There is a clear rising risk factor emerging from both politics and geopolitics as we move into the January turning point on the Economic Confidence Model. As the economy turns down and as we head into the 2020 presidential elections in the United States, we are facing rising risk factors on many fronts. The Democrats bashed Russia over the 2016 elections, blaming them for releasing Democratic emails that revealed the extent of their corruption. This has increased the tensions with Russia, rekindled the Cold War, and placed us at a far greater risk of war than at any time post-Vietnam.

There is pressure from the neo-cons to go to war with Iran. Iran has boasted that Saudi Arabia is willing fight to the death of every last American soldier.