- the source for market opinions


November 30, 2018 | Here’s a 20-to-1 Bet for Friday

We can debate whether the U.S. is winning the trade war with China, and even whether Trump understands how tariffs work (which apparently he does not). But if the President comes away from this weekend’s planned G20 dinner with President Xi Jinping smiling his orange smile and boasting of a deal, the Dow Industrials will […]

November 30, 2018 | US Bank Reserves 10% – EU Bank Reserves 1%

QUESTION: What mechanism prevents banks from creating fraudulent electronic deposits of currency? As an IT systems admin, I have the ability to add / subtract / adjust ERP systems inventory / costing outside the normal users ability. I could add widgets to the system at will, but fraud can’t be sustained very long, as the physical […]

November 30, 2018 | G-20 Summit: Expect Nothing, Don’t Be Surprised by Anything

Financial media have unleashed a torrent of words on what to expect from the G-20 Summit. From Russia and Ukraine on the brink of war to the Saudi prince no one wants to be seen with, there’s a lot to talk about. But it’s the meeting tomorrow night between Presidents Trump and Xi that most […]

November 30, 2018 | 170 Police Raid ‘Deutsche Bank’ this Week in Frankfurt, Germany!

170 police raid the offices of Deutsche Bank in Frankfurt, Germany! Deutsche Bank is typical of all the big Commercial Banks on this planet! The 170 police are investigating employees suspected of helping clients launder money and cover-up a trove of records on issues of the Panamanian papers saga. Police, on Thursday morning, lined up […]

November 30, 2018 | Silver Price Scandal

A few follow up comments about the still rather remarkable announcement by the Department of Justice concerning the guilty plea by the former JPMorgan trader for spoofing in precious metals. Contained in the announcement was the statement that the guilty plea was accepted and sealed on Oct 9, nearly a month before it was unsealed […]

November 30, 2018 | Trump Will Claim Victory

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – This is the big day. The music starts. The lights go on. And the curtain rises… And there, on stage, President T. is scheduled to meet with China’s leader and decide the fate of the world economy. Yesterday, Mr. Trump raised expectations of a deal with the Chinese. From Bloomberg: President Donald […]

November 30, 2018 | Class-Action Lawsuits for Climate Damage, Here to Stay

In 1965 then US President Lyndon Johnson’s Science Advisory Committee published a report titled “Restoring the Quality of Our Environment,” that warned carbon dioxide was being added to the earth’s atmosphere by the burning of coal, oil, and natural gas at such a rate that by the year 2000 the heat balance would be so modified […]

November 30, 2018 | War Profiteering in WWI

As the most decorated Marine in the history of the United States at the time of his death, Smedley Butler knew of what he spoke. Having seen the minting of those tens of thousands of “new millionaires and billionaires” out of the blood of his fellow soldiers, his famous rallying cry, War Is A Racket, has […]

November 30, 2018 | Mill Day

Hide the denture paste, prostate cushions, Depends, penile splints and fecund RRSP accounts, Boomers, because it’s Mill Day here at GreaterFool! You wrinklies have had six decades to figure stuff out, and most of those years were, well, groovy. Now the kids are having a tough one coping with stupid house prices, a lackluster economy, […]

November 30, 2018 | Dallas and West Coast Ground Zero for Next Housing Bust

The U.S. housing boom is not ending, it’s over. Dallas and the west coast are in the spotlight. Recent housing data has been downright miserable. New home sales fell through the floor and existing home sales had a string of six consecutive declines. That trend broke last month but it won’t last. The pending home […]

November 30, 2018 | Gold, Oil, Interest Rates and Market Bubbles

Does the US Fed follow or set trends?

November 30, 2018 | New International Focus on Recycling EV Batteries

Getting it Right! See AMY’s News Release Announcing the Private Placement. Read Bloomberg Article – “The Battery Boom Will Draw $620 Billion in Investment by 2040” Read Bloomberg Article – “Passionate’ Electric Car Owners to Drive Growth, Shell Says” Watch AMY’s Video – “Our Revolutionary Lithium-ion Battery Recycling Technology” See  AMY Business Plan. View  AMY Powerpoint. Questions?  Email Larry or Phone: 778.574.4444

November 29, 2018 | Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting – PART I

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market.  Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global economies and rushed into the US stock market […]

November 29, 2018 | Treacherous Times for Bond Funds Ahead

Bond ETFs and open-end bond mutual funds sound conservative in marketing materials, but they pack special risks & surprises in a downturn that can entail a catastrophic loss for investors. Exchange-traded bond funds and bond mutual funds are big business. They’re a lot easier for retail investors to buy and sell than the actual bonds, particularly […]

November 29, 2018 | What Lee Harvey Oswald Can Teach Investors

It’s disturbing to suddenly find that one has something in common with the likes of Lee Harvey Oswald. Fortunately, the commonality is merely circumstantial: we both came to Minsk, Belarus and fell in love with a woman here. But it was still something to discover at dinner here in Minsk last night. After a fabulous […]

November 29, 2018 | Competing Mortgage Headlines: Rates Barely Move vs Rates Surge Lower on Powell

Freddie Mac says “mortgage rates barely move” but Mortgage News Daily says “rates surge lower” Mortgage News Daily and Freddie Mac offer conflicting reports on the bond market reaction Jerome Powell’s speech yesterday. Mortgage News Daily says Mortgage Rates Surge Lower Mortgage rates surged lower today, falling at the fastest single-day pace in more than a […]

November 29, 2018 | Why Has Farmland Exploded in Price? The Accidental Trend Correlation

  Most people have little idea WHY big money was targeting buying farmland in Canada, USA, and Australia. It was more than just Chinese investment. With interest rates down to negative, capital has been looking for returns. They were buying farmland and then renting it out generally for 5%. This created what many call the […]

November 29, 2018 | Recession Due? Stocks are not ‘Defensive’

David Rosenberg can be helpful because he is one of the few economists who looks for negative trends in the data rather than just blue skies and sunshine.  His comments on the implications of a ‘Powell pause’ in this clip are lucid.  Here is a direct video link. This ‘elephant in the room’ could send stocks […]

November 29, 2018 | One Down. Two to Go.

Marianne runs two car dealerships (not GM) and seems good at it. Ten years from retirement, she has business equity and an investment portfolio of just over two million. Sweet. But M suffers an affliction. She’s a Type A person who makes quick, gut decisions and takes her own advice above all others. After doing […]

November 29, 2018 | Could There Be a US/China Trade Deal at G20?

GM Plant Closures, Mortgage Rates and Bitcoin

November 29, 2018 | How ICBC Plans to Spy on Drivers

  • Kris Sims  – BC’s de-facto war on ride sharing

November 29, 2018 | Is US Fed About to Slow or Stop Interest Rate Hikes?

Ottawa Screw Ups Force Alberta to Buy Oil Trains

November 29, 2018 | There is a Hint of Recession in the Air

Downward cycles at play world wide

November 28, 2018 | Builder Speculation: Supply of New Homes for Sale Surges to 7.4 Months

As sales dwindle and interest rates rise, the number of unsold homes built on speculation has risen sharply. Mortgage Rates Rising as Speculative Building Increases ​ Completed Homes for Sale in 2018 ​ Observations Supply of completed new homes has increased from 5.6 months to 7.4 months since January. Current supply is the highest rate […]

November 28, 2018 | The Capitulation

Is it over? Well, almost? That’s what Mr. Market is asking about that long string of future rate hikes everybody expected a month or two ago. The return on US ten-year bonds has dropped like Tony Clement’s shorts and now sits closer to 3%. The yield on Government of Canada five-year bonds (which influences fixed-rate […]

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