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January 31, 2020 | Coronavirus Pandemic Sparks Fear in the World Economy

DENVER, COLORADO – Golden, Colorado is home to two important institutions: the Coors Brewery… and the Colorado School of Mines. One of our sons is here enjoying both of them; we came to see him yesterday. Golden in the morning Three of the passengers on the plane, one Chinese, two American, were wearing face masks. […]

January 31, 2020 | VIX Exhaustion Alerts

Our VIX model, first upside Exhaustion Alerts since January 2018, Presidential/Decennial cycle analysis and DeMark Sequential’s timed the break nicely. The are numerous downside targets. We’ll wait for appropriate oversold signals.  

January 31, 2020 | Who’s “Right” on the CGL Pipeline?

Thoughtful and intelligent views do exist on the natural gas project across British Columbia’s north. Many others are stunningly simplistic, and are often emotional, and/or romanticized. Others are outright racist. Social media channels continue to sizzle with people claiming to be “right” on the issue of Wet’suwet’en hereditary chiefs, the Wet’suwet’en council, and the Coastal […]

January 31, 2020 | Equities Hammered in Coronavirus Bull Trap Sea of Red

Stocks are hammered across the board today in a coronavirus-related sea of red. Yesterday’s rally into the close on Amazon earnings is now a huge confirmed bull trap.As I type, we are heading into the close. And it looks ugly.Equity Numbers S&P 500 Futures: -67 Down 2.04% Nasdaq Futures: -219 Down 2.37% Dow: -592 Down […]

January 31, 2020 | Coronavirus & the Numbers

    There have been a number of questions regarding (1) can we trust the numbers from China, and (2) why recoveries are not higher. First, the US has sent the CDC and the WHO is on top of it. There are cases outside of China and so far they display the same death rate […]

January 31, 2020 | U.S. Energy Self-Sufficiency is a Game Changer

The U.S. is close to self-sufficiency in energy, which is changing the balance of power in the world’s oil markets. The price of crude oil surged briefly in the first week of January after the assassination of an Iranian general by the U.S. military. But the oil price came down to earth quickly, reflecting the […]

January 31, 2020 | Cramer: ‘Fossil Fuels are Tobacco’

Jim Cramer’s comments on CNBC this morning are a mainstream acknowledgement of a secular shift which we have noted for some time now.  The investment ‘belief’ phase in fossil fuel companies has turned. As noted by IEEFA analysts last year, the sector valuation has fallen significantly from 29% in 1980 to just 5% of the […]

January 31, 2020 | Dr. Garth

First, patients, stop bleeding on the furniture. We have an important MSU. Pay attention. It’s from Bryn who’s just done something she feels is spectacular. We agree. So after following your advice for years, I seem to have somehow saved up enough capital to buy a business. Not a house, a thing that actually pays […]

January 31, 2020 | A Combination Topping Pattern Is Setting Up

Our research team has highlighted a number of technical and other factors that point to a very real potential of a major market top setting up across the global markets.  We’ve highlighted a number of research articles over the past 30 to 45 days that clearly illustrate our interpretation of the US and global markets. […]

January 30, 2020 | Bad Business: 89% of Canadian Corporate Boards Have No Women or One

A new StatsCan report looked at some 10,100 companies conducting business in Canada – publicly traded and private corporations, along with government business enterprises such as Canada Post – and found overall that just 18.1% of director seats were held by women in 2017;  61.2% had zero women, 27.7% had one female director and just […]

January 30, 2020 | Coronavirus & the ECM

Many have asked that since this Coronavirus appears to have caught everyone’s attention with the turn in the ECM on January 18th, 2020, the questions have poured in asking if this was a major event given our model had been projecting a rise in disease would begin in 2020 coinciding with the new Solar Cycle […]

January 30, 2020 | Will They Ever Learn?

