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April 30, 2018 | Russia’s Wheat Crop Fails?

The weather turned very cold this year as our computer has been forecasting. The importance of our model’s forecasts lies in determining what will be the next cycle focus. Each cycle tends to shift from one to the next sector. While we still risk a strong dollar rally into 2020 creating the economic recession through […]

April 30, 2018 | Asset Bubbles and the Payback Period Now Upon Us

We cannot sustain debt and asset bubbles and make the intergenerational books balance. It’s that simple, the center cannot hold.  The evidence is everywhere.  See:  Millennial housing crisis engulfs Britain: Analysis conducted as part of a two-year investigation into intergenerational fairness in Britain, chaired by a former Tory minister, found that millennials are being forced into […]

April 30, 2018 | The True Source of Fake News

  OVER A BAR, IN YOUGHAL, IRELAND – “Here in Ireland, it is bad luck to cut down a holly tree,” says our weekend helper, Ronan. “Oh… and I don’t think your wife would like to know about that one, either.” He pointed to the two trees we had just felled. We thought they were […]

April 30, 2018 | Week Begins with an Unpersuasive Selloff

Buyers were spent before the opening bell Monday after rallying index futures moderately overnight. The failure to make headway in the early going gave way to a begrudging 150-point selloff in the Dow that took bears more than two hours to get rolling. That’s why I am not looking for much follow-through on Tuesday. Whatever […]

April 30, 2018 | Perfect Storm

Real estate sales sliding, listings down, mortgages swelling and FOMO gone. Man, it’s a tough time to own a Royal LePage or Re/Max franchise. Sure, all those agents have to rent their desks monthly but that just keeps the lights on. To make any money, you gotta have sales. And to do that you need […]

April 30, 2018 | Tiny Volume, Silver Signal, Big Implications

The USD Index reversed in a quite clear way on Friday and gold rallied. It looked like a great bullish combination for the precious metals sector, but was it really one? Gold moved higher on volume that was lowest since the beginning of the year and this means that Friday’s rally shouldn’t be taken at […]

April 30, 2018 | Germany Retail Sales Unexpectedly Decline 4th Month, 7th Time in 9 Months

The EU GDP setup isn’t pretty. Economists expected a 0.8% rise in German sales. Instead, sales fell 0.6%. In the Eurozone, economists were way off the mark as German Monthly Retail Sales Unexpectedly Dropped. German monthly retail sales unexpectedly fell in March, data showed today, marking a fourth consecutive drop and dampening cheer around a […]

April 30, 2018 | North Korea, Russia, Toronto, Las Vegas, and Syria

April 30, 2018 | Banks Squeezing Mortgage Customers to the Last Drop

Are Canadians “foolhardy” to believe their home will increase in value?

April 30, 2018 | How Much Do Those Novo Nuggets Weigh?

Taiga – a pussy cat rather than tiger

April 29, 2018 | Goodbye California, New York, Illinois: Blue State Exodus Will Accelerate

People are exiting “blue” states and the reason isn’t the weather. The Trump tax cuts will accelerate the exodus. A Chicago Tribune commentary says Hello, exodus deniers: No, it isn’t Illinois’ weather. For four years in a row, Illinois has lost population in alarming numbers. In 2017, Illinois lost a net 33,703 residents, the largest […]

April 29, 2018 | The Bull Sneaking Up on You

The stock market is enough to drive people crazy. Action is bullish … bearish … a mix of both! Then the president tweets, and it’s like someone kicked the chessboard in the air. It’s stressful! The good news is, there’s a bull sneaking up on you right now. And that’s a bull you can ride […]

April 29, 2018 | Quiet Action Near a Key Threshold

Quiet buying Sunday night has pushed index futures to a decisive level where just a little more progress would tip the short-term outlook sharply in bulls’ favor. They had more inspiration from AMZN’s crazed rally last week than they could handle, but merely playing catch-up in the days ahead is likely to lend buoyancy to […]

