Howestreet.com - the source for market opinions

ALWAYS CONSULT YOUR INVESTMENT PROFESSIONAL BEFORE MAKING ANY INVESTMENT DECISION

May 16, 2018 | Gold Bugs Gone But Not Forgotten

Rick Ackerman

Rick Ackerman is the editor of Rick’s Picks, an online service geared to traders of stocks, options, index futures and commodities. His detailed trading strategies have appeared since the early 1990s in Black Box Forecasts, a newsletter he founded that originally was geared to professional option traders. Barron’s once labeled him an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case. He received a $200,000 reward when a conviction resulted, and the story was retold on TV’s FBI: The Untold Story. His professional background includes 12 years as a market maker in the pits of the Pacific Coast Exchange, three as an investigator with renowned San Francisco private eye Hal Lipset, seven as a reporter and newspaper editor, three as a columnist for the Sunday San Francisco Examiner, and two decades as a contributor to publications ranging from Barron’s to The Antiquarian Bookman to Fleet Street Letter and Utne Reader.

As a recovering Gold bug I have great sympathy for what die-hard bitcoin fans are about to experience. Years and years of grinding lower with the occasional wicked spikes up that bear markets are known for. Don’t get me wrong– I’m with the minarchists (e.g. Libertarians) and anarcho-capitalists in my excitement for crypto-currencies and their ability to transact anonymously not to mention their portability allowing you to move your entire net worth across national boundaries with a click of a mouse button. But with the crypto-mania having its blow-off top along with the retail public buying bitcoin it’s clear the top is in for now and it’s time to move onto the next big thing.

So what about the original alternate currency- Gold? And more importantly the leveraged gold investment play- the HUI Gold Bugs Index? The good news is I believe the major low is in. Why do I think that? Take a look at the attached long term chart where we missed our clear d target. Without giving away too much of Rick’s proprietary system one thing I like about this chart is the short and unintuitive B-C leg and then the subsequent interactions with P, P2 and d. The bad news is that we are still not ready for prime-time. The inset chart shows a possible P2 target of 155.77 which coincidentally happens to be near the low made in Nov-Dec 2016.  Taking out this low by a few dollars should be enough to freak everyone out that the bottom will fall out. Experienced pivoteers won’t be afraid to buy this low. When the next leg up in gold takes us to $2500 and higher we will look back at this coming low in gold stocks as the buy of a lifetime.

STAY INFORMED! Receive our Weekly Recap of thought provoking articles, podcasts, and radio delivered to your inbox for FREE! Sign up here for the HoweStreet.com Weekly Recap.

May 16th, 2018

Posted In: Rick's Picks

Post a Comment:

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

All Comments are moderated before appearing on the site

*
*

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.