- the source for market opinions


July 28, 2020 | ABC News: Sydney Rents Drop and Thousands of Homes Lie Empty Amid Pandemic

As in the most populated areas of Canada, uneconomically high property prices and rents in Australia were only made possible by unsustainable domestic debt levels.  COVID-19 is proving a mean-reversion catalyst. Sydney’s rental market has changed rapidly since the start of the pandemic. Thousands of homes across the city are sitting empty and rents have […]

July 28, 2020 | When Fear Wins

If you’re a wuss, these are tough days. Not only do you need to fret about being infected while shopping for prunes at Loblaws, but the whole financial world seems, well, nuts. The stock market might have jumped 48% since the end of March, rewarding risk, but savers and equity scaredycats have been seriously whacked […]

July 28, 2020 | Technical Patterns, Future Expectations and More – Part I

We get a lot of questions from individuals every week. Our research posts contain a lot of varied examples of Technical Analysis, Economic Data Points, Advanced Price Theory, and other more obscure analysis techniques.  Yet, sometimes our readers want to know more – how do we read the tea leaves to try to adopt a […]

July 28, 2020 | CMHC Ponzi Scheme Wipes Out a Generation

CMHC holds over 250,000 Equity Negative Mortgages

July 28, 2020 | Canadians Leaving Big Cities, Mortgage Deferrals and Defaults

Gold, Hydrogen Power, Alternative Energy

July 28, 2020 | Gold, Silver, and Recession

US Cities being abandoned for small towns

July 28, 2020 | Aben Resources Begins 2020 Geologic Reconnaissance Program at Forrest Kerr Gold Project

Drilling to follow. Read the Latest News. View Corporate Presentation. Questions?  Email Jim or Call 604.687.3376

July 27, 2020 | NASDAQ Double Top & Price Channels Suggest Pending Price Correction

Our research team continues to attempt to navigate the difficult market dynamics ahead as traders’ concerns related to continued global economic functions persist.  We believe the US stock market has rallied well beyond sustainable levels and the recent move in the US Dollar and Precious Metals has issued a clear warning that global traders are […]

July 27, 2020 | Is the Dollar Overvalued or Undervalued?

The latest claim running around is that the dollar is overvalued relevant to its trading partners, and it will decline as the economy recovers due to imports. You really have to wonder if these analysts are just working from home and have lost all sense of the world because they are locked down. In that […]

July 27, 2020 | All That Glitters

There was a time I believed in gold. I saw it as a noble defender against inflation which steals the worth of paper money. Anonymous currency you can covet, hide in the back garden and use when the zombie apocalypse arrives. Portable insurance against war, pestilence, insurgence, revolution, chaos, social disintegration, asset confiscation, mayhem or […]

July 26, 2020 | Silver Time

The big silver story continues to be the surge in deposits of physical metal into the world’s silver ETFs. This past week, the amount added to the silver ETFs blew the doors off, as more than 28 million ounces were added. This is the annualized equivalent of nearly 1.5 billion ounces or nearly twice as […]

July 26, 2020 | Oregon Separatist Movement to be On the Ballot

The riots in Portland have only inspired a new separation movement. The suburbs in Oregon are moving to separate and join Idaho after nearly two months of daily protests and rioting in Portland. Personally, my advice to Trump was straight forward. He should not send in troops to any city. Let the left throw out […]

July 26, 2020 | Gold

A great run in gold to the July 24th target and $1888+ 2.618% Fibonacci measurement. COT tracking positively since June 12th buy signal.

July 26, 2020 | Gold Hits New Record High and There’s More to Come

Gold futures just touched $1928 taking out the Intraday high of $1923.70 in 2011. 11-Week Run Gold is on a huge 11-week run. The last time gold did that was at the 2011 high. Is a pullback in order? A Gold COT chart says otherwise. Gold COT Chart Understanding Futures In the futures world there is […]

July 26, 2020 | The Coming Civil War

If Trump wins in November, it is foreseeable that his many enemies will ratchet up their hatred for him to even more destructive extremes. A bloody civil war would become likely, escalating an already violent cultural battle to a new threshold. How this might impact our schools, workplaces and neighborhoods is unpredictable even if the […]

July 26, 2020 | Valuation Inflation

In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine.” —Benjamin Graham You may have noticed a bit of manic activity in the stock market. You may have also noticed inflation (as measured by various government agencies) is quite low, despite a supply interruption in […]

July 26, 2020 | The Bad Idea

So a quarter million people received double CERB payments, amounting to $442 million. They applied twice, once through the CRA and again through Service Canada. We also know over $11 billion in virus payments of $2,000 a month are going to children living at home who worked part-time in the last year. Ottawa will send […]

July 25, 2020 | Hydrogen as a Clean Energy Source

Hydrogen as a fuel has been promoted for decades. Until now hydrogen fuel cells never gained momentum, in a world dominated by coal and oil and, in the future, battery-electric vehicles, solar and wind. But hydrogen has generated new attention recently as European governments announced new subsidies. Could hydrogen play a bigger role in the […]

July 25, 2020 | This Week in Money

July 25, 2020 | Trading Desk Notes July 25, 2020

We look for trading opportunities in exchange listed futures and options. Our time frame is a few days to a few weeks. We believe that net trading profits over time come more from risk management than from trade selection…but a good trade selection process is important. To that end we develop “fundamental” market views and then […]

July 25, 2020 | A Record 44.25 Million Oz. of Silver Added to All ETFs and Mutual Funds During This Past Week

25 July 2020 — Saturday YESTERDAY in GOLD, SILVER, PLATINUM and PALLADIUM The gold price traded quietly and unevenly sideways until around noon China Standard Time on their Friday.  It was sold down to its low tick of the day by shortly after 1:30 p.m. CST — and its subsequent rally was capped just minutes […]

July 24, 2020 | Goldman Sachs Agrees to Pay Billions to Drop Criminal Charges Against Them

Goldman Sacks agreed to pay Malaysia $3.9 billion in league with the Department of Justice (who always protects Goldman) in return for Malaysia dropping all CRIMINAL charges against Goldman Sachs concerning the 1MDB fraud. I have reported before that when that deal was coming down, no other firm was allowed to quote the project. The […]

July 24, 2020 | Is the Pandemic Part of a Bigger Cycle?

Earlier this year, I showed you how our war cycles are experiencing a major “convergence” for the first time in over fifty years. Here’s another cycle you’ve probably never heard of … The Pandemic Cycle Pandemics tend to break out when the climate turns cold and dry. We’ve seen this to be true with the seasonal flu, […]

July 24, 2020 | Shift from Condos to Houses and from Big Cities to Suburbs? New House Sales Rose 6.9% fr. June Last Year, to Highest Level since July 2007

Sales of new single-family houses (based on signed contracts) rose 6.9% in June, compared to June last year, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of sales of 776,000 houses, according to the Commerce Department this morning. It was a hair above January’s 774,000, having recovered all of the plunge during February, March, and April — […]

July 24, 2020 | Precious Metals Fire Warning Shot Across The Bow – Part II

This second part of our multi-part article researching the massive upside price move in Silver recently should cause skilled technical traders to begin sweating a bit.  In our opinion, nothing moves metals more than fear and a move like this in Silver, recently, is a very clear indication that global traders fear the current global […]

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