April 29, 2018 | Greece & the Debt Crisis

The entire EU Crisis began precisely on schedule on the Political Pi Turning point from the major high in 2007. Precisely on the day of the ECM turning point, April 16, 2010 (2010.29) Greece notified the IMF it was on the verge of bankruptcy. By April 22nd, the Euro fell to near year-low levels amid concerns about […]

April 29, 2018 | Precious Metals and Mining Stock Chart Paint A Clear Picture

In this article, we are going to explain and show you an interesting pattern that has been slowly forming over the past year in the precious metals sector. This pattern along with our analysis point to a significant rally to start in the next 4 months for gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and miners. Before we […]

April 29, 2018 | Electric Buses Helping Air and Hurting Oil Demand

Millions of deaths each year from air pollution are driving city governments to zero-emission public transportation.  With the largest population and worst air pollution in the world, China is now leading the way in adding an estimated 9,500 zero-emissions buses every 5 weeks.  Since conventional buses consume 30 times more fuel than average sized cars, […]

April 29, 2018 | Moister Week

It’s Moister Week here at GreaterFool! Astonishingly, these little peckers now constitute the largest cohort in Canada. Born between 1981 and 2000 (more or less), Millennials make up about 28% of the population (Boomers = 26%) and comprise 38% of the workforce. On average (says Environics) Mills earn a household income of $71,000. They’ve delayed […]

April 29, 2018 | Economy with a Fever

Getting a fever is no fun. You likely get chills, you sweat, and you’re just generally uncomfortable. You get tired easily and need to rest. But here’s the weird part: Fever isn’t the real problem. It’s a symptom of something else. You must treat whatever that is to relieve the fever. Economic indicators are similar. […]

April 29, 2018 | Inflation Is Back: Maybe The Phillips Curve Was “Just Resting”

Economists have been struggling to explain how unemployment can fall to 4% without wages starting to accelerate. The following chart shows paychecks rising at about the rate of inflation over the past five years, which means the average worker’s earnings don’t buy much more now than in 2013. The reasons for this glacially slow recovery […]

April 29, 2018 | Money: before the Computer Age and After!

My son and I talked today about the issues of money and how these concepts have changed during my lifetime and his. If we assume that our computer age emerged in the 1980’s and 90’s, then we can use a date like 1990 as the date when computers, electronic money, and cyber objects emerged globally. […]

April 28, 2018 | This Week in Money

April 28, 2018 | China – Is There an Asian Debt Crisis on the Horizon?

China is on its way to reaching the title of the Financial Capital of the World post-2032. However, that is also NOT going to be accomplished all on its own. In part, this is the moving trend and the shift our computer has been forecasting also because the West is in a Sovereign Debt Crisis and by raising taxes and […]

April 28, 2018 | MGM Building Solar Energy System to Power Las Vegas Casinos

Good grief, at last After spending fortunes cooling their buildings with old energy systems, Las Vegas casinos are finally seeing dollar signs in the free desert sun.  Starting with a solar array atop Mandalay Bay in 2014, expanded to 20 roof acres in 2016, MGM is now adding more arrays and advancing battery technology.  See:  MGM […]

April 28, 2018 | Spending, Inflation, Income Expectations: Consumers Expect No Improvement

A Fed study of consumer expectations projects a rise in spending but no overall economic improvement a year from now. I produced the headline chart in Excel from a data download of the Fed’s monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations. Spending Projections 75% Percentile: 8.13% Median: 3.08% 25% Percentile: 0.79% The bottom wage earners barely expect to […]

April 28, 2018 | Trading Desk Notes – April 28th

The US Dollar surged higher again this week as American interest rates continued to rise. The 2 year US Treasury yield is at 10 year highs…the 10 year Treasury yield hit 7 year highs (3.04%) mid-week before dropping back below 3% by Friday. My headline last week, “It doesn’t matter until it matters…and then it really […]

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