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ALWAYS CONSULT YOUR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION

August 9, 2022 | Is This Time Different?

Robert Campbell

Robert Campbell is a real estate analyst and economist. He's been publishing The Campbell Real Estate Timing Letter since 2002. His book (Timing the Real Estate Market) presents a clearly defined method for predicting the peaks and valleys of real estate cycles.

 

   For the fourth time since 1988, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yield has moved below 0.0%.

 

 As shown by the shaded areas on the chart, each of these time periods preceded U.S. recessions.

 

              1989:  Yield Inversion.  Recession

 

              2000:  Yield Inversion.  Recession

 

              2006:  Yield Inversion.  Recession

 

Every time.

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