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September 30, 2019 | A Permabear’s Dilemma as a Market Top Draws Near

[In observance of Rosh Hashanah, the Jewish New Year, updates will resume Tuesday after sundown. RA] Readers rightfully took me to task last week for putting out two headlines that appeared to at least mildly contradict one other and which taken together could only have left one wanting more clarity. The first said Don’t Load Up on Puts […]

September 30, 2019 | Split Between Official & Real Interest Rates

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; When I first brought this topic up at our board meeting about the split in interest rates between private and public, there was skepticism because such a proposition had never taken place in the short-term memory of our perception of history. I explained your theory and the rest of the members listened only […]

September 30, 2019 | Predictive Modeling Suggests Broad Market Rotation in the NQ & ES.

We wanted to share some information that suggests the NQ (NASDAQ) and ES (S&P 500) may engage in some relatively broad market rotation over the next few weeks. Also, to share that the YM (Dow Industrials) may stay relatively flat throughout this span of time.  Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is showing […]

September 30, 2019 | Gold Correction: Putting My Money Where My Keyboard Is

People say, “Be careful what you wish for—you may get it.” I can’t say I wished for gold and silver to drop hard this week for no good reason, but that’s what just happened. I did, however, say that if we got such a correction, I’d see it as a buying opportunity. So I just […]

September 30, 2019 | Nixon Shock, the Reserve Currency Curse, and a Pending Dollar Crisis

Many problems today including deficits spending, trade deficits, income inequality have their roots in a 1971. Nixon Shock A reader asks “What Forced Nixon to Close the Gold Window in 1971?” The answer is called “Nixon Shock“. Nixon wanted to fight the war in Vietnam, not raise taxes, and not hike interest rates to finance […]

September 30, 2019 | Silver Pierced Its September Lows Despite the USD Staying Put

In the previous weeks we’ve been featuring multiple factors that are likely to usher in a sizable gold, silver and mining stocks’ moves. Has the very recent downswing been the opening act? The USD Index closed flat on Friday, yet the metals declined across the board. The gold to silver ratio presents us with a […]

September 30, 2019 | HELOC’s, Government Intervention

Mortgage Lending, Construction Insolvencies

September 30, 2019 | Promising Moves for Hemp and Marijuana

Microchip producers taking it on the chin

September 29, 2019 | Cannabis Stocks Today: Like Buying Amazon in 1999 for $14 …

On Wednesday, the House of Representatives passed the Secure and Fair Enforcement (SAFE) Banking Act. If this bill becomes law, it will make it legal for banks to work with cannabis companies, even though marijuana remains illegal on a federal level. To try to secure the SAFE Banking Act’s passage, the House included two sweeteners […]

September 29, 2019 | Abusing Children to Sell and Agenda

QUESTION #1: Hi Martin! What are your thought´s about Greta Thunberg, the klimat prophet from Sweden, now out on a US tour preaching about our near mass extermination? //Robert QUESTION #2: Hi Martin. I watched the news in stunned silence last night as a16 year old ragged at me, accused me and others of my […]

September 29, 2019 | House Flipper Lending Hits 13-Year High: What Can Possibly Go Wrong?

Home flipping is up and so is flip financing. Flippers sing the praises of increased leverage. The flippers are back and the competition fierce as there are fewer and fewer foreclosed properties to bid on. Haven’t we been down this road before? As the competition heats up, Lending to House Flippers Hits a 13-Year High. It […]

September 29, 2019 | Old Dogs

Patrick is 48 and single, renting. His brother Les is 41, two kids, house and mortgage. Mom lives in a little condo, no financing, no savings. Dad has dementia. He’s in the hospital and not coming home. This family’s in crisis. P reads the blog, contacted me for help and let me know his folks […]

September 29, 2019 | Quantum Economics

I often say a writer is nothing without readers. I am blessed to have some of the world’s greatest. Your feedback never fails to inspire and enlighten me. Last week’s That Time Keynes Had a Point letter brought many more comments than usual. Apparently Keynes is still provocative 73 years after his death, no matter […]

September 28, 2019 | This Week in Money

September 28, 2019 | Fibonacci Predictive Modeling Suggests Price Volatility Will Continue

We believe price volatility may surprise many traders throughout the end of this year.  Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that price must rotate dramatically higher or lower to establish any new confirmed price trends.  The Fibonacci price modeling system can be particularly useful in determining where and when price may attempt a […]

September 28, 2019 | Stocks Sink as Trump Threatens to Delist Chinese Firms

Hoping to force China to forge a trade deal to his liking, Trump threatens to delist Chinese firms from US exchanges. Radical Escalation of Trade War In what would be a radical escalation of the trade war, Trump Considers Delisting Chinese Firms From U.S. Markets. President Donald Trump’s administration is considering the possibility of delisting Chinese […]

September 28, 2019 | The “State of the World” Address, Translated From the Globalese

Can you believe it’s late September once again? That magical time of year when an old globalists’ fancy turns to world domination and the world waits with baited breath for the United Nations Secretary-General to deliver his annual “State of the World” address to the UN General Assembly gathered in New York. . . .Oh, […]

September 28, 2019 | Trading Desk Notes September 28, 2019

Political turmoil is having an out-sized impact on markets these days and it’s hard to not get sucked into trading on the latest political news flash or tweet. It’s not that the tweets and news flashes can’t move markets…they obviously do…but I want to trade the market not the tweet. For instance, I’ve been thinking that […]

September 27, 2019 | The 2020 U.S. Election Generates Anxiety on Wall Street

The next US election will be held on Tuesday November 3, 2020.  It’s probably too early to speculate about who will win. But markets will soon start to anticipate the outcome so investors might want to think about rebalancing their investments, especially if a substantial change looks likely. Is there a dramatic shift underway in […]

September 27, 2019 | The Bribes

Do people lie to pollsters, just to mess with their heads? Maybe. But if the latest numbers hold, the T2 Libs are headed for a majority. This is astonishing to those who wondered how he could survive the Lavalin mess. Or the defection of Jody and Jane. The ethics charges. The godawful India trip.  Overspending, […]

September 27, 2019 | Gold, Sliding Silver and Declining Interest Rates

As the Fed turned dovish this year, not only did the short-term interest rates move down – the long- and very-long-term ones also declined. Why would this be the case? After all, the long-term rates are set by market forces, not through Fed’s direct decision… Did gold and silver act on that signal by declining […]

September 27, 2019 | So Much For Goldilocks

Stock prices are high and fairly stable, while interest rates are low and fairly stable. A casual observer might infer from this that the global financial markets are experiencing one of those fabled Goldilocks moments where everything is just right. But under the surface things are anything but just right. Among the high (or low)-lights: […]

September 27, 2019 | Bitcoin Price Collapse Continue For Many Months

The recent price collapse in Bitcoin may be the start of a much bigger price trend in the Cryptos.  The support level near $9000 has been breached and the current resistance arc, see the MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs on these charts, are clearly acting as a major contracting price resistance level.  Our research suggests […]

September 27, 2019 | Playing with the Facts to Fool the Majority

QUESTION: What do you say about the difference between corporate socialism and democratic socialism. Thank you. Its all the buzz among those supporting Senator Elizabeth Warren. LP ANSWER: This is a very clever way of excusing the core issue. The Democrats preach raising taxes and then sell loopholes to the big corporations. The bankers donated […]

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