Amazon has taken flight in after-hours trading, up $230 at the moment, or about 9%, after earnings announced moments after the close beat analysts’ expectations.  You wonder who the geniuses are who do the expecting, since their estimates so often fall a few crucial pennies shy of whatever numbers are released. Perhaps these shills are […]

January 30, 2020 | The Miners’ Message for the PMs Rally

The Fed kept rates unchanged and while it was not immediately preceded by major price moves in the PMs, the no-change decision was followed by bullish price action in the following hours. This action extends into today’s pre-market trading. Most interestingly, however, the USD Index repeated its daily reversal confirming that lower values are to […]

January 30, 2020 | Orwell Was Right

George Orwell was a socialist. I remember being surprised to discover this, given how powerful his criticism of totalitarian socialist regimes was. And Orwell was no Das Kapital-thumping, armchair socialist; he volunteered to fight in the Spanish Civil War against Franco. When he spoke out against the evil the Soviet regime had become, he had the […]

January 30, 2020 | World Commerce to Slow Dramatically Soon!

I now envision a significant slowing in our world economy for 2020. The Baltic Dry Index is now at 525 and this indicates a recession coming in 2020. This index is a leading indicator of commerce for our world. The other significant factor is this recent pathogen called the Coronavirus. Fear is entering our marketplace […]

January 30, 2020 | The Contagion

Mr. Market is having second thoughts about the virus thing. Flights to China now cancelled. More US cases. Fifty million under quarantine. The threat’s not that thousands (or even hundreds of thousands) will perish, but the world’s second-biggest economy will take a kick. GDP could tumble from 6% to 4.5% this quarter. That’s a big […]

January 30, 2020 | Is the US in an “Invisible” Recession?

Debt loads around the world unsustainable

January 29, 2020 | Ukraine & the Obama/Biden Grip on Corruption that Was a Silent Counter-Revolution

QUESTION: Hi Mr Armstrong, I so much appreciate your lifetime of work and dedication to the Truth. I really appreciate so much your history lessons and deep connected objective lessons into the cumulative interconnecting web of this world we live in. I ask a large favor . Could you explain some Ukrainian History and in […]

January 29, 2020 | Fed Holds Rates Steady, Says Almost Nothing

The Fed held its baseline rate at 150 to 175 basis points. It also made two tiny changes in its statement. Statement Tracker The above from the Wall Street Journal Statement Tracker. Two Changes Spending is now moderate, not strong Inflation is “returning to” rather then “nearing” the objective. Mike “Mish” Shedlock

January 29, 2020 | Reckless Financial Policies Have Been Bad Timing for Boomers

The last thirty years of increasingly more reckless financial policies, behaviours and capital allocations have come at a bad time for baby boomers. Low savings rates, boom-bust asset cycles, expensive housing, less guaranteed pensions, low yields and rising insurance costs, along with cash-strapped kids–all have made finances tighter than hoped, for most. Now aged 55 […]

January 29, 2020 | AAPL May Be Nuts, but TSLA Is…Freakish

A stock-market rally fizzled for a rare change, possibly because AAPL’s after-hours leap Tuesday on strong earnings wasn’t quite strong enough to knock the crowd’s socks off. It was impressive, to be sure — a 19-point jump amounting to about 6%. But this evidently wasn’t quite powerful enough to be regarded as freakish. Tesla demonstrated […]

January 29, 2020 | The Dodgy Idea

o remember that crazy idea outgoing central bank boss Poloz was selling in a recent interview? In order to make houses more affordable, he asked, why not let private investors easily buy a hunk of other people’s equity? Families could live in homes they had less-than-100% ownership of (and lower costs) then hand over a […]

January 29, 2020 | Are We Setting Up For A Waterfall Selloff?

Most traders understand what a “Waterfall event” is if you’ve been trading for more than 3 years.  Nearly every downside price reversion event initiates in a breakdown event (the first tier of the waterfall event) which is followed by additional deeper waterfall price collapses.  Almost like price breaks lower, finds support, settles near support, then […]

January 29, 2020 | Gold, The Fed, Inflation vs. Deflation

Canadian Resource Sector and USMCA

January 29, 2020 | Gold, Oil, Copper, Canadian Dollar

US Fed long term policy

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