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May 9, 2021 | A Primer on the History of Political Violence and Reform

Bob Hoye has been in investment business for some 50 years, making him one of the more experienced researchers. His historical work has been thorough providing the first recognition of the fascinating transition from speculation in commodities to speculation in financial assets. It was controversial when Bob observed that “No matter how much the Fed prints, stocks will outperform commodities”. In January 2000, the research team concluded that the Dot-Com Bubble would peak in March 2000. In early 2007, the team outlined that the credit markets would reverse in May-June 2007. They did and the stock market followed. The latest was the call in early October for the Bitcoin Bubble to complete in December. Bob’s essays and speeches on political change and on actual climate change have been widely circulated.

Those new to history as well as those familiar with history may find it startling to read that some major political events have been methodical. Methodical enough to be predictable. The following essay is based upon research the writer pursued in the late 1970s. It focused upon unrelenting experiments in authoritarian government since the one that did in Rome. Which bureaucracy had become destructive and then in failing, allowed ordinary folk to accomplish a lengthy reformation. Away from a murderous and costly police state towards tolerable and affordable government.

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May 9th, 2021

Posted In: Charts and Markets - Bob Hoye

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