaire Hansjörg Wyss. […]

January 6th, 2026 | Entering Geopolitical Chaos

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: You said this invasion of Venezuela set s precedent. Would you please elaborate. Mikki ANSWER: Russia could then kidnap Zelensky and point to Venezuela. China is already demanding Manduro be returned to Venezuela immediately. The computer is showing that this is by no means over. The computer has been showing this would begin the […]

Armstrong Economics -   QUESTION: Marty, you have been silent on the rumors that the Fed is bailing out JP Morgan who they claim was short silver. If there is anyone who has been behind the curtain and confronted the banks, that is you. Would you please comment on this topic. EL ANSWER: JP Morgan is on our […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: You said these podcasts that Venezuela had the oil but the big question is China. Would like to expand on that now? Socrates showed the dollar taking off in October 2024 and the fourth quarter was a turning point. But it now shows volatility rising from February on. It looks like this is not […]

January 3rd, 2026 | Hollywood in 2026?

Armstrong Economics -   Those who attended the 2025 World Economic Conference know that I have agreed to participate in a Hollywood film on my life. Everything is still in the works. I will provide more information once it becomes available, but I expect big news in the year ahead. Fortune and fame have never allured me or […]

Armstrong Economics -   California state experiences a payroll contraction during the first eight months of 2025, marking the largest job decline since COVID. The state’s 5% unemployment rate is above the national average and has remained so for the past 19 consecutive months. Over 173,000 jobs disappeared from California from January to November 2025, a 14% annual […]

January 1st, 2026 | Happy New Year!

Armstrong Economics - Buckle in—2026 marks a key phase in the Economic Confidence Model, when markets, governments, and institutions will be tested. By following the model rather than the headlines, we can navigate what’s coming together.

Armstrong Economics - People are losing confidence in institutions precisely because these actions show how quickly access to one’s own assets can be restricted without due process. This story resonated because it stripped away the rhetoric and exposed reality. Governments everywhere are preparing for a future where financial access is conditional. Data will be weaponized as the sovereign […]

December 30th, 2025 | November 2025 US Real Estate

Armstrong Economics -   November home sales in the US paint a picture of stagnation and a frozen market. Home prices and mortgages have risen and demand has waned. This is a buyer’s market but conditions are not particularly favorable due to the cost of ownership. Sales rose 0.5% from November to October and were 1% lower on […]

Armstrong Economics -   In his 1936 book, ‘The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money,’ John Maynard Keynes argued that aggregate demand was too volatile to be stable and would lead to inflation or recession. His theory honed in on spending as a means of price control. Low aggregate demand, Keynes argues, would lead to high unemployment […]
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