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February 11, 2020 | The Yellow Flag Is Out

Rick Ackerman

Rick Ackerman is the editor of Rick’s Picks, an online service geared to traders of stocks, options, index futures and commodities. His detailed trading strategies have appeared since the early 1990s in Black Box Forecasts, a newsletter he founded that originally was geared to professional option traders. Barron’s once labeled him an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case. He received a $200,000 reward when a conviction resulted, and the story was retold on TV’s FBI: The Untold Story. His professional background includes 12 years as a market maker in the pits of the Pacific Coast Exchange, three as an investigator with renowned San Francisco private eye Hal Lipset, seven as a reporter and newspaper editor, three as a columnist for the Sunday San Francisco Examiner, and two decades as a contributor to publications ranging from Barron’s to The Antiquarian Bookman to Fleet Street Letter and Utne Reader.

I’ve unfurled the yellow flag, since the E-Mini S&Ps topped Tuesday slightly above a 3369.25 rally target I’d been drum-rolling for more than a week. Monday’s price action was both peculiar and deceptive, since the day began with index futures extending an overnight rally with their usual brio. But about an hour into the session they turned south, presumably correcting to recharge for another rally. Your editor took the bait with a buy recommendation that turned into a loser when the bounce sputtered out just shy of a profit target. This is unusual, since nearly all of the tricks we’ve been using to get long have been working perhaps 80% of the time. Not this time, however, and the fact that it did not should temper our enthusiasm for bottom-fishing until we’ve seen a few more abcd patterns play out in both directions.

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February 11th, 2020

Posted In: Rick's Picks

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