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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

Armstrong Economics - (Minnesota state flag)   COMMENT: Marty, After reading the stories you’ve shared about people not being able to almost anything of value onto planes without a real risk of confiscation, the Alpha News video where a TSA agent claims to have observed multiple suitcases of cash muled out of the country by Somali men makes […]

Armstrong Economics - The Canadian military had been contracting in recent years, but new recruitment incentives have changed the course. There is no better time to recruit fresh blood than when the economy turns down. An October 2025 Auditor General’s report found that the Canadian military was not attracting enough applicants to meet quotas. Prime Minister Mark Carney […]

Armstrong Economics - European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde steps in every time a government attempts to implement monetary policy. The centralized power now has the final say, sorry, but sovereignty is not an option for European Union members. Italy proposed declaring gold an asset of the people, but Lagarde has found a way to prevent that from […]

Armstrong Economics -   COMMENT: This is what Carney is doing to Canada. He is following Stammer, and civil rights are all gone. This man is found in breach of a judge’s order for refusing to write a court-ordered apology letter to library manager Shannon Slater for “hurting her feelings.” Anonymous   REPLY: Any government that is in […]

Armstrong Economics -   Import the third world, become the third world—no exceptions. Donald Trump has permanently halted migration from 19 third-world nations after a recent shooting of National Guard members. The left calls the ban racist, but logic deems it an economic necessity. The US Census tracked the foreign-born population at 53 million, but the actual number […]

Armstrong Economics - Vinay Prasad, director of the FDA’s Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research (CBER), sent out an internal email to the Food and Drug Administration featuring “a profound revelation”—the COVID-19 vaccine is responsible for the deaths of a minimum of 10 American children. “In many cases, such mandates were harmful,” Prasad wrote. “It is difficult to […]

Armstrong Economics - Russian President Vladimir Putin is not interested in another proxy war. The Association of Tour Operators of Russia confirmed that the government is sending flights to Venezuela to remove nationals immediately. Tourism from Russia to Venezuela has grown in recent years, with over 6,000 Russians visiting Margarita Island between August and November this year. Moscow […]

Armstrong Economics -   Governments believe the people should pay for their shortfalls. Switzerland proposed a 50% inheritance tax on fortunes above $62 million USD (50 million Swiss francs). Voters overwhelmingly said NO with 78% voting against the cash grab. Leftist Social Democrats or JUSOs stated that the government needs to collect additional revenue to pay for climate […]

Armstrong Economics -   People love to blame the Federal Reserve for everything under the sun because it is easier than admitting the real problem: government. The tragic part of this entire monetary experiment is that the Fed, as originally designed in 1913, was brilliant. Each regional branch operated independently, responding to local capital flows instead of political […]

November 30th, 2025 | Tariffs – Legal or Not to Be

Armstrong Economics -   The President cannot unilaterally impose tariffs on antique objects (over 100 years old) if Congress has expressly exempted them. But there are narrow exceptions where a president might temporarily override tariff exemptions, depending on the statutory authority Congress has delegated (e.g., national security statutes like Section 232, emergency powers, sanctions, or trade remedies related […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Marty, I want to thank you for the WEC. It was the best one I have ever attended. I loved your comment on the perpetual dollar bears since the 1970s and how they have been consistently wrong. I find it curious when someone like __ ___ knows you are, then talks about the fourth turning, […]

Armstrong Economics - Retailers are predicting a slight decline in Black Friday/Cyber Monday sales, an early indication of holiday-season spending and Q4 sales. Total sales in the US alone are expected to exceed $1 trillion, with growth between 3.7% and 4.2%, a bit beneath last year’s 4.8% growth. However, individual shoppers are expected to spend 4% less. Dive […]

November 27th, 2025 | Happy Thanksgiving

Armstrong Economics -   No one blinked when Venezuela declared itself at war with the US. President Trump said he would not bother declaring a war against the drug cartels, opting to simply kill any potential smugglers. Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was labeled a terrorist by US intelligence agencies this week. The West showed no concern over the […]

Armstrong Economics -   Trump’s proposal for peace in Ukraine has been met with an overwhelming condemnation from the world’s neocons. Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson reemerges from the shadows whenever he hears word that a war may be winding down. He played an instrumental role in persuading Zelensky not to negotiate a peace treaty with Russia when it […]

November 23rd, 2025 | Trump’s 28-Point Peace Plan

Armstrong Economics -   Peace is on the table—my detailed outline for ending the Russia-Ukraine-NATO war has been read and received by Moscow and Washington. Peace only emerges when both sides have something to gain and nothing to lose by walking away from war. Washington is listening; the Trump Administration’s 28-point peace plan for Russia successfully changed the […]

Armstrong Economics - UC San Diego released a troubling study that found that 1 in 8 college applicants has middle school-level math proficiency. UCSD has been forced to introduce remedial math courses for college students that cover math gaps from elementary through high school. The common denominator has been COVID as scores have rapidly fallen thirtyfold since 2020. […]

Armstrong Economics -   El Salvador passed a law that requires newborns to submit their DNA to a government-wide database. President Nayib Bukele claims genetic verification is necessary to ensure the paternity of the child. “This is not a law against women, but against lies: there will be no more fathers raising children who are not their own,” […]

Armstrong Economics -   Governments use national security as the premise for increased surveillance. Due to a law passed in April, Canadians visiting the US must submit biometric data in order to enter the US if they wish to stay longer than 29 days. Beginning next month, everyone will be forced to submit their data to the government. […]

Armstrong Economics - One in ten Americans receives food stamp benefits through SNAP. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins believes there needs to be an overhaul of the program to ensure only those in desperate need receive these benefits. The first step will be requiring recipients to reapply for benefits to ensure that those “taking a taxpayer-funded benefit through SNAP […]

Armstrong Economics - Tehran is at risk of becoming uninhabitable due to a severe drought that has led to a severe water shortage. The drought has been the catalyst to expose decades of government mismanagement that caused Iran’s water supply to run dry. Now, the government is prepared to issue a city-wide evacuation notice in Tehran if the […]

Armstrong Economics - What if the economy wasn’t chaotic at all-but followed a hidden code? The Armstrong Economic Code reveals the powerful cyclical patterns discovered by legendary forecaster Martin A. Armstrong, whose Economic Confidence Model (ECM) has predicted every major boom, bust, and geopolitical shift for more than four decades. Compiled and expanded by Kerry Lutz, host of the […]

November 15th, 2025 | AI & The Great Displacement?

Armstrong Economics -   QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, there are a lot of people who seem to take your track record and pretend that they have made calls on all sorts of things but lack the data or the computer to back up their claims. They then run some infomercial and go on an on before they tell you what […]

Armstrong Economics -     The Epstein files remake headlines whenever the government would like to distract the masses. The Democrats recently released new data from the Epstein case in which they prove that the Russian collusion claim was not only a hoax, but coordinated by Clinton officials who reached out to Jeffrey Epstein for blackmail assistance. “Do […]
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