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November 6, 2015 | US Dollar Surges, December Rate Hike Odds Soar Following Strong Jobs Report

Mike 'Mish' Shedlock

Mike Shedlock / Mish is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction.
Following today’s jobs report the odds of a December rate hike approached 70% and the US dollar index surged.December Rate Hike Odds 

According to CME Fedwatch Stats, and based on futures quotes, the odds of a December hike surged to 69.8% today, from 58.1% yesterday, and a mere 4.6% a month ago following last month’s dismal jobs report.

US Dollar Index 15-Minute Chart

 

US Dollar Index Monthly Chart

 

The last monthly close above 100 was in 2003.

The reason for the rate hike and dollar surge can be found in today’s jobs report. For details, please see Strong Payroll Bounce +271,000; December Rate Hike Likely.

Mike “Mish” Shedlock

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November 6th, 2015

Posted In: Mish Talk

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