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September 13, 2025 | Tech Talk for Saturday September 13th 2025

Donald Vialoux is author of the free blog Tech Talk, a daily investment report available during the past 20 years at www.timingthemarket.ca. Comments focus on the seasonal and technical outlook for equity indices, commodities and sectors. Mr. Vialoux has 53 years of experience in the investment industry and is a past president of the Canadian Society of Technical Analysts (CSTA).

The Bottom Line 

Focuses this week are on central bank announcements on Wednesday. The FOMC and Bank of Canada are expected to lower their lending rate to major banks by 0.25%. Stock and bond prices during the past two week in September have moved higher in anticipation of the change.

A word of caution! U.S. equity indices have a 50 year history of moving lower during the last two week in September. Weakness during this period ultimately provides a “buy on weakness” opportunity prior to release of third quarter corporate results. Technical analysis data shows that the S&P 500 Index currently is highly overbought and vulnerable to following its historic short term seasonal pattern. Corporate news releases during this period are low: Most corporations are in their “black out” period prior to release of quarterly results.

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September 13th, 2025

Posted In: Tech Talk

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