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August 10, 2015 | Gold – the Bounce

Martin Armstrong

Martin Arthur Armstrong is the former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed.

GCNYNF-D 8-10-2015

Of course those biased toward gold will relay the rally as big volume, as if this were some sort of fresh buying that warrants cheering when in fact it is a short-cover rally. This is the bounce our computer has projected without bias or passion, minus the hyperbole. We can see that the Energy Models turned at the low and bottomed on July 23. The Daily Bullish Reversal stands at 1109 and a closing above that level will confirm the rally.

This is what Socrates wrote that was provided to the beta testers:



NY Gold Nearest Futures remains currently trading neutral within our standard deviation envelop defined as 1169.20 to 1079.00. Breaking outside this envelop on a closing basis will often signal a sharp move will follow in the direction of that closing. Combining this with our Reversal System provides a powerful tool to ascertain a change in immediate trend.

On the DAILY level of our model we remain LONG 1 position. The last LONG position was taken on the close of 4th at 109070.   At this time in basis points, our net profit is 11909.50 since Jan.  2,  1975. Our general target objective would be to Sell new high on in first week of September against 1144.00-1155.00. We would use a PSXCO at 1084.00 on a DAILY closing basis. Reversing into a short position should be considered if 1084.00 is penetrated on a weekly closing basis.

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August 10th, 2015

Posted In: Armstrong Economics

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