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June 30, 2020 | How the Dow Could Break 30,000

Rick Ackerman

Rick Ackerman is the editor of Rick’s Picks, an online service geared to traders of stocks, options, index futures and commodities. His detailed trading strategies have appeared since the early 1990s in Black Box Forecasts, a newsletter he founded that originally was geared to professional option traders. Barron’s once labeled him an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case. He received a $200,000 reward when a conviction resulted, and the story was retold on TV’s FBI: The Untold Story. His professional background includes 12 years as a market maker in the pits of the Pacific Coast Exchange, three as an investigator with renowned San Francisco private eye Hal Lipset, seven as a reporter and newspaper editor, three as a columnist for the Sunday San Francisco Examiner, and two decades as a contributor to publications ranging from Barron’s to The Antiquarian Bookman to Fleet Street Letter and Utne Reader.

I’ve been wondering what might provide the catalyst to push the Dow above 30,000, and this may be it, from Bloomberg:  “A strain of virus spreading in Chinese pigs has shown it can also infect humans, with researchers suggesting that another pathogen with pandemic potential waits in the wings behind Covid-19.” There’s no telling how much stimulus we’d see if a new virus takes wing before we’ve dealt with Covid-19. For starters, the Fed might bring interest rates down to, oh, minus 3 or 4 percent. Bank loan officers would be giving away toasters and Cuisinarts at that point just to have us take thick stacks of $100 bills off their hands.

The credit blowout could be coupled with a moratorium on taxes for 2020 and beyond, and the $600 unemployment bonus could be doubled or tripled. Checks would go out weekly, and not just for six months but indefinitely. Black Rock could step up its purchase of corporate bonds for The Government’s portfolio to include debt issued by strip malls, restaurants, movie theaters, bait & tackle shops, rugby clubs and accredited PTA organizations.

‘Wall Street for Pelosi!’

The stimulus we’ve tried so far has been pretty stingy, actually. We should follow Pelosi’s lead on this, because she is the Democrat most capable of attracting the support Congress will require to give the economy the shot in the arm it so desperately needs. She is the true Wall Street candidate for 2020, even if few realize it yet.

This would also be a terrific opportunity to provide an extra dose of ‘special’ stimulus that millions of homeowners will surely appreciate: new roofs for everyone! Insurers have grown increasingly stingy with hail-damage and hurricane claims at a time when the number of homeowners needing new roofs has soared. The U.S. Army could train roofers so that many of the 30 million who are unemployed will not have to sit on their asses all day, wondering if they should join the rioters, looters and statue-topplers.  If that doesn’t make America great again, what would?

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June 30th, 2020

Posted In: Rick's Picks

One Comment

  • Avatar Jim Jones says:

    Happy Independence day Uncle Sammy- your Negative interest rates are baked into the cake shaped like the US of A.
    “mericans need more stimulus money. And we need it faster!
    The world loves USA too. No need to think about losing the dollar as the worlds reserve currency, and becoming… Canada-ish.

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