Armstrong Economics - People keep asking when World War III will begin. They are asking the wrong question. Europe is already behaving as though it is at war. I have warned for years that the politicians in Brussels would never allow peace because the sovereign debt crisis requires an external enemy. Every week, another European government announces more […]

Armstrong Economics -   Military strategists are still fighting the last war while the battlefield has already changed. Every major conflict throughout history has been defined by a technological revolution. Gunpowder ended the age of castles. Tanks transformed World War II. Precision missiles reshaped modern warfare. Now we have entered the age of the drone. The military that […]

Armstrong Economics -   Everyone is talking about artificial intelligence as though it is simply the next technology boom. They are missing the bigger picture. The country that controls the chips, the data centers, the electricity, and the manufacturing capacity will hold the strategic advantage for decades. This is no different than steel before World War I or […]

Armstrong Economics -   I have been saying for years that Germany was committing economic suicide. People thought Germany’s manufacturing base was untouchable. They believed German engineering alone would overcome every political mistake. That was always nonsense. No company, no matter how great, can survive if politicians deliberately make it impossible to produce competitively. Now even Volkswagen is […]

Armstrong Economics - Understanding the World Economy An Introduction to Cycles of Confidence Most people are taught to view the economy through headlines, political debates, and short-term events. Yet beneath the daily noise are long-term cycles that influence markets, governments, business activity, and even society itself. Join Martin Armstrong for a special educational event designed to introduce attendees […]

Armstrong Economics - Gold has now fallen below $4,000 an ounce for the first time since November 2025, and suddenly everyone is proclaiming the bull market is dead. On June 24, spot gold fell to an intraday low of approximately $3,973.79, breaking below the $4,000 level for the first time in seven months. On June 25, gold remained […]

Armstrong Economics -   India’s imports of Russian crude oil have surged to a record high, with Moscow now supplying more than half of the country’s crude oil requirements. According to recent reports, Russian oil accounted for over 50% of India’s imports in June after a temporary US sanctions waiver expired. This development is far more significant than […]

Armstrong Economics -   A new report from Realtor.com found that nearly one-third of employed young adults in the United States are now living with their parents. These are people with jobs. They are working, earning income, and still cannot afford to establish independent households. The politicians and economists who constantly celebrate employment statistics fail to understand that […]

Armstrong Economics -   Keir Starmer’s resignation comes as absolutely no surprise. The shocking part is not that he quit, but that it took this long. The British people delivered one of the largest electoral victories in modern history to Labour in 2024, only to discover that changing the party did nothing to change the direction of government. […]

Armstrong Economics - For years, governments assured the public that license plate readers were simply tools to catch stolen vehicles, fugitives, and dangerous criminals. That was always the sales pitch. Now the mask is coming off. According to reports, a new surveillance platform called SignalTrace is being marketed to law enforcement and government agencies that goes far beyond […]

Armstrong Economics - Ukraine’s government is celebrating a new feature inside the Army+ app that allows soldiers who went AWOL to return to military service and even select a new unit. Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov announced that nearly 200 requests had already been submitted through the system, with dozens approved in just a matter of days. The government […]

Armstrong Economics - Only 29% of Democrats say they are extremely or very proud to be American, compared with 90% of Republicans, based on a recent NBC poll. Among Americans aged 18-34, just 36% express strong pride in their country, compared with 75% among those over 65. Those numbers should concern anyone who understands history because they point […]

Armstrong Economics - QUESTION: I read Trump’s comment to Netanyahu in Axios. You have been the voice of reason. I argued with someone who said you were anti-sematic for criticizing Netanyahu.  They criticized Obama so I asked then you must be a racist. It went right over their head. I know you said before that you had two […]

Armstrong Economics -   The financial press is celebrating reports that traders are betting shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz could begin returning to normal by August. Oil prices have fallen sharply on hopes of a U.S.-Iran agreement, and prediction markets are assigning better-than-even odds that vessel traffic will recover during the second half of this year. […]

Armstrong Economics -   The primary driver of the rupee’s recent movement has been the conflict between the US-Israel alliance and Iran. India has stated that the conflict has had a “debilitating impact on the global economy and energy supplies.”  As a major importer of oil, India is vulnerable to price shocks and supply chain disruptions. The rupee […]

Armstrong Economics - The Producer Price Index for May came in far hotter than expected, rising 1.1% for the month and 6.5% year-over-year, the largest annual increase since late 2022. What is important here is that nearly 80% of that increase came from goods, and energy was the driving force behind the move. Gasoline prices at the wholesale […]

Armstrong Economics -   The Taiwan issue is not simply about reunification. That has always been far too simplistic. If Taiwan were merely a political dispute, China would not be spending trillions of yuan to build one of the largest navies on Earth. It would not be launching aircraft carriers into the Pacific. It would not be conducting […]

Armstrong Economics -   The European Union has announced what may prove to be one of the most significant developments in the battle over financial freedom. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen declared that the EU would introduce, for the first time, a “full third-country ban” on certain crypto-asset services as part of a new sanctions package […]

Armstrong Economics -   Governments never abandon an idea once they discover it increases control. They simply wait until the public is distracted and repackage it under a different name. The lockdowns may be over, but the mentality that produced them never disappeared. It merely evolved. The United Kingdom is now moving toward a digital identity system tied […]

Armstrong Economics -   The May jobs report came in far stronger than expected. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 172,000 while other economists were looking for roughly 80,000 to 85,000 jobs. The unemployment rate remained at 4.3%, and March and April payrolls were revised higher by a combined 93,000 jobs. Leisure and hospitality added 70,000 jobs, local government gained […]

Armstrong Economics - Africa may be the world’s test site for vaccinations, but the United States has become the test site for synthetic foods. I mentioned in an earlier article that posts have been circulating online of consumers questioning the food supply. Wild animals won’t eat the stuff, even bugs refuse to touch it. The food rarely molds […]

Armstrong Economics - Zelensky is now warning that Russian intelligence preparations point toward a “massive new strike” against Ukraine. He urged Ukrainians to pay attention to air raid warnings and said Ukrainian intelligence services have information indicating that Russia is preparing another large-scale attack. At the same time, Moscow has warned diplomats and foreigners to leave Kyiv while […]

Armstrong Economics -   I have repeatedly warned that people need to watch Turkey. Most analysts view Turkey as simply another emerging market struggling with inflation, currency volatility, and political uncertainty. They are missing the larger picture. Turkey sits at the crossroads of Europe, Russia, the Middle East, and Asia. When capital shifts, when energy flows change, when […]

Armstrong Economics -       The European Union has now reached the point where it openly tells nations how many migrants they should accept and what they must pay if they refuse. They no longer even pretend that member states are sovereign countries. Ireland, a nation that fought for centuries to determine its own destiny, is now […]

Armstrong Economics - Jerome Powell is now warning that the Federal Reserve is undergoing a “stress test” and that political interference threatens public confidence in the institution. He stated that “the public would lose faith” if administrations could remove Fed officials over policy disagreements and argued that democratic institutions can be “torn down all too quickly.” What is […]