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Martin Armstrong

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Martin Arthur Armstrong is current chairman and founder of Armstrong Economics. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

Armstrong Economics -   The world seems to have learned absolutely nothing from COVID. Governments destroyed supply chains through lockdowns, shortages spread from semiconductors to automobiles, freight rates exploded, inflation followed, and politicians then acted surprised when consumers could no longer afford the same standard of living. We are now watching another supply-chain shock develop, except this time […]

Armstrong Economics -     I find these newly released messages because they expose once again how differently these people spoke privately compared with the absolute certainty projected upon the public. Senators Ron Johnson and Rand Paul have now released an initial batch of messages recovered from Anthony Fauci’s government-issued iPhone, reportedly containing more than 34,000 texts. In […]

Armstrong Economics - Iran International reports that the average advertised monthly rent in Tehran has climbed to 723 million rials, or about $389 at the open-market exchange rate. Many Iranian workers earn only 200 million to 250 million rials per month, equivalent to $108 to $134. A worker must now surrender nearly three months of wages to pay one […]

Armstrong Economics -     A United Nations proposal would replace the current system of taxing each multinational subsidiary separately with a global unitary tax system. A corporation’s worldwide profits would first be combined into one total and then divided among countries according to a formula measuring where it employs workers and where its customers purchase goods and […]

August 5th, 2026 | Neocon & Their Lies

Armstrong Economics -     QUESTION: Do you mind if I ask something personal? It’s clear the neoconservatives aren’t fond of you, and I imagine the feeling is mutual. Since I know you’ve met quite a few of them face-to-face, was there a particular moment or encounter that personally struck a nerve with you? EJ ANSWER: That is […]

Armstrong Economics - Biden’s autopen granted Anthony Fauci a “full and unconditional pardon” for any federal offenses he may have committed or participated in from January 1, 2014, through January 19, 2025, provided they arose from his service as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, a member of the White House Coronavirus Task Force […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Marty, I wanted to tell you that your Tampa conference was amazing. You really blew the doors off conventional economics. I was especially fascinated by your explanation that making too much money at a young age caused you to lose your fear of money, which ultimately allowed you to manage trillion-dollar portfolios while others […]

Armstrong Economics -   If the goal is truly to Make America Healthy Again, then the latest decision from the Environmental Protection Agency raises serious questions. According to the article you sent, the EPA has approved two new fluorinated pesticides, diflufenican and epyrifenacil, for use on some of America’s most important crops, including corn, soybeans, and wheat. Neither […]

August 1st, 2026 | The Debt to GDP Ratio

Armstrong Economics -   There are very few economic statistics that actually matter. Most of what governments publish every month is little more than political theater. They constantly revise GDP, unemployment, inflation, and virtually every other number after the headlines have faded. One measure, however, deserves attention because it tells you whether government is expanding faster than the […]

July 31st, 2026 | Mukoyōshi

Armstrong Economics -   People in the West often assume that wealth is inherited simply by bloodline. That is one of the reasons so many family businesses collapse by the third generation. Japan looked at the problem centuries ago and came up with an entirely different solution. If there was no capable son to inherit the business, they […]

Armstrong Economics - For more than a decade, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been pursuing one of the most ambitious industrial programs attempted by any modern democracy. The “Make in India” initiative was never simply about creating jobs. It was a strategic effort to transform India from a nation known primarily for services into a manufacturing powerhouse capable of challenging […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, thank you very much for that global overview of the energy market on your private blog. You’ve connected the dots in a way no one else seems to, just as you mentioned at your Tampa conference. I also appreciated your distinction between Eastern and Western Canada, could you elaborate on that a bit […]

Armstrong Economics -   Japan recorded a 1.01 trillion yen ($6.2 billion) trade deficit during the first half of 2026, according to preliminary government data. This does not mean that Japan will collapse tomorrow, but it is another crack in the foundation of a debt structure that can no longer withstand rising interest rates, a collapsing currency, and […]

Armstrong Economics -     WARNING: The majority of cameras have been updated to include live signal trace technology. Flock instantly integrates your unique Bluetooth identifiers with your personal data profile in a centralized database. What does this mean? Government and private organizations with access to the centralized database no longer need physical surveillance cameras to track you […]

Armstrong Economics - There was a time when America’s industrial titans built railroads, steel mills, and oil companies. Today, influence is measured in data, artificial intelligence, cloud computing, media, and information. Few families illustrate that transformation better than the Ellisons. Larry Ellison built Oracle from a small software company into one of the world’s largest technology firms. His […]

Armstrong Economics -   Every recovery eventually reaches a point where the official statistics no longer resemble reality. Politicians point to stock market records, economists celebrate another quarter of GDP growth, and central bankers congratulate themselves because inflation has moderated. Then you look at Main Street, where the people actually creating jobs are quietly closing their doors. Small […]

Armstrong Economics -   Washington keeps insisting the economy is healthy because unemployment has not collapsed and inflation has moderated. Then you look at housing, and the entire narrative falls apart. A nation cannot call itself prosperous when ordinary working families can no longer afford the most basic measure of financial stability—a home. The National Association of Home […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Martin, How does the richest man in the world not understand basic economics? Blog post? BT ANSWER: For the life of me, I believe this sort of thinking all stems from Karl Marx and this distorted idea that the object is to be taken care of by government and just lay around and watch TV […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: Are you just supporting Trump with his conspiracy theory about the 2020 election? Joshua ANSWER: The fact that the press keeps blasting Trump claiming the 2020 was not rigged and in Pennsylvania they claim Trump lost every legal challenge so that somehow proves he was wrong is just absurd. Courts are also political. Why […]

Armstrong Economics - The White House has now released a series of declassified election-integrity documents that the administration says expose what it describes as the largest compromise of American voter data in history. The release followed President Trump’s heated nationally televised address Thursday night, where he argued that China systematically acquired sensitive voter information during the 2020 election […]

Armstrong Economics - I have received numerous emails asking if Chuck Schumer and the Democrats are attempting to frustrate Trump to prevent him from exiting the Iran War to influence the Midterms by refusing to sign the defense bill for the first time in history. The Democrats under Schummer are clearly trying to prolong the Iran war to […]

July 16th, 2026 | Rigging Elections

Armstrong Economics -   QUESTION: You previously stated that the 2020 election was rigged by the Neocons, and that they attempted the same in 2024 but failed due to a Panic Cycle and Directional Change. I’m now noticing what appears to be another Panic Cycle forming around the 2026 election. Looking further ahead, you’ve mentioned that 2028 could […]

Armstrong Economics - Britain is becoming one of the most aggressive governments in the Western world when it comes to policing opinions, regulating speech, and deciding what information its citizens should consume. Every year the excuse changes. It was terrorism. Then it became misinformation. Then hate speech. Now they have set their sights on YouTube itself because they […]

Armstrong Economics - For years, I have warned that analysts have been looking in the wrong direction. Everyone obsesses over Russia, China, Iran, or even North Korea, while ignoring one nation that has quietly been positioning itself to become the dominant regional power. That nation is Turkey. You cannot understand today’s geopolitical landscape unless you understand that the […]

Armstrong Economics - Existing home sales in the US unexpectedly fell 2.4% in June to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.09 million units, missing expectations for a summer increase. At the very same time, the median existing home price reached another all-time record of $440,600, marking the 36th consecutive month of year-over-year price gains. Sales are falling […]
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