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April 30, 2020 | Yellow Flag Out after Trend Failures in AAPL, S&Ps

Rick Ackerman

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Rick Ackerman is the editor of Rick’s Picks, an online service geared to traders of stocks, options, index futures and commodities. His detailed trading strategies have appeared since the early 1990s in Black Box Forecasts, a newsletter he founded that originally was geared to professional option traders. Barron’s once labeled him an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case. He received a $200,000 reward when a conviction resulted, and the story was retold on TV’s FBI: The Untold Story. His professional background includes 12 years as a market maker in the pits of the Pacific Coast Exchange, three as an investigator with renowned San Francisco private eye Hal Lipset, seven as a reporter and newspaper editor, three as a columnist for the Sunday San Francisco Examiner, and two decades as a contributor to publications ranging from Barron’s to The Antiquarian Bookman to Fleet Street Letter and Utne Reader.

The S&Ps and Apple shares fell slightly shy of their respective Hidden Pivot rally targets on Thursday, so I am unfurling the yellow flag.  Without offering any specific projections, Apple showed weak revenue growth and sees at least a couple of tough quarters ahead. Under the circumstances, I would advise particular caution if the broad averages rally on Friday without exceeding Thursday’s highs. With just a little good news on the pandemic front, that could be sufficient enticement for traders to take long positions over the weekend. Whatever the news, nothing will have changed the grim outlook for the economy for the foreseeable future. A new wrinkle is that overly generous unemployment checks are making it hard for businesses trying to reopen to hire help. A Portland operator/owner of 20 restaurants hires cooks for $15/hour, but the ones it laid off are collecting the equivalent of $25 an hour for not working.

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April 30th, 2020

Posted In: Rick's Picks

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